Polar Ice Bowls

[Polar Ice]

A little early but I'm on TCU -3. Probably should have waited as I can't believe the line won't move towards Wisc before gametime. This is purely a line-based play as my gut tells me Wisc should win this one with the power running game. Especially after beating the crap out of lesser teams, putting up 70 on NW and 83 (WTF!?! - I dont think Tech put up that much during the Leach Era) on Indiana. The fact that TCU opened as a fav tells me Vegas knows something I don't.

Have a few other leans but nothing locked in yet. BOL. :glass:

[Q-Unit]

what do you think about Utah getting 17 from Boise State?

The bowl game's in LV (don't even know if LV has even hosted a bowl before? I'm not sure)

I'm thinking this is one of those scenarios where a team doesn't mentally show up because they were expecting to be in a BCS bowl. Not that Utah is some super Cinderella team that's gonna go all out, but I was stereotypically thinking a super-conservative school like Utah could be more focused while in Vegas, while BSU will be drowning their sorrows away at the Hilton's smoke-filled 60 year old waitressed BJ tables? Not the most acute sports related capping analysis but just saying lol

That and BSU (before the Nevada debacle) was 6-2 ATS with some ridiculously high spreads and cake teams, not that I put much stock into trends but I think while they are capable of just steamrolling anyone, we've just seen many examples of superior teams sometimes even losing SU in an "inferior" bowl game against someone who's just glad to be there. Utah may fit into this mold although as a 10-2 team, I haven't followed enough to know if they too were expecting a better bowl?

Other than that, I like your reasoning on the TCU pick. It's at 2.5 at some books GL :thumbs:

[BlackCat]

I love Boise in this matchup if that means anything

[Polar Ice]

I'm thinking this is one of those scenarios where a team doesn't mentally show up because they were expecting to be in a BCS bowl.

I think you hit the nail on the head. College ball is all about situations and this is a horrible one for Boise. Only hesitation is that Peterson usually gets his team to play well regardless of the situation, in a sense not playing down to their competition. That said, I do expect them to be a bit deflated going from a BCS bowl to the LV bowl. Couple this with the fact that Utah is a good squad (with a lot less press) and will be looking to prove themselves against a talented Boise team.

BSU will be drowning their sorrows away at the Hilton's smoke-filled 60 year old waitressed BJ tables

:showtits: lmao. How the hell did we end up staying at that place anyways?

BlackCat - Thx for the heads up. I'll fade you with you any day of the week. :laughing:

Only a few more days till Bowl Season :cheers:

[Polar Ice]

12/18 Bowls

UTEP +11 (-110) 1 unit - Going to start off the bowl season with a DD dog. Looks like I got a bad line as it seems most people have it at 11.5 or 12, but I'll take the chance that it doesn't come into play. Looking for UTEP to come out motivated with a slight advantage being closer to home.

Leans to Fresno and Troy later.

GL :thumbs:

[BlackCat]

:beer2:

[ATS_BDG]

Leaning toward TCU, I just think that it is tricky that they are favored in the game.

Looking ahead to December 24,

Here's a line that I don't understand and maybe someone could shed some light or tell me Im not crazy but I don't see how Hawaii is -10.5 over Tulsa. Tulsa is a team that went into South Bend and beat Notre Dame and also beat Southern Miss. Always a challenge to play in Hawaii for opponents but seems that the line is really inflated for some reason I don't know. Anybody....???

[Polar Ice]

I had typed out my picks with writeups and then my comp at work decides to shutdown. :dunno: Maybe I should take that as a sign. A lot less time for posting/capping - which thankfully kept me off a few losses - with the holidays so I'll put a few in today w/ the Cliff Notes version of the write ups.

0-1 (-1.1 units) to start bowl season.

ATS - I actually think the line on the Hawaii game is about right for the reason you stated - HFA. Hawaii a different team at home and Tulsa's wins havent looked that impressive.

So Miss +2.5 - gut play. Lville playing a big six conf schedule doesnt mean much this year. Plus line moved for Lville w/ the pub already on them (slightly).

Utah +17 - for reasons stated earlier in this thread between Q and I. Fading Boise, think they're due for a letdown after going from a BCS bowl to the LV bowl.

SDSU -5 - Played this a few days ago - obviously should've waited as I can get it at 4 now. :bang: SDSU a decent team this year flying under the radar. I really expected more people to be on Navy as a dog. SDSU kept it close in some big games (Mizzou, BYU, Utah, TCU) so hoping they come thru here.

Hawaii -10.5 - for reasons above. Hawaii at home just a diff squad.

FIU +1 - not impressed with either team really and might actually have to get sh*tfaced to watch this game. :drunk: I'll go against the pub with the line moving in the wrong direction.

GL all. :gulp:

[Polar Ice]

Updated bowl record: 2-4 (-2.4 units) :puke:

Horrible start to the bowl season. Hopefully I'll turn it around the next few days.

NC St +3
Iowa +2.5 - I dont buy into Mizzou being as good as their record with a down year for the B12.
Maryland -7.5 - ECU tanked at the end of the season. They have no defense averaging 50 pts in the last 3 games.
Illinois +1 - fading Baylor based on their away game stats. They dont have much of a following if you've watched their games so I dont buy into the home field advantage in Houston.
Ok St -5 - Arizona tanked at the end of the season

GL all and hope everybody had a Merry Christmas :thumbs: