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  • RBD
    Predictem Feature Writer
    • Aug 2024
    • 117

    Army/Navy

    Record: 11-9

    Finished the reg season at 11-9 on college football forum picks.
    Didn't have nearly as many plays as I thought I would.
    Still, no complaints, I hit Goal #1 - "Do No Harm to Your Bankroll (don't lose money") and Goal #2 - "Finish With a Profit, ANY profit."
    A $100 bettor (standard odds 110/100) made $110 (and much more if you played my article picks, too.)
    Fun and profit - I don't ask for more, and I got it this season.

    Next up - Army/Navy.
    Traditionally a low scoring game, which works in my favor because the opening line has steadily dropped and I like the Over.
    It opened at 40' and is now down to 38'.
    It's already down 1' pts. I'd like to see it go down another 1' to 37 but that's unlikely, but 38 should be easy to get between now and Saturday.
    DON'T wait too long if you're looking at the Over in case a late buy back sends it back up.
    I'll post my here when I buy it.

    Oh yeah, almost forgot - my reason for buying the Over?
    NP Unders is one of my best plays, NP Overs usually come in at around .500. This year NP Ov is 10-8. Like my record above, enough to make a profit.
    On the season Navy was 7-4 to the Over, Army 6-5.
    Eight of Navy's eleven games have gone Over the on this game.
    Nine of Army's eleven games have gone Over the on this game.


    If you bet Ov 38 on the last ten games in this series you would be 0-10.
    Yes, I know what I said about Krusty the Clown' s Due Theory (here's the link https://www.predictem.com/betting/ba...ooks-july-6th/)
    but with Army averaging 32.9 PPG this season and Navy averaging 32.2 I think the 10-0 to the Under streak ends on Saturday.
    The numbers on the defensive side of the ball aren't as pretty, Army gives up 15 and Navy gives up 23, but even if the defenses rule the day their combined average still gets the 38 I'll need in this one.

    Gut feel - I think I can get 24 or > out of Army, which means I'll only need about 14 from Navy.

    Saturday's play:
    Army/Navy Ov (wait to buy)

    UPDATE: Buy back has started, the 38' are disappearing, 39 starting to show up.
    I grabbed it at 38'.
    Last edited by RBD; 12-11-2024, 12:57 PM.
  • Meestermike
    Moderator
    • Feb 2007
    • 2380

    #2
    Also got 38.5 -110 so will look to reap from your expertise.
    Thx for this RBD
    20190817_145925811_iOS.jpg
    Make a few more today than you made or lost yesterday

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    • RBD
      Predictem Feature Writer
      • Aug 2024
      • 117

      #3
      You're welcome!
      Thanks for stopping by.

      Comment

      • RBD
        Predictem Feature Writer
        • Aug 2024
        • 117

        #4
        Looking for some fun in action today.
        7 pointer using Army and one of my upcoming bowl bets.

        Army +1'/S Car - 2', -116/100

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