***The Knuckleballers Computer Based System Tracking Thread***

[The Knuckleballer]

Over the last four years, I have developed a computer based, statistical system designed to extrapolate value in Vegas’ lines. The system enables me to eliminate the lines that have little to any value and exploit the lines with a high probability of winning. Also, the system allows me to have an objective opinion and it mitigates the human element of handicapping. It is important for you to understand that this is a marathon not a sprint. My system gets stronger and stronger as the season wears on, because there is more and more relevant data to utilize. Also, money management is a key to long term success. My system does not produce “1000**** Triple Platinum Picks of the Century,” but it does produce consistent winners that help you add to your bankroll. Personally, I recommend a percentage based money management system where top plays equal 3% of your CFB bankroll and regular plays equal 1.5% of your CFB bankroll. Using this strategy it is important to recalculate your CFB bankroll on a weekly basis. It is unlikely that you will ever bet more than 20% of your CFB bankroll in one weekend using this strategy, because my system typically produces 5-7 picks a week. For tracking purposes, my top plays will equal 2 Units and regular plays will equal 1 Unit with an assumed 10% vig added to all losses. I encourage you to follow this thread throughout the season and provide pertinent feedback. GL to all and get used to winning on a consistent basis!! Trust me, it’s fun!!
-The Knuckleballer

[The Knuckleballer]

This week I have 6 picks. 3 top plays and 3 regular plays. I will post the finalized picks later this evening. To those that wonder why I am just now posting this season, the answer is that the system requires a minimum of 3 games worth of data prior to producing any winners. GL and enjoy winning!!!

:celebrate:

[akatdrake]

Good luck Wakefield!

[rdpsu85]

GL man!

[Kevin]

Sounds cool. I know a couple guys who do the same. The thing is a cash cow for totals.

Looking forward to these plays.

Please tell me that you're not going to try to bust out and sell anything here though.

[The Knuckleballer]

Saturday, September 26, 2009 Picks

Overall Record (0-0) +0 Units
Top Plays (0-0) +0 Units
Regular Plays (0-0) +0 Units

Below are today's system plays. Good luck and remember that this is a marathon not a sprint!! GL and enjoy the picks!!

**Top Plays** (2 Units)
North Carolina +3
Iowa +9.5

*Regular Plays* (1 Unit)
Northwestern +1
Central Florida +10
VA Tech +2.5
New Mexico State +10

[Nicky Santoro]

interesting, I wish you luck!:thumbs:

[bluedevil12]

4-2, not a bad week, I'll be following, GL

[The Knuckleballer]

Overall Record (4-2) +1.7 Units
Top Plays (1-1) -.2 Units
Regular Plays (3-1) +1.9 Units

**Top Plays** (2 Units)
North Carolina +3 -2.2 Units
Iowa +9.5 +2 Units

*Regular Plays* (1 Unit)
Northwestern +1 -1.1 Units
Central Florida +10 +1 Unit
VA Tech +2.5 +1 Unit
New Mexico State +10 +1 Unit

Yesterday, started out ugly, but it ended well. I will never complain about a 4-2 day even if the two top plays offset one another. Stay tuned b/c I will be back w/ more winners next week. Also, I will begin posting my NFL winners once Week 4 of the NFL season rolls around. Remember this is a marathon not a sprint, but it helps to start out the marathon in the lead. GL and enjoy the NFL football today!!!

:toast:

[The Knuckleballer]

Overall Record (4-2) +1.7 Units
Top Plays (1-1) -.2 Units
Regular Plays (3-1) +1.9 Units

Below are tonights picks. GL and enjoy the games!!

**Top Plays** (2 Units)
Colorado +17

*Regular Plays* (1 Unit)
UAB +10.5

[The Knuckleballer]

Tonight (2-0) +3 Units
Overall Record (6-2) +4.7 Units
Top Plays (2-1) +1.8 Units
Regular Plays (4-1) +2.9 Units

**Top Plays** (2 Units)
Colorado +17 Win +2 Units

*Regular Plays* (1 Unit)
UAB +10.5 Win +1 Unit

Luck played a major roll in tonights Colorado cover, but in order to get lucky you must put yourself in the right position. That's what this system does. It puts you in a position to take advantage of the many opportunities Vegas presents to you. GL and I encourage you to continue watching and winning throughout the season!!!

:cheers: (Cheers to a 2-0 Night!!!)

[The Knuckleballer]

Last Night (2-0) +3 Units
Overall Record (6-2) +4.7 Units
Top Plays (2-1) +1.8 Units
Regular Plays (4-1) +2.9 Units

Tonight I have one top play with a high probability of winning. As I have mentioned before, this is a marathon, but it never hurts to start out with a lead. This weekend should be a good one, especially if last night was a sign of things to come. Watch and win as my system rolls on throughout the season! GL and enjoy the games tonight!!

**Top Play** (2 Units)
Utah State +24

:party: (TGIF!!!)

[The Knuckleballer]

Tonight (1-0) +2 Units
Overall Record (7-2) +6.7 Units
Top Plays (3-1) +3.8 Units
Regular Plays (4-1) +2.9 Units

**Top Plays** (2 Units)
Utah State +24 Win +2 Units

Tonight was another lucky night w/ a late miracle cover by Utah State, but I will never complain about a little good luck. I will be posting tomorrow's picks in about 5 minutes. GL and enjoy the football!!

[The Knuckleballer]

Week 5 Saturday Picks

Tonight (1-0) +2 Units
Overall Record (7-2) +6.7 Units
Top Plays (3-1) +3.8 Units
Regular Plays (4-1) +2.9 Units

Below are Saturday's picks. There are a lot of picks for Saturday and all of them are getting points. Remember that this is a marathon not a sprint, but in the past my sytem gets more and more accurate as additional stats are generated. Also, remember that money management is the key to long term success. Feedback is welcome. GL and enjoy the winners!!!

**Top Plays** (2 Units)
Boston College +3.5
Air Force +2.5
Cal +4
Mississippi State +5

*Regular Plays* (1 Unit)
Marshall +2.5
LSU +3.5
Northwestern +8
UNLV +5.5
Vandy +10
Kent State +21

[tdawgmd]

so far so good!