***The Knuckleballers Computer Based System Tracking Thread***

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  • joepa66
    MOD Squad
    • Mar 2007
    • 24939

    #76
    BOL to ya Knucksey! :thumbs:
    Batman: "If you can't spend it, money's just a lot of worthless paper, isn't it?" :phew:

    Comment

    • sdyarnell
      Newbie
      • Nov 2009
      • 16

      #77
      so do you base your model off of stats or strictly game scores?

      Comment

      • tdawgmd
        Member
        • Sep 2007
        • 187

        #78
        lol, wouldn't be a system if it was based on game scores alone

        He's been pretty successful this season. I think there's a little more to it than that.

        Comment

        • The Knuckleballer
          Member
          • Sep 2009
          • 355

          #79
          Overall Record (77-67-2) +29 Units
          *****5 Unit Picks***** (1-0) +5 Units
          ****4 Unit Picks**** (8-0) +32 Units
          ***3 Unit Picks*** (10-9-1) 0 Units
          **2 Unit Picks** (31-30-1) -4.2 Unit
          *1 Unit Picks* (27-28) -3.8 Units

          Total Unit Based Record (156-115-5) +29 Units
          Risk Adj. Winning % (56.52%)


          I love Bowl Season, and I have a 3 Unit Pick for tonight's game that I feel very strongly about. In my opinion the wrong team is favored. I have this game capped at BYU -6.5. BYU should be able to get pressure on Canfield tonight. Thus far, BYU has forced 28 sacks this season. Also, the Beavers should have trouble getting BYU off the field on 3rd down. BYU has converted 55.5% of their 3rd downs this season. GL and enjoy the game!!

          sdyarnell- No, I use more statistics than just game scores. Using game scores alone is too simplistic to produce long term results. GL tonight!

          ***3 Unit Picks***
          BYU +2.5

          Comment

          • sdyarnell
            Newbie
            • Nov 2009
            • 16

            #80
            thats wasup.

            Comment

            • LLXC
              Newbie
              • Aug 2008
              • 76

              #81
              Computer Based System seems to be working. GJ.

              Comment

              • The Knuckleballer
                Member
                • Sep 2009
                • 355

                #82
                Overall Record (78-67-2) +32 Units
                *****5 Unit Picks***** (1-0) +5 Units
                ****4 Unit Picks**** (8-0) +32 Units
                ***3 Unit Picks*** (11-9-1) +3 Units
                **2 Unit Picks** (31-30-1) -4.2 Unit
                *1 Unit Picks* (27-28) -3.8 Units

                Total Unit Based Record (159-115-5) +32 Units
                Risk Adj. Winning % (56.99%)


                Thanks for all the support this season. Tonight, I have a small 1 Unit Pick for everyone. I have this game capped at Cal +2.5, as opposed to Cal -3. Cal is a different team without Best. Utah is riding an 8 game bowl winning streak into this matchup, and I fully expect Utah to keep it going with another solid bowl outing tonight. The Mountain West came to play last night, and I expect the same tonight. GL to everyone and Merry Christmas!! Please have fun and enjoy this wonderful time of year with family and friends. GL!!

                LLXC- Thanks and GL this bowl season!

                sdyarnell- Thanks to you as well, and I appreciate the season long support you've shown. GL tonight!

                *1 Unit Picks*
                Utah +3

                Comment

                • The Knuckleballer
                  Member
                  • Sep 2009
                  • 355

                  #83
                  Overall Record (79-67-2) +33 Units
                  *****5 Unit Picks***** (1-0) +5 Units
                  ****4 Unit Picks**** (8-0) +32 Units
                  ***3 Unit Picks*** (11-9-1) +3 Units
                  **2 Unit Picks** (31-30-1) -4.2 Unit
                  *1 Unit Picks* (28-28) -2.8 Units

                  Total Unit Based Record (160-115-5) +33 Units
                  Risk Adj. Winning % (57.14%)


                  We are now 3-0 this bowl season after last nights cover. I like the dog again tonight, as well as the under. I have this game capped at Nevada -7 (not taking into account Nevada's two key players that are doubtful) with the total at 61.5. This game likely stays within a touchdown tonight. Enjoy the game and Merry Christmas to all!! GL!!

                  ***3 Unit Picks***
                  SMU +11

                  *1 Unit Picks*
                  SMU/Nevada Under 71.5

                  Comment

                  • The Knuckleballer
                    Member
                    • Sep 2009
                    • 355

                    #84
                    Overall Record (81-67-2) +37 Units
                    *****5 Unit Picks***** (1-0) +5 Units
                    ****4 Unit Picks**** (8-0) +32 Units
                    ***3 Unit Picks*** (12-9-1) +6 Units
                    **2 Unit Picks** (31-30-1) -4.2 Unit
                    *1 Unit Picks* (29-28) -1.8 Units

                    Total Unit Based Record (164-115-5) +37 Units
                    Risk Adj. Winning % (57.75%)


                    I hope everyone had a Merry Christmas. I am now 5-0 this Bowl Season, and I look to move to 6-0 with one 3 Unit Pick tomorrow night. I have the BC/USC game capped at USC -3. In my opinion, Boston College is a solid play tomorrow night. USC is used to playing in BCS games, not playing in games that air before New Years. Yes, they are playing close to home, but this may be more of a distraction than a benefit. I think this game will be within a TD. In fact, I would not be suprised to see BC walk away with a victory in this matchup. GL and enjoy the winners!!

                    ***3 Unit Picks***
                    Boston College +7

                    Comment

                    • The Knuckleballer
                      Member
                      • Sep 2009
                      • 355

                      #85
                      Overall Record (81-68-2) +33.7 Units
                      *****5 Unit Picks***** (1-0) +5 Units
                      ****4 Unit Picks**** (8-0) +32 Units
                      ***3 Unit Picks*** (12-10-1) +2.7 Units
                      **2 Unit Picks** (31-30-1) -4.2 Unit
                      *1 Unit Picks* (29-28) -1.8 Units

                      Total Unit Based Record (164-115-5) +33.7 Units
                      Risk Adj. Winning % (57.14%)


                      Thus far, we are 5-1 this bowl season, which is hard to complain about. I love Kentucky tonight against the spread. I have this game capped at PK. My one concern is Spiller and Kentucky's lack luster rush defense this season. Kentucky has allowed 4.62 YPR this season. Should be a good SEC/ACC matchup tonight. GL and enjoy the football!!

                      ***3 Unit Picks***
                      Kentucky +6.5

                      Comment

                      • jpix
                        Senior Member
                        • Mar 2007
                        • 1346

                        #86
                        GL on that pick....:thumbs:

                        Comment

                        • The Knuckleballer
                          Member
                          • Sep 2009
                          • 355

                          #87
                          Overall Record (81-69-2) +30.4 Units
                          *****5 Unit Picks***** (1-0) +5 Units
                          ****4 Unit Picks**** (8-0) +32 Units
                          ***3 Unit Picks*** (12-11-1) -.6 Units
                          **2 Unit Picks** (31-30-1) -4.2 Unit
                          *1 Unit Picks* (29-28) -1.8 Units

                          Total Unit Based Record (164-121-5) +30.4 Units
                          Risk Adj. Winning % (56.55%)


                          I have my largest pick of the Bowl Season this afternoon with Temple at +4.5. Temple wins this game outright. I have this game capped at Temple -3.5. The running game should be the deciding factor in this matchup. Temple averages 4.53 YPR, while UCLA gives up 4.06 YPR. Also, Temple should have a great deal of success getting after the QB this afternoon. UCLA has allowed 27 sacks, while Temple's defense has forced 33 sacks this season. Temple's offense is far more efficient than UCLA's offense, and I expect them to have no trouble moving the ball today. GL and enjoy the matchup!!

                          ****4 Unit Picks****
                          Temple +4.5

                          Comment

                          • RamPride
                            Member
                            • Sep 2008
                            • 496

                            #88
                            GL Knuckle Baller!!!! on the opposite side!! one of us wins!!

                            Comment

                            • The Knuckleballer
                              Member
                              • Sep 2009
                              • 355

                              #89
                              So far, so good, but we still have a half to play. I like Wisconsin to pull off the upset tonight. Much like this afternoons matchup, all stats point to a dominating performance by Wisconsin on the ground tonight. Wisconsin averages 4.6 YPR, while Miami allows 3.47 YPR. Also, Wisconsin should put a lot of pressure on Harris tonight (Wisconsin forced 32 sacks this season). Should be a good matchup, but I like Wisconsin to shock the experts and make a statement for the Big 10 tonight. GL and enjoy!!

                              **2 Unit Picks**
                              Wisconsin +3.5

                              Comment

                              • jpix
                                Senior Member
                                • Mar 2007
                                • 1346

                                #90
                                GL with Wisky....:thumbs:

                                Comment

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