*-*-*-* Week 6 DISCUSSION *-*-*-*

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  • DukiesBaby
    Eagle Nation
    • Mar 2009
    • 872

    *-*-*-* Week 6 DISCUSSION *-*-*-*

    Was really busy last week but lets kick this week in the butt early :thumbs:


    California at Oregon
    Thu 10/6 301 California +24 -110
    9:00PM 302 Oregon -24 -110

    Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee
    Thu 10/6 303 Western Kentucky +9 -110
    7:30PM 304 Middle Tennessee -9 -110

    Boise State at Fresno State
    Fri 10/7 305 Boise State -21 -110
    9:00PM 306 Fresno State +21 -110

    Oklahoma vs Texas, in Dallas
    Sat 10/8 307 Oklahoma -9 -110
    12:00PM 308 Texas +9 -110

    Illinois at Indiana
    Sat 10/8 309 Illinois -16 -110
    2:30PM 310 Indiana +16 -110

    Vanderbilt at Alabama
    Sat 10/8 311 Vanderbilt +29 -110
    7:00PM 312 Alabama -29 -110

    Boston College at Clemson
    Sat 10/8 313 Boston College +21½ -110
    3:00PM 314 Clemson -21½ -110

    Connecticut at West Virginia
    Sat 10/8 315 Connecticut +20½ -110
    12:00PM 316 West Virginia -20½ -110

    Mississippi State at UAB
    Sat 10/8 317 Mississippi State -16½ -110
    12:00PM 318 UAB +16½ -110

    Iowa at Penn State
    Sat 10/8 319 Iowa +2½ -110
    3:30PM 320 Penn State -2½ -110

    Pittsburgh U at Rutgers
    Sat 10/8 321 Pittsburgh U -9 -110
    3:30PM 322 Rutgers +9 -110

    Louisville at North Carolina
    Sat 10/8 325 Louisville +14 -110
    12:00PM 326 North Carolina -14 -110

    Central Michigan at NC State
    Sat 10/8 327 Central Michigan +13 -110
    3:30PM 328 NC State -13 -110

    Memphis at Rice
    Sat 10/8 329 Memphis +21 -110
    12:30PM 330 Rice -21 -110

    Army at Miami Ohio
    Sat 10/8 331 Army +1 -110
    1:00PM 332 Miami Ohio -1 -110

    Bowling Green at Western Michigan
    Sat 10/8 333 Bowling Green +10½ -110
    2:00PM 334 Western Michigan -10½ -110

    Temple at Ball State
    Sat 10/8 335 Temple -11 -110
    2:00PM 336 Ball State +11 -110

    Arizona State at Utah
    Sat 10/8 337 Arizona State -3 -105
    3:30PM 338 Utah +3 -115

    San Jose State at BYU
    Sat 10/8 339 San Jose State +12 -110
    10:15PM 340 BYU -12 -110

    Eastern Michigan at Toledo
    Sat 10/8 341 Eastern Michigan +20 -110
    3:00PM 342 Toledo -20 -110

    Ohio at Buffalo U
    Sat 10/8 343 Ohio -8 -110
    3:30PM 344 Buffalo U +8 -110

    Kent State at Northern Illinois
    Sat 10/8 345 Kent State +17 -110
    3:30PM 346 Northern Illinois -17 -110

    Auburn at Arkansas
    Sat 10/8 347 Auburn +10 -110
    7:00PM 348 Arkansas -10 -110

    Maryland at Georgia Tech
    Sat 10/8 349 Maryland +15 -110
    12:00PM 350 Georgia Tech -15 -110

    Colorado at Stanford
    Sat 10/8 351 Colorado +27 -110
    7:30PM 352 Stanford -27 -110

    Georgia at Tennessee U
    Sat 10/8 353 Georgia -1 -110
    7:00PM 354 Tennessee U +1 -110

    Miami Florida at Virginia Tech
    Sat 10/8 355 Miami Florida +7½ -120
    3:30PM 356 Virginia Tech -7½ +100

    Air Force at Notre Dame
    Sat 10/8 357 Air Force +16½ -110
    3:30PM 358 Notre Dame -16½ -110

    Southern Mississippi at Navy
    Sat 10/8 359 Southern Mississippi pk -110
    3:30PM 360 Navy pk -110

    UNLV at Nevada
    Sat 10/8 361 UNLV +20 -110
    4:00PM 362 Nevada -20 -110

    Marshall at Central Florida
    Sat 10/8 363 Marshall +15 -110
    7:00PM 364 Central Florida -15 -110

    Louisiana Tech at Idaho
    Sat 10/8 365 Louisiana Tech -4½ -110
    5:00PM 366 Idaho +4½ -110

    Arizona U at Oregon State
    Sat 10/8 367 Arizona U -2 -110
    3:30PM 368 Oregon State +2 -110

    Kansas at Oklahoma State
    Sat 10/8 369 Kansas +32½ -110
    3:30PM 370 Oklahoma State -32½ -110

    Michigan at Northwestern
    Sat 10/8 371 Michigan -5 -110
    7:00PM 372 Northwestern +5 -110

    East Carolina at Houston U
    Sat 10/8 373 East Carolina +12 -110
    7:00PM 374 Houston U -12 -110

    Iowa State at Baylor
    Sat 10/8 375 Iowa State +16 -110
    7:00PM 376 Baylor -16 -110

    Kentucky at South Carolina
    Sat 10/8 377 Kentucky +18½ -110
    12:20PM 378 South Carolina -18½ -110

    Texas A&M at Texas Tech
    Sat 10/8 381 Texas A&M -6 -110
    7:00PM 382 Texas Tech +6 -110

    Missouri at Kansas State
    Sat 10/8 383 Missouri -3 -110
    3:30PM 384 Kansas State +3 -110

    Syracuse at Tulane
    Sat 10/8 385 Syracuse -10 -110
    8:00PM 386 Tulane +10 -110

    Wyoming at Utah State
    Sat 10/8 387 Wyoming +9½ -110
    8:00PM 388 Utah State -9½ -110

    Ohio State at Nebraska
    Sat 10/8 391 Ohio State +10 -110
    8:00PM 392 Nebraska -10 -110

    Washington State at UCLA
    Sat 10/8 393 Washington State +3½ -110
    10:30PM 394 UCLA -3½ -110

    TCU at San Diego State
    Sat 10/8 395 TCU -4½ -110
    10:30PM 396 San Diego State +4½ -110

    Florida International at Akron
    Sat 10/8 397 Florida International -20 -110
    2:00PM 398 Akron +20 -110

    Troy at UL Lafayette
    Sat 10/8 399 Troy -4½ -110
    7:00PM 400 UL Lafayette +4½ -110

    Arkansas State at UL Monroe
    Sat 10/8 401 Arkansas State -3 -110
    7:00PM 402 UL Monroe +3 -110

    Florida Atlantic at North Texas
    Sat 10/8 403 Florida Atlantic +5 -110
    7:30PM 404 North Texas -5 -110
    NCAAF YTD
    Overall

    67-46-2 +41.08 units
  • DukiesBaby
    Eagle Nation
    • Mar 2009
    • 872

    #2
    California at Oregon

    Starting with this game, the weather here in oregon has made its turn for the normal, Rain / Wind / Cold... thursday night in eugene, thirsty thursday, should be one of the loudest crowds u will see at autzen, national television on thirsty thursday, this line is spot on, for me i think playing the spread is a no go, but the points over is all systems go! ducks team total is also a go for me, anything under 50 points for team total is must play for ducks team total, if colorado can drop 30 on cal oregon can surely drop 50 at home in autzen..




    North Carolina -14


    not real high on louisville, north carolina finally getting that home game after some road games, first glance im expecting 42-17 final north carolina, lean UNC & OVER



    Central Michigan +13

    Nice effort last week outta NC State, but wasnt enough, but now u gotta turn around and bring that same effort again, and i expect the emotion wont be all there for this game, ill take the points here...



    Auburn at Arkansas

    Over Over Over Over, Auburn Runs the football....A LOT on offense, arkansas defense 2 weeks in a row have gotten steam rolled in the run, and arkansas offense is not great, but really good, and auburns defense, lmao do they have one? last week vs south carolina that was just both teams shooting themselves in the foot all game blowing scoring oppertunities... this week that wont happen, this total might be over 60 but i still think they can reach it, also team total for arkansas could be worth a hard look too if u can get it close to 35 area... cause i think they can drop 42+ on auburn



    Maryland +15

    G-tech i get it your offense is pretty good, and your rushing attack is stellar but really? your defense keeps letting teams come back too quick, if you play defense like u have last 2 week Maryland will march down the field on you as easy as you do on them..
    i like the over and maryland +15 too many points to give up if you cant stop opposing teams, right now g-tech is like the pats, trying to just out score everyone... play some defense and ill back your bigger spreads..




    Tennessee U +1

    i really like georgia as a team this year, but for some reason i have a feeling Tennessee's offense will put too many points up at home for georgia to win this one, 31-20 is what i see.. georgia is a team who plays well when ahead, when they fall behind early and take away the run game, they start becoming a bad team, i think tenn will score fast and early here and force georgia to start chucking the ball which will lead to a couple to's either via sack fumble or int off of intense qb pressure... so i lean Teen +1 here




    Air Force +16½


    Notre Dame finally smashes someone and they all the sudden become 16.5 point favs... im not buying into this bs, the #1 rushing team in the nation is coming to town and they will chew click and put up a few scores, airforce might not win the game but +16.5 is alot to give to #1 rushing offense... gimmie the points and possibly the under here if its around 55 or higher



    Louisiana Tech -4½


    Hawaii just flew in and kicked you in the nuts! how will you respond? i think you will respond big and pound this pathetic thing the call a team in idaho:thumbs: -4.5 la tech gimmie



    Arizona U at Oregon State

    Wow the **** bowl of college football, this might be the game that gets the f*** head stoops finally fired! i will not bet on this game as i hate the beavers, but this week go beavs! i wanna see stoops out and anyone else in! pathetic showing vs a poorly coached usc team last week, play some damn defense, usc scored first 8-9 possesions :laughing:

    btw same usc team that won by blocking a fg vs Minnesota 19-17 :laughing:





    Kansas at Oklahoma State

    Oklahoma State team total &/or the game total over will be the only thing i will be looking at playing in this game, most likely the team total will be best play



    Michigan -5

    I dont know why this line is so slow... maybe denard robinson is going on vacation for this game and they are not gonna tell the public he isnt playing until game time, cause this northwestern team should not even come close in this football game, overrated.... if michigan loses this game shoelace should become highheels cause thats probably the only shoes i could come up with denard could wear and not get 100+ yards on this overrated nw team... -5 really maybe i should just stay away big 10 football what a joke... wisconson is here on top of mountain rest of confrence this year, they are on a race sledding down the side of the mountain to see who can hit bottom first...


    Texas A&M -6

    is this line really not -20?? thank god i dont own my own house, cause i would certainly bet the whole damn thing, tech defense is awful, i mean nevada cant score crap on boise or oregon which both are more offensive oriented teams, and they score 34 on you and dominated u all game and u got lucky sqeaked a win out lol.... A&M Out classes you here and they are gonna just f u dry, i mean i seriously am probably gonna go broke this week if i am wrong here but i am putting in right now alot down on a&m before this spread gets over 7, i mean **** i probably bet them at -20 but -6 holy crap time to deposit some more cash lol...




    Kansas State +3

    this is like the books keep guessing when this team is gonna lose, wake up kstate is for real this year, +3 at home, missouri? well thank you for the +3 ill take it and the + ml



    Nebraska -10

    Down year for big ten and ohio state is not the jim tressel ohio state, this is a new look ohio state and they dont look good, nebraska got slapped by a way better team last week, ohio state got beat by michigan state, why because ohio state sucks, they barley beat toledo at home, lost to miami on the road... nebraska offense will be too much for this team, kinda like miami game, be same situation same out come... taking nebraska -10



    good luck this week fellas lets kick the man back:beerbang:
    NCAAF YTD
    Overall

    67-46-2 +41.08 units

    Comment

    • hodown
      Member
      • Mar 2007
      • 923

      #3
      Pretty crappy weekend for sides. Then again my record would suggest every weekend is crappy. Off the top...

      Texas +10 vs OU
      Seems like Texas is catching a generous amount of points considering they appear to have the better run game and slightly better defense.

      Indiana +14.5 vs Illinois
      Let down spot for Illinois coming off close win vs NW, Indiana was respectable last week vs PSU. Just don't see Ilini with great effort especially with OSU on deck.

      Iowa +4 @ PSU
      Iowa generally a good dog team and have fared well vs PSU L10. I'd be curious to hear Joe's take, game should be competitive. Iowa hasn't lost by more than 7 in four years and they're covering some key numbers with this line. Then again Iowa's defense isn't its typical strong unit, and PSU should be ready to go.

      Arkansas -10 vs Auburn
      Large number here. Auburn ran 92 plays last week to SC's 57. Malzahn is good at what he does. Auburn also in letdown spot however.

      Just a few that stick out on my initial look..

      Comment

      • Daws1089
        Moderator
        • Mar 2007
        • 7811

        #4
        I agree with Tenn +2. Think they could be in a good spot to take this. It's hard to win on the road in the SEC.

        Where was A&M -6? I have it opening at -7 and now at -9.5. I cannot lay that many with that team. They have done nothing but disappoint and TT can put up numbers. I don't think this is the week that A&M gets right.

        AUB getting 10 again?? Seems awfully shady for them to be a 10 pt dog again on their 2nd straight road game. I think they will have a real hard time here.

        Comment

        • Daws1089
          Moderator
          • Mar 2007
          • 7811

          #5
          anybody else think WAKE +10.5 is a worth a wager? FSU looks easy at -10 against the weak WAKE squad. I dont know how I feel. Could just be a bad line.

          Comment

          • hodown
            Member
            • Mar 2007
            • 923

            #6
            Looking at lines more I think Mizzou might be the best play on the board. True the books might be guessing for KSU to lose but line movement is squarely in Mizzou's favor, and statistically they are dominant to KSU on both sides of the ball. Mizzou's defense will be more formidable than Baylor's IMO. Unranked road fave against a ranked home dog says something is up here.

            Comment

            • DukiesBaby
              Eagle Nation
              • Mar 2009
              • 872

              #7
              Originally posted by Daws1089

              Where was A&M -6? I have it opening at -7 and now at -9.5. I cannot lay that many with that team. They have done nothing but disappoint and TT can put up numbers. I don't think this is the week that A&M gets right.

              5dimes opened at -6 thats where i got the line....



              Originally posted by Daws1089
              anybody else think WAKE +10.5 is a worth a wager? FSU looks easy at -10 against the weak WAKE squad. I dont know how I feel. Could just be a bad line.

              I think this line is pretty close, wake has a decent offense, but this line lower because of 2 straight losses if FSU was home team i bet this line be -14.5


              Originally posted by hodown
              Looking at lines more I think Mizzou might be the best play on the board. True the books might be guessing for KSU to lose but line movement is squarely in Mizzou's favor, and statistically they are dominant to KSU on both sides of the ball. Mizzou's defense will be more formidable than Baylor's IMO. Unranked road fave against a ranked home dog says something is up here.

              i was thinking about this game today i am going with the over and not playing a side... i have seen many non ranked road favs vs ranked home teams and they end up covering most of the time, so u might be right with mizzu



              Originally posted by hodown

              Iowa +4 @ PSU
              Iowa generally a good dog team and have fared well vs PSU L10. I'd be curious to hear Joe's take, game should be competitive. Iowa hasn't lost by more than 7 in four years and they're covering some key numbers with this line. Then again Iowa's defense isn't its typical strong unit, and PSU should be ready to go.

              I like the under in this game alot, i feel good at this game staying under 6 tds ... strong psu defense and weak psu offense...
              NCAAF YTD
              Overall

              67-46-2 +41.08 units

              Comment

              • Nicky Santoro
                Made Man
                • Jan 2009
                • 1628

                #8
                Agreed Hodown, I really am having a hard time laying off Texas getting double digits. This match-up should be close and the Longhorns could get the straight up win. However, the Sooners will certainly present some problems for the Texas defense, as
                they are averaging a hefty 555.0 yards per game. The ground game is potent
                (177.2 ypg), but not when compared to the passing attack, which is churning
                out 377.8 yards per game. That scares the crap outta me. Balance is key if the Longhorns stand a shot. Case McCoy must have help in the ground game, if it's effective I like at least a cover.
                NCAAF '12: 11-16-0, -7.90 units.
                O/U:4-2, +1.80 units.
                Teasers:
                Rothstein's leans:
                Double Digit Home Dogs:9-7-1, +1.30 units.
                ________________
                NCAAB Tourney '12: 18-22-0, -2.50 units.
                O/U: 7-8, -1.70 units.
                ________________
                NCAAB '11-'12: 128-123-0, -10.80 units.
                O/U: 46-38, +2.80 units.
                Rothstein's "leans":
                Double Digit Home Dogs: 36-20-3, +13.10 units.

                Comment

                • hodown
                  Member
                  • Mar 2007
                  • 923

                  #9
                  Well two frosh QB's and a frosh RB being thrown into the mix makes me a little hesitant in making the final move. My book has 11 right now, and it wouldn't take much for OU to win by 14. That being said OU was clearly superior last year and only won by 8. The pressure is squarely on OU and Texas just has the feel this year that it's out for redemption after last years' embarrassment. I think I'll pull the trigger

                  Comment

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