friday night? Why Louisville?

[tdawgmd]

see a lot of folks on the birds, and just can't figure out why. Every single stat favors Cincy, and they shouldn't look past this game since they've lost the last 5 meetings.

Give me the thoughts, other than a 60/40 split for Cincy with contrary line movement.

[rawhide]

So why are you throwing out contrary line movement? Now more like 67/ 33 !

I dont see the same stats you see. I heavily way rushing stats in my capping:

<TABLE class=data cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2><TBODY><TR><TD class=datahl2>Off</TD><TD class=datahl2>Avg</TD><TD class=datahl2>Yards</TD><TD class=datahl2>Pass</TD><TD class=datahl2>Rush</TD><TD class=datahl2></TD><TD class=datahl2></TD></TR><TR><TD class=datahl2>CIN
LOU
</TD><TD class=datacell>26.7
26.8
</TD><TD class=datacell>371.6
378.2
</TD><TD class=datacell>251.7
199.6
</TD><TD class=datacell>119.9
178.7
</TD><TD class=datacell></TD><TD class=datacell>


</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datahl2>Def</TD><TD class=datahl2>Avg</TD><TD class=datahl2>Yards</TD><TD class=datahl2>Pass</TD><TD class=datahl2>Rush</TD><TD class=datahl2></TD><TD class=datahl2></TD></TR><TR><TD class=datahl2>CIN
LOU
</TD><TD class=datacell>20.8
25.8
</TD><TD class=datacell>332.2
316.9
</TD><TD class=datacell>221.1
225.6
</TD><TD class=datacell>111.1
91.3

</TD><TD class=datacell></TD><TD class=datacell>


</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
<TABLE class=data cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2><TBODY><TR><TD class=datahead colSpan=7>Home/Away | </TD></TR><TR><TD class=datahl2>Off</TD><TD class=datahl2>Avg</TD><TD class=datahl2>Yards </TD><TD class=datahl2>Pass</TD><TD class=datahl2>Rush</TD><TD class=datahl2></TD><TD class=datahl2></TD></TR><TR><TD class=datahl2>CIN
LOU
</TD><TD class=datacell>23.6
29.7
</TD><TD class=datacell>332.4
409.2
</TD><TD class=datacell>231.2
207.7
</TD><TD class=datacell>101.2
201.5
</TD><TD class=datacell></TD><TD class=datacell>


</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datahl2>Def</TD><TD class=datahl2>Avg</TD><TD class=datahl2>Yards</TD><TD class=datahl2>Pass</TD><TD class=datahl2>Rush</TD><TD class=datahl2></TD><TD class=datahl2></TD></TR><TR><TD class=datahl2>CIN
LOU
</TD><TD class=datacell>28.0
22.5
</TD><TD class=datacell>376.8
277.7
</TD><TD class=datacell>248.4
211.7
</TD><TD class=datacell>128.4
66.0
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>


Lou has better rush off and def.


A real must win for Lou and there @ home

Maybe a little letdown tonite for Cinci

Really more of a no play for me on this game, but I bet a beer on :

Lou + 3.5

So just my .02 good luck either way!:thumbs:

[deadheadct]

HOMEDOG !!!

[jpix]

Vegas wasn't built from winners.

[tdawgmd]

no doubt--the only reason I have honestly to play this flagging mediocre Louisville team is what the line has done. Lots of people on Cincy, yet the line goes down. My point was that this is mostly a fade the public play--I think that few can argue that Louisville is the better team here, particularly when looking at recent games.

[Stifler's Mom]

Letdown spot for Cincy after beating WVU in OT last game had alot to do with it for me....

Plus the drubbing Cincy took @ UCONN tells me they can be beaten on the road.

And slight look ahead to PITT, but that might be pushing it a bit, lol

On the Louisville side, a win makes them bowl eligible....and it's not like they're a completely incapable team, although it would certainly be hard to make a case for them being as good as CIN, all things equal....