Week 8 discussion

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  • MParris86
    Michael Bolton's #1 Fan
    • Mar 2007
    • 332

    Week 8 discussion

    Early lines that piqued my interest:

    ECU -12.5 vs Marshall (ECU a very good home team)
    Michigan St. -7.5 @ Northwestern (NW is a farce)
    Western Michigan -9 @ Akron (Akron hasn't been within single digits vs. a I-A opponent)
    Kentucky +4 vs. Georgia (UGA getting too much credit IMO)
    2010 CFB: 39-33-0 (ATS)
    2010-2011 CBB: 26-24-0 (ATS)
  • rocjones
    GEAUX TIGERS
    • Sep 2010
    • 269

    #2
    I like the ECU pick....An I dont know on that UGA game..with the SEC EAST being so wide open UGA might bring an AAAA++++ game...

    Comment

    • Woody12
      Member
      • Mar 2007
      • 638

      #3
      I am leaning NWestern myself and going ot make a play on them pretty soon as I see dropping at some spots already. At +6 at my books.

      Look ahead to Iowa for MSU and also on the road. I know NW is not good but the spot sets up well for NW as I can see MSU squeaking out a win by 2-3 points.

      I am looking at UCLA +22 at Oregon too. Sometimes that #1 hype gets to a team, and UCLA's D is probably the best the Ducks have seen so far.

      Comment

      • rocjones
        GEAUX TIGERS
        • Sep 2010
        • 269

        #4
        right now im lookin@ HAWAII -3(bryan moniz goes airborne on terrible UTAH secondary)......BAYLOR-7(shutdown daniel thomas)....ARIZONA -7(jake locker flops)...LSU +8.5(DEFENSE will not let CAM prance around...UPSET ALERT)...TEMPLE -7(buffalo just isnt good)...MIAMI -7(@home should take advantage of UNC losses)but like i said this is jus early observation....:thumbs:

        Comment

        • BUNK MORELAND
          Senior Member
          • Mar 2007
          • 3479

          #5
          Early

          I'm looking at UNC as a good looking dog at +6.5

          Things are settling down for the Tar Heels. After all the off field stuff that has gone on this year , they are putting together a nice season.

          By far they have the better QB ... Give me Yates over Jacory any day ..

          I don't see Miami beating them by more than a td.

          NC only has two losses both to pretty good teams and both by less than a td
          Keep em in the hole, Down in the hole

          NCAA STR PLAYS YTD
          (5-6) -1.5

          NCAA 3 PICKS PARLAYS YTD
          (1-1) +1 unit

          NCAA ML STR PLAYS YTD
          (0-2) -1 unit

          NBA STR PLAYS YTD
          (2-0) +2.5 units

          Comment

          • hodown
            Member
            • Mar 2007
            • 923

            #6
            NW +6

            I think this is a great spot for NW. MSU didn't pull away from Illinois until the second half, and NW is going to bring a lot more to the table offensively than Illinois did. This is also MSU's first game outside of Michigan in over a month, and sandwiched right before a big game next weekend for Iowa. My bookie won't let me play games until Tuesday's, or I would've pounced on this at 7.

            Oklahoma -3

            Trap line of the week but this line is essentially a pickem. Missouri had a dominating win in College Station last week against an A&M team that has practically mailed it in. I don't see any letdown here for OU, and no look ahead either. In other words, there shouldn't be an reason their A game doesn't come out here, and I think their A game is better than Missouri's, and OU's defense is the pace setter in this imo.

            Ga, LSU, and UNC look appealing to me as well.

            Comment

            • BUNK MORELAND
              Senior Member
              • Mar 2007
              • 3479

              #7
              Originally posted by hodown
              NW +6

              I think this is a great spot for NW. MSU didn't pull away from Illinois until the second half, and NW is going to bring a lot more to the table offensively than Illinois did. This is also MSU's first game outside of Michigan in over a month, and sandwiched right before a big game next weekend for Iowa. My bookie won't let me play games until Tuesday's, or I would've pounced on this at 7.

              Oklahoma -3

              Trap line of the week but this line is essentially a pickem. Missouri had a dominating win in College Station last week against an A&M team that has practically mailed it in. I don't see any letdown here for OU, and no look ahead either. In other words, there shouldn't be an reason their A game doesn't come out here, and I think their A game is better than Missouri's, and OU's defense is the pace setter in this imo.

              Ga, LSU, and UNC look appealing to me as well.
              I am going to make an assertive effort to look for dogs.

              Really like UNC ...
              Keep em in the hole, Down in the hole

              NCAA STR PLAYS YTD
              (5-6) -1.5

              NCAA 3 PICKS PARLAYS YTD
              (1-1) +1 unit

              NCAA ML STR PLAYS YTD
              (0-2) -1 unit

              NBA STR PLAYS YTD
              (2-0) +2.5 units

              Comment

              • BUNK MORELAND
                Senior Member
                • Mar 2007
                • 3479

                #8
                I know alot of people have been saying

                AUBURN IS ON BORROWED TIME..

                I just don't believe now is the time to play against them.


                If anything LSU is the one playing on borrowed time . This line is down to 6 now.

                The players around Newton are stepping up. And Newton was very efficient in the passing game when he had to make a play with his arm against ark.

                THis is a scary offense. They make big plays in the running game .

                The defense is a definite liablity though.

                The play could once again be the over in this one.

                LSU can score points on the special teams ! and Auburn is going to score atleast 30
                Last edited by BUNK MORELAND; 10-18-2010, 07:11 PM.
                Keep em in the hole, Down in the hole

                NCAA STR PLAYS YTD
                (5-6) -1.5

                NCAA 3 PICKS PARLAYS YTD
                (1-1) +1 unit

                NCAA ML STR PLAYS YTD
                (0-2) -1 unit

                NBA STR PLAYS YTD
                (2-0) +2.5 units

                Comment

                • Daws1089
                  Moderator
                  • Mar 2007
                  • 7811

                  #9
                  agree with your assessment on auburn. LSU's D will hurt them in this one.

                  Comment

                  • BoilerBacker
                    Big 10 Commish/Moderator
                    • Mar 2007
                    • 25015

                    #10
                    Interesting....

                    Just posted plays on MSU and LSU. Good to see some agreement.

                    Purdue is due to be spanked. Going to follow that line and see where it goes.
                    Go Boilers!
                    Thru 11/27

                    NCAAB 89-75-2 +16.92 units
                    2* 2-6
                    3* 0-3
                    1H 1-0
                    2H 85-66-2

                    Comment

                    • thewickler
                      Member
                      • Oct 2010
                      • 333

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Woody12
                      I am looking at UCLA +22 at Oregon too. Sometimes that #1 hype gets to a team, and UCLA's D is probably the best the Ducks have seen so far.

                      I would argue that UCLA is only slightly better than Tennessee. They are not better than Stanford or Arizona St. I do agree that sometimes #1 gets to a team as I witnessed first hand in Camp Randall. Go Badgers! However, not here. The only way Oregon does not cover this and cover this BIG is if they can't shut down the UCLA rushing attack. They will be putting 8 and possibly 9 in the box all night and will force Prince to beat them which is a joke.

                      I do see a potential Stan/Tenn type game where they have you on wondering in the first half. But in the end Oregon is just too much. 46-10 is the score. I do slightly like the under in this game. I am hoping that the public sees it at 60.5 and drives this up to 63/64 range though.

                      Comment

                      • MParris86
                        Michael Bolton's #1 Fan
                        • Mar 2007
                        • 332

                        #12
                        I just don't believe Northwestern will be able to hang with MSU for the entire game. They will be IN the game, just not for four quarters. MSU will wear them out, just like they did to Illinois. Northwestern plays teams close, but they very easily could be 2-4 rather than 5-1 considering some of the nailbiters they've played against mediocre competition.

                        I think MSU believes they are the class of the Big Ten and they're playing at a high level, especially on defense. They saw what happened to OSU last week and I'm sure the Sparty staff is making the team focus on the moment.


                        _____________________

                        On a separate note, why is the line moving on the Western Michigan - Akron game? Opened at 9 or 9.5 and now down to 7.5. AKRON HAS LOST TO EVERY FBS TEAM BY DOUBLE DIGITS! Who they hell is on them?
                        2010 CFB: 39-33-0 (ATS)
                        2010-2011 CBB: 26-24-0 (ATS)

                        Comment

                        • BoilerBacker
                          Big 10 Commish/Moderator
                          • Mar 2007
                          • 25015

                          #13
                          Originally posted by MParris86
                          I just don't believe Northwestern will be able to hang with MSU for the entire game. They will be IN the game, just not for four quarters. MSU will wear them out, just like they did to Illinois. Northwestern plays teams close, but they very easily could be 2-4 rather than 5-1 considering some of the nailbiters they've played against mediocre competition.

                          I think MSU believes they are the class of the Big Ten and they're playing at a high level, especially on defense. They saw what happened to OSU last week and I'm sure the Sparty staff is making the team focus on the moment.


                          _____________________

                          On a separate note, why is the line moving on the Western Michigan - Akron game? Opened at 9 or 9.5 and now down to 7.5. AKRON HAS LOST TO EVERY FBS TEAM BY DOUBLE DIGITS! Who they hell is on them?
                          I will bet you my car that Akron does not lose every game, never mind every game by DD. Western Michigan is not very good. Beat Nicholls and Ball State. Not sure whether it is worth a play on Akron, but it is the third straight away game for WMU vs. a team that they will take lightly. Akron had 5 turnovers vs. Kent and only lost by 11.
                          Go Boilers!
                          Thru 11/27

                          NCAAB 89-75-2 +16.92 units
                          2* 2-6
                          3* 0-3
                          1H 1-0
                          2H 85-66-2

                          Comment

                          • rocjones
                            GEAUX TIGERS
                            • Sep 2010
                            • 269

                            #14
                            I really think LSU will win this game straight out...Auburn will not be able to run CAM like he has been doing..LSU front 7 is real good...If AUBURN wants to win they will have 2 pass...CAM is not that accurate..On the other hand LEE will have 2 step up...AUBURN secondary is very weak...On the other hand the LSU OFFENSE really needs 2 step up..I really think TOLLIVER...RANDLE...and SHEPARD should be REAL BIG:thumbs: I'm definetly taking LSU and the POINTS

                            Comment

                            • BUNK MORELAND
                              Senior Member
                              • Mar 2007
                              • 3479

                              #15
                              Baylor vs KST

                              This is an interesting matchup in the big 12. Baylor can get to 6 wins vs only 2 losses with a big home win over K ST saturday in waco. We all seen what Taylor Martinez and that NEBRASKA run game did to K ST a couple thursdays ago.

                              Griffin has received some help in the run game from RB FINLEY of late.


                              K ST hasn't played since they got destroyed by NEBRASKA

                              Baylor has a tough stretch coming up as they head to Austin and to Stillwater in their next two.


                              Baylor has shown good balance on offense and i feel K ST is very vulnerable to athletic qb's and good running games
                              Keep em in the hole, Down in the hole

                              NCAA STR PLAYS YTD
                              (5-6) -1.5

                              NCAA 3 PICKS PARLAYS YTD
                              (1-1) +1 unit

                              NCAA ML STR PLAYS YTD
                              (0-2) -1 unit

                              NBA STR PLAYS YTD
                              (2-0) +2.5 units

                              Comment

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