***The Knuckleballer's 2011-2012 NCAAF Tracking Thread***

[The Knuckleballer]

Thursday, November 3, 2011 and Friday, November 4, 2011

Overall Record (99-115-4) -21.8 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (3-2) 4 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (10-4-1) 22 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (14-12-2) 1.8 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (38-48) -29.6 Units
*1 Unit Picks* (34-49-1) -20 Units

Total Unit Based Record (207-227.7-1.1) -21.8 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (47.50%)

I have three weekday picks on tap. Look for Boston College to keep it close against Florida State on Thursday night. My system has Florida State winning by no more than a touchdown. Also, my system has the USC v. Colorado game capped at USC -10. Take the points in both games and enjoy the action as we gear up for a big weekend. Good luck!

***3 Unit Pick***
Boston College +14.5

**2 Unit Pick**
Colorado +21.5

*1 Unit Pick*
Central Florida -1.5

[The Knuckleballer]

Saturday, November 5, 2011

Overall Record (99-118-4) -28.4 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (3-2) 4 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (10-4-1) 22 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (14-13-2) -1.5 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (38-49) -31.8 Units
*1 Unit Picks* (34-50-1) -21.1 Units

Total Unit Based Record (207-234.3-1.1) -28.4 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (46.79%)

Wow, 0-3 to start the week. After a horrendous losing streak, my system is ready for a big weekend. This week's hype surrounds the LSU v. Alabama matchup, but there is no value in this line. My system has Alabama winning by the score of 24-20. The best value play on the board is New Mexico at +35. My system has this game capped at San Diego State -25.5 with a total of 56. My system gives New Mexico a near 100% chance of covering this spread. This will not be a fun game to watch, but the value is there. Good luck and enjoy the Week 10 action!

****4 Unit Pick****
New Mexico +35

***3 Unit Pick***
Louisiana Tech +3.5

**2 Unit Picks**
Minnesota +27.5
Indiana +27.5
Louisville +13
Wyoming +19.5
Tulane +26.5
Duke +15.5
Purdue +26
Army +16.5
Northwestern +17.5
Texas A&M +14
Utah +4
Middle Tennessee State +21.5
Kansas State +21
UNLV +42.5

*1 Unit Picks*
Texas Tech +14
Wake Forest +14

[The Knuckleballer]

Thursday, November 10, 2011

Overall Record (112-123-4) -10.3 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (3-2) 4 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (11-4-1) 26 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (15-13-2) 1.5 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (48-53) -20.6 Units
*1 Unit Picks* (35-51-1) -21.2 Units

Total Unit Based Record (235-244.2-1.1) -10.3 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (48.93%)

Last weekend was fun. Tonight, I have one 2 Unit Pick. My system has the Houston v. Tulane game capped at Houston -21.5 with a total of 68. Take Tulane at +35 and enjoy cheering for the underdog in this matchup. Good luck!

**2 Unit Pick**
Tulane +35

[The Knuckleballer]

Saturday, November 12, 2011

Overall Record (112-124-4) -12.5 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (3-2) 4 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (11-4-1) 26 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (15-13-2) 1.5 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (48-54) -22.8 Units
*1 Unit Picks* (35-51-1) -21.2 Units

Total Unit Based Record (235-246.4-1.1) -12.5 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (48.70%)

With several 3 Unit Picks on tap, Week 11 should be a lot of fun. If you are looking for an "upset", look for Memphis to knock off UAB. My system has this game capped at Memphis -1, so I would encourage you to take Memphis at +5 and watch for an "upset". Also, my system has the LA Tech v. Ole Miss game capped at LA Tech -7 and the Fresno State v. New Mexico State game capped at Fresno State -1.5. Thus, you should look to take LA Tech at -2 and New Mexico State at +7. This sums up Saturday's 3 Unit Picks. Good luck and enjoy the games!

***3 Unit Picks***
Memphis +5
Louisiana Tech -2
New Mexico State +7

**2 Unit Picks**
Rice +16.5
Marshall +19.5
Wake Forest +16.5
Texas Tech +20
Kansas +20.5
TCU +16
Colorado State +13.5
Western Kentucky +42
Mississippi State +17.5
Idaho +22.5
Washington State +11.5

*1 Unit Picks*
Wyoming +16.5
Maryland +20.5
Hawaii +16

[The Knuckleballer]

Friday, November 18, 2011

Overall Record (123-130-4) -3.7 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (3-2) 4 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (11-4-1) 26 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (17-14-2) 4.2 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (55-58) -17.6 Units
*1 Unit Picks* (37-52-1) -20.3 Units

Total Unit Based Record (257-259.6-1.1) -3.7 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (49.64%)

We are fighting our way back towards even, and I have two picks for tonight that should help us get even closer. The public loves Oklahoma State, but my system has this game capped at Oklahoma State -15 with a total of 62.5. This spread is artificially inflated due to Oklahoma State's recent success and the media attention it has garnered. Take the Cyclones at +27 and enjoy an easy cover as we head into the weekend. Good luck!

**2 Unit Pick**
Iowa State +27

*1 Unit Pick*
Central Michigan +14.5

[The Knuckleballer]

Saturday, November 19, 2011

Overall Record (124-131-4) -2.8 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (3-2) 4 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (11-4-1) 26 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (17-14-2) 4.2 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (56-58) -15.6 Units
*1 Unit Picks* (37-53-1) -21.4 Units

Total Unit Based Record (259-260.7-1.1) -2.8 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (49.73%)

Tonight was another step in the right direction. Granted it was a baby step, but a positive night is a positive night. On Saturday, I have a couple of 3 Unit Picks. First, I have the Indiana v. Michigan State game capped at Michigan State -17 with a total of 52.5. Second, I have the Tulsa v. UTEP game capped at Tulsa -4 with a total of 55.5. Take the underdogs, Indiana and UTEP, to cover in each of these games. Good luck!

***3 Unit Picks***
Indiana +28
UTEP +14

**2 Unit Picks**
Kentucky +31
Tulane +14
Mississippi State +13
UNLV +24
Ole Miss +30.5
San Diego State +18
New Mexico State +22.5

*1 Unit Picks*
Kansas +31
Texas Tech +18
Colorado State +34
Boston College +24.5
Virginia +17.5
Kansas State +8
USC +14.5

[joepa66]

KST and USC.....GL Knuckler!

[The Knuckleballer]

Thanksgiving 2011

Overall Record (133-138-4) -7.3 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (3-2) 4 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (11-4-1) 26 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (17-16-2) -2.4 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (59-62) -18.4 Units
*1 Unit Picks* (43-54-1) -16.5 Units

Total Unit Based Record (271-277.2-1.1) -7.3 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (49.34%)

Thanks to all those that take the time to read my posts. Best wishes to you and your families. My system has the Texas v. Texas A&M game capped at Texas A&M -2 with at total of 56.5. Thus, you should take the points and watch Texas keep this rivalry game closer than the "experts" think. Good luck and Happy Thanksgiving!

*1 Unit Pick*
Texas +8.5

[The Knuckleballer]

Friday, November 25, 2011

Overall Record (134-138-4) -6.3 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (3-2) 4 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (11-4-1) 26 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (17-16-2) -2.4 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (59-62) -18.4 Units
*1 Unit Picks* (44-54-1) -15.5 Units

Total Unit Based Record (272-277.2-1.1) -6.3 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (49.43%)

I hope today's games are as entertaining as last night's action. Today, I have two 3 Unit Picks on tap. My system has the Eastern Michigan v. Northern Illinois game capped at Northern Illinois -12.5 with a total of 60.5 and the Akron v. Western Michigan game capped at Western Michigan -21.5 with a total of 56.5. You should take the dogs in both of these games. I know the Arkansas v. LSU game is tempting, but I encourage you to stay away. There is NO VALUE in that line. Good luck and enjoy Black Friday!

***3 Unit Picks***
Eastern Michigan +18
Akron +27.5

*1 Unit Picks*
Iowa +9.5
Colorado +22

[The Knuckleballer]

Saturday, November 26, 2011

Overall Record (136-140-4) -6.7 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (3-2) 4 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (11-4-1) 26 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (18-17-2) -2.7 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (59-62) -18.4 Units
*1 Unit Picks* (45-55-1) -15.6 Units

Total Unit Based Record (276-281.6-1.1) -6.7 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (49.40%)

This week's lines are tight, but there is some serious value in several of the lines. In fact, I have one 5 Unit Pick on tap. My system has the UL Lafayette v. Arizona game capped at UL Lafayette -6 with a total of 63. My system gives UL Lafayette a near 100% chance of covering and an 86% chance of winning the game. Thus, you should take the 13.5 point dog and enjoy the potential UPSET! Good luck!

*****5 Unit Pick*****
UL Lafayette +13.5

****4 Unit Pick****
Oregon State +27.5

**3 Unit Pick***
UCLA +16

**2 Unit Pick**
New Mexico State +21.5
San Jose State +6.5

*1 Unit Picks*
Iowa State +28.5
Wyoming +34.5
Kansas +25.5
Memphis +36.5
Ole Miss +17
Texas Tech +13.5

[The Knuckleballer]

Saturday, December 3, 2011

Overall Record (141-146-4) -9.9 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (4-2) 9 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (11-5-1) 21.6 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (18-18-2) -6 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (60-63) -18.6 Units
*1 Unit Picks* (48-58-1) -15.9 Units

Total Unit Based Record (286-294.8-1.1) -9.9 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (49.15%)

Once again, today's lines are tight, but i have six picks as we continue to gear up for a big Bowl Season that is certain to help us end the season in the black. My system has the SEC Championship capped at LSU -7 with a total of 44.5. Take the points and watch Georgia keep this game closer than the experts think as the Bayou Bengals have their minds on January's BCS Championship game. Good luck and enjoy today's action!

***3 Unit Pick***
Georgia +13.5

**2 Unit Picks**
New Mexico State +15
Idaho +19.5
Hawaii +8

*1 Unit Picks*
UNLV +38.5
New Mexico +48.5

[The Knuckleballer]

Week 1 of Bowl Season

Overall Record (143-150-4) -15.7 Units
*****5 Unit Picks***** (4-2) 9 Units
****4 Unit Picks**** (11-5-1) 21.6 Units
***3 Unit Picks*** (18-19-2) -9.3 Units
**2 Unit Picks** (61-65) -21 Units
*1 Unit Picks* (49-59-1) -16 Units

Total Unit Based Record (289-303.6-1.1) -15.7 Units
Risk Adj. Winning % (48.68%)

My goal is to get back in the black this Bowl Season. My picks for the first week of Bowl Season are posted below. Will TCU and Boise State be upset that they are Bowling before Christmas? My system has both Louisiana Tech and Arizona State keeping it closer than the "experts" predict. As usual the Bowl lines are tight, but we have managed to find some value and are looking to go on a nice run to end the 2011-2012 College Football Season. Good luck and Merry Christmas!

***3 Unit Pick***
Louisiana Tech +10.5

**2 Unit Pick**
Arizona State +13.5

*1 Unit Picks*
Ohio +2
Florida International -4

[joepa66]

GL Knucksey! Let's both get back in the black....:thumbs:

[The Knuckleballer]

Ohio at +2 was a step in the right direction. GL joepa66! I hope Bowl Season is good to you.

[The Knuckleballer]

Good Luck Tonight!