Bullz Picks Week 4

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  • DaBullz
    Member
    • Sep 2010
    • 161

    Bullz Picks Week 4

    Had a pretty good week last week going 6-3 and getting up 2.8 units. Unfortunately one play away from being up 5.1 units on the ND moneyline but that's the way it goes sometimes :bang:. Got one early play because I know the line is going to keep moving against me.

    UCONN -20 vs Buffalo

    I normally wouldn't want any Big East team laying these kind of points but when you have an experienced, well-coached UCONN team that has seriously underachieved so far this season up against some teams that have improved drastically from last season. Frazer has struggled early in the season but after the bad loss against Temple and a little pressure being put on him he should come out with a big game against a UB defense that has only had any kind of success against Rhode Island and a UCF offense that has looked stagnant so far this season. When you factor in Jordan Toddman and an experienced OL for UCONN and a defensive front that should give a struggling UB QB (Jerry Davis) even more fits than UCF and Baylor did I see a big win for a UCONN team coming home after being upset @ Temple.

    Seriously considering the following plays but haven't put anything in for sure:
    WVU +9.5 @ LSU
    South Carolina +2.5 @ Auburn
    Troy -11 vs Arkansas St
    SDSU -7.5 vs Utah St
  • irishmike
    Moderator
    • Mar 2007
    • 2095

    #2
    Good luck!

    Comment

    • joepa66
      MOD Squad
      • Mar 2007
      • 24811

      #3
      BOL to ya Bullz.....:thumbs:

      I like Troy and was actually contemplating jumping on the Bulls from Buffalo......
      Batman: "If you can't spend it, money's just a lot of worthless paper, isn't it?" :phew:

      Comment

      • FlyersFan
        Senior Member
        • Mar 2007
        • 12128

        #4
        GL!...:thumbs:....like your leans as well...not really sold on UCONN, though.....
        I am the M'bah a'Flyers Fan !

        Comment

        • DaBullz
          Member
          • Sep 2010
          • 161

          #5
          Thanks Mike and FF. JoePa - Don't like seeing you on the side of DaOtherBulls but GL anyways

          Adding:

          South Carolina ML vs Auburn(+125)

          If SC can continue their success against the run early in this game and force Newton to put the ball in the air they will have a very good chance at winning this game. Newton threw 2 picks on 14 passes against the only decent pass D on the schedule so far in Clemson and SC's underachieving secondary has already picked the ball off 3 times this season. I think turnovers will be the name of the game here and SC should have more success moving the ball on the ground which will keep Garcia from throwing the ball 33 times per game like he did last year when SC was putting up 121 ypg rushing.

          Been going back and forth on a lot of games on this weeks card and not liking many of them. Still considering ND and SDSU but not sure what I'm going to play yet.

          Comment

          • DaBullz
            Member
            • Sep 2010
            • 161

            #6
            Adding:

            Miami -1.5 vs Pitt(-140)

            Expensive as hell at betus but I don't see pitt gaining any ground in this one.

            Comment

            • FlyersFan
              Senior Member
              • Mar 2007
              • 12128

              #7
              Originally posted by DaBullz
              Adding:

              Miami -1.5 vs Pitt(-140)

              Expensive as hell at betus but I don't see pitt gaining any ground in this one.
              GL!...you really need to find multiple outs and this is a good example....you are laying -1 1/2 -140 and you could be laying -1/2 -115 at the greek or some other books. And if you are getting the "shaded" lines at betus that some get you really need to find another out for favorites. That is really horrible value on that play, but i still think you cash it unless jaw-quarry implodes
              I am the M'bah a'Flyers Fan !

              Comment

              • allstar1823
                Newbie
                • Sep 2010
                • 55

                #8
                Newbie

                GL too ya,

                Took Miami -1 2/h
                I agree with you on the Cocks play as well.

                Me being from Columbia never bet with or against Carolina, believe the cocks will roll.:party:
                Its not a problem, if you keep winning. :beerbang:
                Go Cocks

                Comment

                • DaBullz
                  Member
                  • Sep 2010
                  • 161

                  #9
                  Flyers - yeah I've been meaning to do that this season. Had some cash in betus already and added some to it at the beginning of the season but should have put that extra somewhere else. I don't think I have ever laid -140 before(even on a ML) but I couldn't pass this one up.

                  Thanks allstar. I'm the same way with usf. Rarely bet for or against them but I think I'm 5-0 when I have. I feel pretty similar with this game as I did with notre dame last week. Seems like a tossup and I'll take the dog ml odds in an even game any day. In hind sight I should have taken the points on that one last week but at +2.5 I'll stick with the ML

                  Comment

                  • DaBullz
                    Member
                    • Sep 2010
                    • 161

                    #10
                    Adding:

                    NC State/GT Under 28.5(+100)

                    Comment

                    • DaBullz
                      Member
                      • Sep 2010
                      • 161

                      #11
                      Probably the last play of the day...

                      Adding:

                      UAB +6 @ Tenn(2nd half)

                      Comment

                      • DaBullz
                        Member
                        • Sep 2010
                        • 161

                        #12
                        Adding:

                        Army/Duke Over 55

                        Comment

                        • DaBullz
                          Member
                          • Sep 2010
                          • 161

                          #13
                          Week 4 Recap:

                          Thursday
                          WINNER Miami -1.5 @ Pitt(-140) - 1.4 to win 1

                          Saturday
                          WINNER UCONN -20 vs Buffalo(-110) - 1.1 to win 1
                          LOSER South Carolina ML @ Auburn(+125) - 1 to win 1.25
                          LOSER NC State/GT Under 28.5(2nd half)(+100) - 1 to win 1
                          WINNER UAB +6 @ Tennessee(2nd half)(-110) - 1.1 to win 1
                          WINNER Army/Duke Over 55(-110) - 1.1 to win 1

                          Week 4: 4-2 (+2.0 units)
                          YTD: 10-5 (+4.8 units)

                          Another week in the black. Had some close calls with UCONN and Army/Duke over but overall a good week.

                          Comment

                          • joepa66
                            MOD Squad
                            • Mar 2007
                            • 24811

                            #14
                            Nice work Bullz! :thumbs:
                            Batman: "If you can't spend it, money's just a lot of worthless paper, isn't it?" :phew:

                            Comment

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