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Brandon Lang 12/12
30 DIME - NAVY MIDSHIPMEN - This is another Navy rout waiting to happen.
Over the last 10 years, Navy has won 9, and all but one of those 9 wins has been by double digits.
You focus on the last 5 years and you will see Navy wins by margins of 29, 19, 12, 35 and 34.
Folks, only 1 game in the last 10 years has been close, and what is even more impressive is in 4 of the last 5 years Navy has been laying double digits.
The only non-cover was 2006 when as a 18 point favorite, Navy won the game 26-14 as Army punched in a touchdown with just 2 seconds on the clock for the backdoor score.
Take a deep breath because the following number is even more alarming.
Navy has won the last 8 meetings by a combined score of 312-74.
They both played 4 bowl teams but as you are about to see, Navy not only played the better of the 4 teams, they were competitive in everyone.
The Midshipmen played Ohio State on the road to start the season putting up 27 points on the Buckeyes defense and were sniffing the outright win before finally losing 31-27. They battled Pitt to a 27-14 game, beat Air Force 16-13 and lost to Temple 27-24.
Conversely, Army lost to Iowa State 31-10, Rutgers 27-10, Air Force 35-7 and Temple 27-13.
So as you can see the Knights were blown out by an average margin of almost 20 points a game, and that will not bode well for them again today facing this Navy squad off a loss to Hawaii which was a homecoming of sorts for head coach Ken Niumatalolo.
You had better believe it's been a long couple of weeks after the embarrassing loss 24-17 in good old Honolulu.
Folks, it's just to much of an uphill battle facing this Army team considering Navy is going to score with the 3rd best rush offense in the country that has really destroyed some people this year.
There is no question Navy is the better team. No question at all, and if Air Force can hammer this team 35-7 I feel sorry for this Army team today facing a Navy squad that destroyed Rice 63-14, andhas margin of victories this year by 18, 16 and 19.
You really look at Army's 5 wins this year and you will see a 13 point win at Eastern Michigan, 7 point win at home over Ball State, 3 point win at home over Vandy, 5 point win at home over VMI, and a 4 point win over North Texas.
The only signature win for Army was Vandy but again, when you struggle to score 17 points at North Texas, who ranks 104th in run defense and in the bottom 20 nationally in total defense, how much of a signature win can that be.
Bottom line is this. Do you really trust Army plus the points in a Rivalry game they have lost 9 of the last 10 years and all but one of those Navy wins has been by double digits? Enough said.
15 DIME - NORTHERN IOWA PANTHERS -Sometimes your reputation precedes you, and such is the case with Siena.
Last year they made some noise in the big dance last year advancing to the 2nd round and proceeded to scare #1 seed Louisville. Siena returns 4 starters from that squad but lost top scorer Kenny Hasbrouck.
They have gotten off to a 6-3 start SU and an impressive 5-3 ATS, but now they step up to face the best team in the Missouri Valley conference in Northern Iowa, a team that returns their entire starting 5 from a year ago.
They too have gotten off to a rock solid start going 6-1 SU and 4-3 ATS, but bottom line is I am just a lot more impressed with their early body of work than I am Siena.
The Panthers have beaten Iowa State out of the Big 12 by 13 on the road as a 5 1/2 point dog, and Iowa out of the Big 10 by 17 at home as an 11 point favorite.
This is a step up for Siena as their only wins this year are against Albany, Brown, Iona, Delaware, Northeastern and Tennessee State.
Last but not least you throw in Northern Iowa's 8-1 ATS mark when facing a team with a winning SU record and this is great value with the Panthers at home.
Roll with Northern Iowa
5 DIME - UNLV REBELS - Like this Lon Kruger squad.
They have gotten off to a fast start going 7-0 SU and covering 3 of their 4 lined games this year.
Now they get the 8-1 Kansas State Wildcats coming to town and you had better believe Lon will have the Rebels ready.
Already on a Saturday this year Unlv took care of Louisville after blowing a 20 point 2nd half lead.
What I like about this squad that returns 2 starters but is more of a "TEAM" than Kruger has had in the last couple of years.
Personally, I feel Kansas State is living off the Michael Beasley hype of last year and I really don't think this is value you can pass up with the Rebels at home.
Not only is Unlv 7-3 ATS last 10 Saturday games but you add Kansas State a dismal 8-20 ATS last 28 facing a team with a winning home record and this has a Unlv home win and cover written all over it.
Ride the Running Rebels today.
FREE SELECTION - NEW MEXICO LOBOS
30 DIME - NAVY MIDSHIPMEN - This is another Navy rout waiting to happen.
Over the last 10 years, Navy has won 9, and all but one of those 9 wins has been by double digits.
You focus on the last 5 years and you will see Navy wins by margins of 29, 19, 12, 35 and 34.
Folks, only 1 game in the last 10 years has been close, and what is even more impressive is in 4 of the last 5 years Navy has been laying double digits.
The only non-cover was 2006 when as a 18 point favorite, Navy won the game 26-14 as Army punched in a touchdown with just 2 seconds on the clock for the backdoor score.
Take a deep breath because the following number is even more alarming.
Navy has won the last 8 meetings by a combined score of 312-74.
They both played 4 bowl teams but as you are about to see, Navy not only played the better of the 4 teams, they were competitive in everyone.
The Midshipmen played Ohio State on the road to start the season putting up 27 points on the Buckeyes defense and were sniffing the outright win before finally losing 31-27. They battled Pitt to a 27-14 game, beat Air Force 16-13 and lost to Temple 27-24.
Conversely, Army lost to Iowa State 31-10, Rutgers 27-10, Air Force 35-7 and Temple 27-13.
So as you can see the Knights were blown out by an average margin of almost 20 points a game, and that will not bode well for them again today facing this Navy squad off a loss to Hawaii which was a homecoming of sorts for head coach Ken Niumatalolo.
You had better believe it's been a long couple of weeks after the embarrassing loss 24-17 in good old Honolulu.
Folks, it's just to much of an uphill battle facing this Army team considering Navy is going to score with the 3rd best rush offense in the country that has really destroyed some people this year.
There is no question Navy is the better team. No question at all, and if Air Force can hammer this team 35-7 I feel sorry for this Army team today facing a Navy squad that destroyed Rice 63-14, andhas margin of victories this year by 18, 16 and 19.
You really look at Army's 5 wins this year and you will see a 13 point win at Eastern Michigan, 7 point win at home over Ball State, 3 point win at home over Vandy, 5 point win at home over VMI, and a 4 point win over North Texas.
The only signature win for Army was Vandy but again, when you struggle to score 17 points at North Texas, who ranks 104th in run defense and in the bottom 20 nationally in total defense, how much of a signature win can that be.
Bottom line is this. Do you really trust Army plus the points in a Rivalry game they have lost 9 of the last 10 years and all but one of those Navy wins has been by double digits? Enough said.
15 DIME - NORTHERN IOWA PANTHERS -Sometimes your reputation precedes you, and such is the case with Siena.
Last year they made some noise in the big dance last year advancing to the 2nd round and proceeded to scare #1 seed Louisville. Siena returns 4 starters from that squad but lost top scorer Kenny Hasbrouck.
They have gotten off to a 6-3 start SU and an impressive 5-3 ATS, but now they step up to face the best team in the Missouri Valley conference in Northern Iowa, a team that returns their entire starting 5 from a year ago.
They too have gotten off to a rock solid start going 6-1 SU and 4-3 ATS, but bottom line is I am just a lot more impressed with their early body of work than I am Siena.
The Panthers have beaten Iowa State out of the Big 12 by 13 on the road as a 5 1/2 point dog, and Iowa out of the Big 10 by 17 at home as an 11 point favorite.
This is a step up for Siena as their only wins this year are against Albany, Brown, Iona, Delaware, Northeastern and Tennessee State.
Last but not least you throw in Northern Iowa's 8-1 ATS mark when facing a team with a winning SU record and this is great value with the Panthers at home.
Roll with Northern Iowa
5 DIME - UNLV REBELS - Like this Lon Kruger squad.
They have gotten off to a fast start going 7-0 SU and covering 3 of their 4 lined games this year.
Now they get the 8-1 Kansas State Wildcats coming to town and you had better believe Lon will have the Rebels ready.
Already on a Saturday this year Unlv took care of Louisville after blowing a 20 point 2nd half lead.
What I like about this squad that returns 2 starters but is more of a "TEAM" than Kruger has had in the last couple of years.
Personally, I feel Kansas State is living off the Michael Beasley hype of last year and I really don't think this is value you can pass up with the Rebels at home.
Not only is Unlv 7-3 ATS last 10 Saturday games but you add Kansas State a dismal 8-20 ATS last 28 facing a team with a winning home record and this has a Unlv home win and cover written all over it.
Ride the Running Rebels today.
FREE SELECTION - NEW MEXICO LOBOS