Week 8 discussion
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Keep em in the hole, Down in the hole
NCAA STR PLAYS YTD
(5-6) -1.5
NCAA 3 PICKS PARLAYS YTD
(1-1) +1 unit
NCAA ML STR PLAYS YTD
(0-2) -1 unit
NBA STR PLAYS YTD
(2-0) +2.5 unitsComment
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I will bet you my car that Akron does not lose every game, never mind every game by DD. Western Michigan is not very good. Beat Nicholls and Ball State. Not sure whether it is worth a play on Akron, but it is the third straight away game for WMU vs. a team that they will take lightly. Akron had 5 turnovers vs. Kent and only lost by 11.
I agree WMU is not a stellar football team, but they can at least move the football and put points on the scoreboard through the air...something that Akron still can't do seven weeks into the season.
Patrick Nicely -God love him, I know the kid- has only 3 TD passes on the SEASON. If there are signs that are pointing to the Zips as a much better football team now than in week 2 or 3, please advise.2010 CFB: 39-33-0 (ATS)
2010-2011 CBB: 26-24-0 (ATS)Comment
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Going back to the Mizzou-Okie Game. I was looking at the numbers as far as betting % and 80% is on the Sooners on the road.
I don't like to go with that type of play but its better than that amount being on the dog.
What are you guys thoughts on this game? I am liking Mizzou with the points but also see it as kind of a teaser line begging for Mizzou money and it will end up a blow-out in Okie's favor.
It reminds me a lot of when Okie played FSU and, and the 'value' play was on FSU but then Okie hammered them.
I still think the OVER 52 is the best bet but leaning Mizzou too +3.Comment
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Illinois a 14 point fave at home vs Indiana? At first glance, seems like a big number for us to cover considering IU can score in bunches through the air and we are very inconsistent on offense w/Scheelhaase. To cover this number I would think we'd have to run for 250+ and win the field position and turnover (at least +2) battles The fact that it's homecoming will not make a difference as the crowds are pretty lame outside of games against tOSU or Michigan. At the very least, inlcuding IU in a teaser to be getting almost 3 TDs makes some sense.Moose
"Don't give up! Don't ever give up!" - Jimmy VComment
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Obviously Vegas is liking what they see out of Mizzou for this to be at 3. One doesn't even need to check out the public on this game to know where they're siding. I don't see any value in the line for Mizzou, b/c they basically need to win s/u. In these types of situations I like to side with the school that's been through the big games before, not the team that just jumped off the porch, especially in such a small line.
One thing about Pinkel that stuck with me is their bowl game last year, Navy was literally using two down lineman to force Mizzou to run the ball, and they still refused to do so. I don't get to see Mizzou often however. I did watch them against A&M and they looked good, but A&M is coached atrociously and I couldn't get much feel for how good Mizzou really is.Comment
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I REALLY LIKE OU IN THIS GAME...I THINK MIZZOU IS 1 DIMENSIONAL...LANDRY JONES IS PLAYING VERY WELL...I THINK STOOPS GONNA POUND THE BALL MAKE MIZZOU PLAY IN THE BOX...MIZZOU SECONDARY IS DECENT....LOOK FOR D.MURRAY AND THE FRESHMEN WR KENNY STILLS TO HAVE BIG GAMES:thumbs:Comment
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Something that jumped out to me on this card is the UCF/Rice total. Public is slamming over and it has moved down a half point from 51.5 to 51 at a lot of books. This is a UCF D that is playing well and getting turnovers. I can't see Rice putting up more than 10-14 so I just wonder if UCF can/will go over 40 themselves. Could easily see a 35-6ish game here.Comment
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Interesting stat: Wisconsin is 41-42 against Iowa, yet none of those 41 wins have come in a year where Iowa has won 8 or more games. For the record I like Iowa to win but am unsure about the cover. I guess I'd lean for it.
Nothing yet jumps out at me other than ou and nw. Naturally I got the worst line possible again on nw. Too much uncertainty in the aub lsu game. Nebraska and uga are still possibilities. Dawgs look scarceComment
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