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wow...can't believe the season is upon us already........wanted to post a couple of these plays i have made already. kind of a strange time as most of these games have been up for quite some time now.
MIA(oh) -2 1/2................line is now 3 1/2 or 4 and i would lay anything less than 6. VAN offense is just atrocious. They have no skill people back and MIA returns i believe 9 guys off what was one of the best defenses in the MAC last year. Line has been steadlily creeping up. I may also take a shot at the total which is Under41 in most places right now. I think MIA wins by about a TD+ in a low scoring affair. VAN offense was so bad they couldn't score a TD in their spring game and that was versus their own mediocre defense....lol.
BAY +13..................yup, BAY. WFU 0-8 L8 as a favorite of 3 or more points. BAY has a new coach and i think the talent level is at least decent there. Briles will definitely upgrade this team, though, don't look for them in the Big12 conference title game anytime soon. I just think 13 points is too many points to give them at home this early in the season versus a team with a history of not covering as a favorite. WFU im not sure is ready to be laying 2 TD's on the road even to BAY. Kind of a risky play but BAY was one of the value teams i came up with early in the season so i will ride them and see how that turns out.
TENN -7...................only thing that remotely worries me here is Fullmer and his team on the road. UCLA has issues everywhere and DUH-rell left the cupboard pretty bare. The O-line stinks, they have no QB and the defense is undersized for about the 100th year in a row. TENN should wear an undersized UCLA defense down and im not sure where the points are going to come from on the UCLA side. It's a 5PM kick but it will still be 90+ on the field at game time. Neuheisel will get his alma mater going good, but it isn't going to be this year and it certainly isn't going to be this week. Will be at this game to witness the slaughter Labor day evening.
OLEPISS -1/MIZZOU -1 (2team/7pointer).............MEM is awful and i don't see ILL staying within a TD of Mizzou. ILL has a great defense but i think that you will see at least early on ILL struggle a bit on O without Mendenhall. He made that offense go, IMO.
OKST -6 -120...............OKST has a ton of firepower on offense and i think it is a matter of WSU not being able to keep up. Neutral site game. From all accounts OKST has put in a lot of effort on the defensive side of the ball. We'll see how that translates on the field but they look much improved in all local accounts of that squad. WSU needs to replace a very good college QB and that won't be easy. They are picked to finish dead last in the Pac10 in most publications and i can't see any reason why they don't. They do return 14 starters but i think Brink and WR Bumpus (top 5 pac10 receiver) are going to be missed at least early in the season. Like anything less than 7 here for sure.
I wanted to play UTAH when i saw it at +5 but didnt' and now all the value is out of it IMO at +3 or +3 1/2. Worst thing is grabbing points when you get the worst of the number.
other games im looking into but haven't triggered yet....
WYO -10.......OHIO is awful, WYO returns 14 starters, not easy to play in WYO....
SMU +3 1/2..........June Jones now running the ship. I actually think they may be decent this year. Lost a lot of close games last year. I don't think RICE should be favored over anyone, IMO
probably have more as things come out later in the week.
GL to everyone!......
MIA(oh) -2 1/2................line is now 3 1/2 or 4 and i would lay anything less than 6. VAN offense is just atrocious. They have no skill people back and MIA returns i believe 9 guys off what was one of the best defenses in the MAC last year. Line has been steadlily creeping up. I may also take a shot at the total which is Under41 in most places right now. I think MIA wins by about a TD+ in a low scoring affair. VAN offense was so bad they couldn't score a TD in their spring game and that was versus their own mediocre defense....lol.
BAY +13..................yup, BAY. WFU 0-8 L8 as a favorite of 3 or more points. BAY has a new coach and i think the talent level is at least decent there. Briles will definitely upgrade this team, though, don't look for them in the Big12 conference title game anytime soon. I just think 13 points is too many points to give them at home this early in the season versus a team with a history of not covering as a favorite. WFU im not sure is ready to be laying 2 TD's on the road even to BAY. Kind of a risky play but BAY was one of the value teams i came up with early in the season so i will ride them and see how that turns out.
TENN -7...................only thing that remotely worries me here is Fullmer and his team on the road. UCLA has issues everywhere and DUH-rell left the cupboard pretty bare. The O-line stinks, they have no QB and the defense is undersized for about the 100th year in a row. TENN should wear an undersized UCLA defense down and im not sure where the points are going to come from on the UCLA side. It's a 5PM kick but it will still be 90+ on the field at game time. Neuheisel will get his alma mater going good, but it isn't going to be this year and it certainly isn't going to be this week. Will be at this game to witness the slaughter Labor day evening.
OLEPISS -1/MIZZOU -1 (2team/7pointer).............MEM is awful and i don't see ILL staying within a TD of Mizzou. ILL has a great defense but i think that you will see at least early on ILL struggle a bit on O without Mendenhall. He made that offense go, IMO.
OKST -6 -120...............OKST has a ton of firepower on offense and i think it is a matter of WSU not being able to keep up. Neutral site game. From all accounts OKST has put in a lot of effort on the defensive side of the ball. We'll see how that translates on the field but they look much improved in all local accounts of that squad. WSU needs to replace a very good college QB and that won't be easy. They are picked to finish dead last in the Pac10 in most publications and i can't see any reason why they don't. They do return 14 starters but i think Brink and WR Bumpus (top 5 pac10 receiver) are going to be missed at least early in the season. Like anything less than 7 here for sure.
I wanted to play UTAH when i saw it at +5 but didnt' and now all the value is out of it IMO at +3 or +3 1/2. Worst thing is grabbing points when you get the worst of the number.
other games im looking into but haven't triggered yet....
WYO -10.......OHIO is awful, WYO returns 14 starters, not easy to play in WYO....
SMU +3 1/2..........June Jones now running the ship. I actually think they may be decent this year. Lost a lot of close games last year. I don't think RICE should be favored over anyone, IMO
probably have more as things come out later in the week.
GL to everyone!......
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