CFB Picks

[thewickler]

Oregon -22 (2.2 to win 2)

I posted in the discussion thread. Final score is 46-10. This would be a definite 3 star game for me if it were a Saturday game. I also favor the under (big trends) but I am waiting and hoping the public pushes this line. GO PUBLIC!!!!!

[thewickler]

Mizz/Okla Over 52.5 (3.3 Units to win 3)

This is my biggest play so far this week. I have this game at 38-27 Oklahoma. I would also choose Oklahoma at a 1 unit play but there are some trends that favor Mizz. However, I do think Mizz is overrated!

My system ranks plays from 1 to 3 units. I do offer degenerate picks, those are ones that I do not play as a unit but from time to time will put a 1/4 unit on a TV game just for fun. I guess you can consider them strong opinions and treat them accordingly. I will keep track of my Unit plays with total % and units won. For fun I will keep track of the winning percentage of the degenerate plays on the side.

Good Luck all


College Football 2010
Thru Week 7
0-0-0

[BUNK MORELAND]

oregon number is up to 24

you think it will go to 25-26 by thursday ?

i think there is a good chance it does .

gettin that early was the way to go :thumbs:

good luck wick

[thewickler]

Not sure where this will end. I think it depends on Prince's status. I haven't seen anything more than he is Questionable. If he plays I think we see it level out at the 25-26 range, however, if he doesn't I can see this pushing 30. I would rather see Prince play as I know his value to the team, I would be a little worried if Brehaut gets the nod as I do not know much about him and have no really no stats. However, I would have to assume that he is just an average QB and I would still have the Ducks winning 42-19 with an improvment at the QB position. As you can see I would much rather have Prince in the line up.

The line that has me baffled is the Over. I thought I would see this hit the 62/63 mark today. If this does get to 65 or higher I will pull the trigger on a 1 unit under. Stay posted and GO PUBLIC move that line.:thumbs:

[thewickler]

I was hoping to see the line move up a little in the over under. My only offical play tonight is Oregon -22 where I got them on Monday. I do still like the under in tonights action but only if Prince plays. For those degenerates, my math shows 56 points in this game...take the under. Plus Lang is on the over....Good Luck all tonight!

[joepa66]

GL to ya TDub! :beerbang:

[thewickler]

I have this game with Cincy winning by 9. When you factor in some of the situational trends I have Cincy winning this by 13. I do believe that S Flo is a definite up and coming team and will keep them in mind to hammer them beginning of the 2011 season. Tonight I will place 1.1 unit to win 1 unit on Cincy at -9.

YTD (since starting here)
0-0 3 unit
1-0 2 unit (+2 units)
0-0 1 unit

Total 1-0 for +2 units

Gambling Degerate picks 0-1 (strong opinions that aren't played)

[thewickler]

I will try and post some analysis for the at least the 3 unit plays before tomorrow but tonight and tomorrow will be busy.

3.3 to win 3 Units Total loss of .6 Units
(Currently have MIZZ/OK Over 52.5 previous post) WIN
North Carolina +6.5 LOSS
Utah -30.5 WIN
San Diego St -24 LOSS

2.2 to win 2 units Total loss of .4 Units
Oklahoma St +6 LOSS
UAB +20 WIN
Iowa -6.5 (pains me as a badger fan) LOSS
UCF -22.5 WIN

1.1 to win 1 unit Total Win of 3.9 Units
Navy +7 WIN
Maryland +4 WIN
Arkansas -10 WIN
W Michigan -7.5 WIN
Idaho -24 LOSS
Hawaii -3.5 WIN




Gambling Degenerate Picks (TV games I would like to bet but won't)
Arizona -6.5 (Foles being out is overrated)
Oklahoma -3 (like a team that is used to big games)
Alabama -16.5
LSU +5
Northwestern +6.5


Good Luck to all

[thewickler]

Here is some insight. Good Luck to all today

3 Units
North Carolina. Simply put, the wrong team is favored. I have NC winning this 24-20. I think that Davis really has this team headed into the right direction and will make UNC an ACC force. Miami is overrated and Harris will throw a few interceptions that will give us the outright win.

Utah. I do not understand why they are still getting some value in their lines. I have them as a 42 point favorite. Colorado St is not good and Utah dominates them in all aspects of the game. Look for a 52-10 type game. This might be over by halftime.

SD St. This is actually more of a play against New Mexico. I do not know who is worse NM or NM St or Rice. Either way fading against these 3 have been easy winners this year. My math has SD St winning 42-6. This is an easy win and cover.

2 Units
OK St. Again, I do not know why OK St is not getting any love. In a nuetral field I have OK St winning by 3. Take the points or even better the moneyline and watch Nebraska lose this game. One might be able to say that they are preparing for the Big Ten. Over hyped and Over rated only to show true colors in the big game. Welcome to Big Ten country!

UAB. My math has Miss St winning by 21 which would make this pick a loser. However, the trends and the upset last week would indicate Miss St coming out a little flat. Nothing crazy here but I see this being a bit closer and call for a 11 point win for Miss St and a cover for UAB.

Iowa. Hate to go against my Badgers but this is an easy win. Would probably be a 3 unit play if I coudl get my heart out of the way. All trends point to Iowa. They have a better coach, QB, and their defensive line is a great match up against our offensive line. I look for Iowa to win 34 - 17 type range. Maybe then we can get rid of Bret Bielema. How we long for ALvarez to be on the sidelines again.

UCF. See SD St. Have UCF winning this by 31 points.

[Reggie Hamlin]

Nice call on Utah :thumbs:

[thewickler]

YTD (since starting here)
3 Unit Plays 2-2 -.6 units
2 Unit Plays 3-2 +1.6 units
1 Unit Plays 5-2 +2.8 units

Total 10-6 for +3.8 units

Gambling Degerate picks 2-3 (strong opinions that aren't played)

Tuesdays Game
I had Boise State winning this contest by 36 last week. However, with the BCS results out on Sunday night I believe there with be some extra motivation for BST tonight. Ordinarily I would only make this a Gambling Degenrate pick but this falls into a 1 unit play tonight on the Broncos. I expect this score to be 56-10 when the dust settles (but wouldnt be surprised if it were more like 69-6). Boise will be able to score at will and will not relax tonight. This game will be over by halftime or very close. Boise will not let up like they did last week either.

There is no question in my mind that Boise is probably the best team in the country and I believe the ONLY chance they have to get to the Championship game is to start destroying their opponents.

1.1 Unit to win 1 unit -37.5 Boise State