NCAA Conference Championship Saturday

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  • BoilerBacker
    Big 10 Commish/Moderator
    • Mar 2007
    • 25113

    NCAA Conference Championship Saturday

    Noon

    Texas - Oklahoma und 78.5 3*

    730 PM

    Fresno State +3 -120 3*

    8 PM

    Pittsburgh - Clemson und 53 3*

    GL
    Go Boilers!
    Thru 12/14

    NCAAB 135-125-3 -18.88 units
    2* 2-6
    3* 2-5
    1H 5-13-1
    2H 126-101-2
  • Jackets_Fan
    Newbie
    • Aug 2008
    • 63

    #2
    Boiler, how are you leaning on the conference championships?

    Also, if you don't mind me asking, what's your calculus for totals? Based on your picks I'm assuming you follow the reverse line movement methodology, but I can't put a finger on how you make your totals picks.
    Last edited by Jackets_Fan; 11-29-2018, 09:49 AM.

    Comment

    • BoilerBacker
      Big 10 Commish/Moderator
      • Mar 2007
      • 25113

      #3
      Originally posted by Jackets_Fan
      Boiler, how are you leaning on the conference championships?

      Also, if you don't mind me asking, what's your calculus for totals? Based on your picks I'm assuming you follow the reverse line movement methodology, but I can't put a finger on how you make your totals picks.
      I look at line movement, but I also look at matchups. Clemson for instance is strong against the run and Pitt is weak passing. Rather than lay 4 TDs I think the under is a better play. In general, I think 78.5 pts is ridiculous for a championship game. OU defense is really bad and as a result, I expect OU to try to limit the chances for Tex to score (by trying to dominate TOP) as if they give up 40, I think they will not get in Final Four. I also expect Tex to try to slow down the game.

      If I had to pick games vs. the spread, it would be NW, UAB (which I may make a play tomorrow), and ULL. I do not like the SEC game at all or the Big12 side.

      Welcome to the forum, by the way. As a Boiler fan, I always appreciate our similar school of the south...GT. Engineering...tech schools.
      Go Boilers!
      Thru 12/14

      NCAAB 135-125-3 -18.88 units
      2* 2-6
      3* 2-5
      1H 5-13-1
      2H 126-101-2

      Comment

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