plays

[hodown]

Too many plays today, but lets do it...


Ole Miss -1.5 1 unit

[hodown]

Oregon St +17.5 for 1 unit

[hodown]

Asu Oregon under 56

[hodown]

Asu Oregon under 56

[hodown]

Wanted to make sure I got the worst lines possible for these games.

Oklahoma -4
Stanford +7
Michigan st pk
Iowa -1.5 / Florida +15

All plays one unit

[FlyersFan]

Iowa rolls this week I think...:thumbs:

GL!....

[joepa66]

PSU lost like their only returning veteran lineman and they have sucked all year long running the ball. They will have to more than pass happy and with success to have the slightest chance this weekend. Talk about a team needing to improve and in a helluva hurry.

GL Hodown!

[hodown]

Had a nice little post going until my stupid mac decided to crap out. Long story short, both teams are going to struggle moving the ball. If Iowa's special teams or "Pick Six" Rick decide not to rear their ugly heads, I don't see any reason why Iowa "shouldn't" win this game. That being said I think it's similar to last year, except PSU will need to hang around this time and make plays late like Iowa did last year.

Regarding Sat, I'm very excited the networks decided to put all the good games on late. Red River is pushed back to 230 this year, meaning I can sit around and :puke: on myself all morning, (no disrespect to the early teams), but can't we put at least one marquee matchup there? Miami/Clemson is alright, but I don't feel like dragging 18 tv's out at 7:00 just b/c the conferences all want to do night games. And I refuse to go to BW3 and watch Iowa during a big game, and that's the only efficient way to catch more than 2 games at once. CFB powers that be and networks are really starting to piss me off.

Added...

VT -4 1 unit

Even though Williams is out, it looks like VT has settled down and turned the corner. Also looking at Wash +10 and moneyline. They looked craptastic against Neby, but this will still be the best team USC has played all year, and they haven't looked so hot themselves.

[hodown]

Will prob add Stanford ML tomorrow but that should be my last add

Washington +10 1 unit
Washington ML +320 1/2 unit

[hodown]

Early plays now, hopefully the lines go the right way instead of the wrong way like last week. Or maybe I shouldn't care since they're already in. All 1 unit plays

Stanford -7.5
Michigan St +5
Florida St +6.5
Kansas St +12

Stanford -1.5 / Arkansas -2.5

I just don't see Stanford in letdown mode with USC coming in, even after a tough loss. Fact of the matter is USC wasn't upset last week, they're just not that good right now. USC's defense is not Oregon's and probably not even ND's, so I have to think Stanford gets into the 30's atleast, and I don't see USC over mid 20's

MSU and FSU are in the same boat. Both in rivalry games, which tend to be see-saw. I don't think homefield means as much in either game, and I'm covering 3 and 4 points. I've been waiting all season to fade Michigan and I think now is the time. MSU is better defensively, and more dimensional offensively. FSU has been under the radar since the OU debacle, yet Miami still has a top 15 ranking with an equally crappy performance against OSU. Miami may have a slight edge defensively but FSU has the better Oline and the better QB and are probably getting 2 to 3 more points than they should be. That line says Miami is a favorite at FSU, and I just don't see that big of a difference between the two.

I watched KSU play ISU earlier this year, and the score was much closer than the game indicated. KSU has a very solid running game and will have the best defense Nebraska has seen by far this year. I'm covering a lot of points here and its a primetime game at night so some home field advantage should kick in.

[FlyersFan]

hodown- GL!....i lean heavily MSU but i lean harder Over in that one.....historical Over series and Michigan can't stop anyone. Cousins will have a big day but so will Robinson for Michigan. Michigan would love to avenge their recent woes over MSU, but can that defense do enough??.......think Mich by a TD but again, rather have the over.

[hodown]

If I wasn't the worst totals player of all time id consider it. My issue with Michigan is that even if they play inspired football, the defense is so bad that I just don't see them overcoming their sh*tyness and I don't see how the offense can do much better than they have been. Over is a good play, but I just have a mental block playing totals.

Utah -6
Oregon st +8.5

Isu has been outgained significantly in 4 of 5 and have benefitted from a +5 turnover Margin. They were -4 against Iowa. The bye week makes me a little nervous in the az game but I'm getting the right side of 7 and think the two teams are fairly even.

[rocjones]

I MAY FALL OFF THE CLIFF

I REALLY LIKE MICHIGAN IN THIS GAME..I LIKE DENARD 2 PASS IN THIS GAME..MSU GONNA PUT 8 IN THE BOX..WHICH IS GONNA LEAVE CORNERS ON ISLAND..IF MICHIGAN DEFENSE CAN GET A COUPLE OF 3RD DOWN STOPS..I C MICHIGAN WINNING BY A TD OR MORE...THE BIG HOUSE WILL B ROCKIN..GREG ROBINSON NEEDS 2 HAV A GAME PLAN 2 STOP THE PASS..MICHIGAN IS DECENT AGAINST THE RUN..THIS WEEK GONNA B THE DENARD AIR ACADEMY...MICHIGAN WR'S R GOOD AND THIS WEEKEND WILL SHOW...SO AS U CAN TELL I'M LEANING TOWARDS MICHIGAN...MSG 2 RICHROD...RECRUIT SUM DEFENSE AND YOU'LL B TOP 10 NEXT FEW YEARS:thumbs:

[joepa66]

Like MSU to keep pace also Hodown! Now let's swing them partners round and round.....GL :thumbs:

[hodown]

Still liking MSU Joe, I haven't heard any reasoning on here to lead me to believe otherwise. Jones is one of the best LB's in the nation and will be spying Robinson, and I'm not sold he can beat a good team solely through the air.

Two games I'm looking at hard are:

Arkansas -5 vs A&M
Arkansas / A&M over 62

Minnesota +22 @ Wisconsin

Ark/A&M line is dropping like an anchor, opening at 8.5. A&M thoroughly outgained OSU but lost the turnover battle, and I do think they are undervalued. But nothing Arkansas has done on the field this year leads me to believe they lose this game. Defense has looked lively and they are coming off a bye. They do have a monster game at Auburn next week, a game I think they win, but A&M hasn't seen a passing attack even close to this on the year. I pegged the line to open where it did, but did not foresee this much of a drop. For those that are in love with the Mich/MSU over, I think this one is more surefire. How A&M stops Arkansas from scoring in the 40's is beyond me, and I'm sure A&M is good for 20 with Johnson creating. Any thoughts???

Wisconsin is in a horrific spot right here, coming off a tough loss and the biggest game of their season on deck. Minnesota is pukealicious bad but this is the B10, and no team should be dogged 3 td's to any other B10 team, even OSU. Bielema does get his rocks off on raping bad teams, which makes me nervous. My card is starting to get a bit large, but this is a good spot play.

Adds 10/9:

Arkansas / A&M over 62.5 1 unit
Florida St +200 1/2 unit
Michigan St +165 1/2 unit

FSU/Miami total is 48.5 which I think is too low, but 1 total played is 1 too many most likely for me. No more adds.