NCAA Football Chalkeating Wed 12/26

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  • Stifler's Mom
    Moderator
    • Feb 2007
    • 8541

    NCAA Football Chalkeating Wed 12/26

    bowls 4-2 (+5.71 units)

    Purdon't -7.5

    2 units


    Sports Insights shows 61% on Purdon't. That's not bad at all, especially considering when you look at these 2 teams, it's a "duh" play (to Joe Q Public) to lay the points with Purdon't.

    My point is that I expected more. Closer to 80%.

    The line has moved down 2 pts from the opener of -9.5, but if there is sharp action on C Mich, my best guess would be that it's due to the fact that:

    1. Purdon't could be assumed to be not so happy about being in this toilet bowl.

    2. Purdon't ended the season with 3 straight SU losses. They're not exactly coming into this thing firing on all cylinders. A good reason to go against a bowl fave, however, those losses were to Penn St, Michigan St and Indiana. Not exactly the same caliber competition.

    3. Central Michigan has a small rushing advantage in this game. Meaningless. Those stats came against second rate teams, and Purdon't doesn't try to run the ball much anyway, so their rushing stats aren't going to be impressive.

    4. Picking all dogs in the bowls will net you a profit every year....but not hit 100%. There are going to be 40% or so where the fave hits, and I believe this is one of them.

    5. Revenge? Good theory....but you have to have the players to execute the plan.

    To me, the bottom line is that if Purdon't comes to play, they will crush Central Michigan again IMO....much like SD crushed Denver Monday night for the second time. Purdue's punter might not even see action tonight, lol.

    In addition, the 3 times C MICH "stepped up" in level of competition this year....

    ....were all blowout losses.

    Purdon't beat them 44-23
    Kansas beat them 52-7
    Clemson beat them 70-14

    North Dakota St even pounded the piss out of em 44-14

    CMU sucks, they obviously can't compete with BCS conference teams (and apparently a Div-II team), and a half assed effort from Purdon't should cover this line.
    Last edited by Stifler's Mom; 12-26-2007, 04:59 PM.
  • CuseFan10
    Senior Member
    • Feb 2007
    • 4446

    #2
    Originally posted by Stifler's Mom
    In addition, the 3 times C MICH "stepped up" in level of competition this year....

    ....were all blowout losses.
    :thumbs:

    Comment

    • Stifler's Mom
      Moderator
      • Feb 2007
      • 8541

      #3
      Purdon't really freakin sucks, LMFAO

      Comment

      • BoilerBacker
        Big 10 Commish/Moderator
        • Mar 2007
        • 24944

        #4
        Originally posted by Stifler's Mom
        Purdon't really freakin sucks, LMFAO
        I will buy you a beer next time we meet....

        as long as you dont use that term EVER again....lol
        Go Boilers!
        Thru 11/20

        NCAAB 46-48-2 -17.97 units
        2* 2-5
        3* 0-2
        1H 1-0
        2H 43-41-2

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