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No play for me tonight. The line right now at 17 doesn't attract me one way or the other. This game goes either two ways IMO: Boise blows the doors off Utah in the neighborhood of 49-14 or the game goes down to the wire and is a single digit affair. I think both scenarios are equally plausible, so I'm going to control myself and not just chase action. Better lines later this week.
I'm going with the Rainbow Warriors tonight. Like them on their home turf to simply outscore Tulsa. Hawaii has been a covering machine this year, especially at home. Something like 7-1 ATS.
Yeah. I was starting to wonder if I was the only one on Hawaii
Well, it doesn't look like we're going to win this one, but I still think it was a good pick. Hawaii literally DOMINATED the statistics through the first 30 minutes or so...think I saw the yardage differential at like 349-97 early in the third. The interceptions just were killer and then the 'Bows simply have rolled over.
Biggest bowl play of the year and one of my biggest of the season today.
Oklahoma State -5 vs. Arizona (3 units) WIN
So we got a team in Arizona coming into this one one a four game skid where good offenses like Oregon and Stanford pretty much did whatever they pleased vs. an explosive Okie State squad that is looking to close out a very good season. Hmm...
Oklahoma State should be able to put up 40+ here and I don't see Arizona keeping up for four quarters. I wouldn't be surprised if this is a close game at halftime (something like 24-21) but Arizona doesn't have the playmakers to match scores.
3-1 so far this bowl season...today I'm going with:
Kansas State -1.5 vs. Syracuse (2 units) LOSS
I'm backing KSU here simply because I feel that 'Cuse comes from a crap conference and their schedule is HARDLY impressive. Wins over Akron, Maine, Colgate & Rutgers constitute >50% of their wins. Yikes. Offensively they are pathetic, not scoring more than 13 in any of their final 3 games and being held under 250 total yards/gm in last two losses to UConn and BC.
KSU is no juggernaut, but they've played a MUCH tougher slate. I think they should win this one in a low scoring game somewhere around 24-17.
6.5pt teaser (1 unit) WIN Army +14.5
Under 57
I wanted to pull the trigger on Army at +8, but couldn't muster up enough courage. I think they do keep this game competitive and low-scoring by grinding out drives in an effort to keep SMU's offense off the field. They've faced good passing attacks before and held their own. I believe Army has around the 25th ranked pass D in the country.
Army is very good in creating turnovers and SMU is prone to making mistakes. The Knights should be able to get to Padron some and hopefully force him into bad throws.
The other thing I like is that Army has been a better road team than at home this year, with a 4-1 away record.
SMU has superior athletes and has the home field advantage, thus the reason I teased it up. I'll predict a 28-20 SMU victory.
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