Cavorca NCAA Bowl Games

[tdawgmd]

on tenn with you. Looks like we're the lone rangers in here.

[cavorca12]

Adding:

Arkansas ML +150 ... 0.75 Unit
I really have no idea about this one. Sooo many questions IMO about motivation/showing up for both teams that I'd rather just make a smallish play on the ML than take MO at -3.5.

Texas Tech -6 ... 1.5 Unit

Michigan +11 ... 1 Unit
And right after I placed this, the ML dropped from +400 to +350...not happy. I'll give my reasoning in my next post.

[cavorca12]

Yea tdawg, lol. Wisc playing a 268 lb DT and without 2 of their top 3 corners. Just think that matters more than TN's LB and WR losses. GL to you and the Vols!

[cavorca12]

Adding:

Michigan 2H +9.5 (Even) ... 1.25 Unit

[cavorca12]

Adding:

USC -13.5 ... 0.5 Unit


Total USC 1.5 Units.

[cavorca12]

Adding:

Illinois vs USC 2H Under 23 (-105) ... 0.75 Unit

[cavorca12]

IL can't even hold USC to a FG....

Adding:

Georgia -9 (-115) ... 1.75 Units


I've been leaning toward take UGA for a couple days but just couldn't pull the trigger. Glad I waited for it to go from 7.5 to 9 and juice...lol...but IMO if they cover one they cover the other. If you've watched the IL/USC game, that's my reasoning. IMO Richt has gotten the team up for big games (see the FL and Aub games..), so the talent differential should play through as expected. Moreno's ankle and UGA linebacker injuries are worrisome, but UGA should run and control the clock if they get a lead, esp in the 2H is Haw wears down any. Just like FL line was off due to OSU/FL game last year, this might be off due to BSU/OK game. Haw SOS just not there, and I don't hold the WAC in high regard this year. Surely since this is the first analysis I've done, I'll be dead wrong...esp after not getting to MI in time... But who knows and GLTA! :thumbs:

[cavorca12]

Adding:

Georgia 2H -7 (Even) ... 0.5 Unit

[cavorca12]

Adding:

West Virginia +9 ... 1 Unit

West Virginia ML +280 ... 0.5 Unit


Who knows..... Just think there's value here. Not same situation as Haw and IL IMO, as WVU isn't just an overrated team and shouldn't be just overwhelmed. GLTA! :thumbs:

[cavorca12]

Adding:

Kansas +4 ... 0.75 Unit

Kansas ML +140 ... 0.75 Unit


Kansas has lost 1 game, rivalry vs Mizzou. Chase Daniels was 40-49, and TOP was 37:25 to 22:35 in favor of Mizzou. IMO VT has played 1 good offensive team this year, LSU, and they got throttled. BC and Ryan hyped by the media, but IMO don't have a ton of offensive power. I'm just not sure I'm not sold on VT's 2 QB system controlling the clock and keeping the KU O off the field like Mizzou did, and I don't see Glennon throwing all over KU. VT doesn't have a weapon like Maclin at WR either. The other killer thing is that Ore is suspended for the 1Q, so VT might have a harder time setting the tempo and controlling clock. KU needs to move the pocket more than the Mizzou game to give Reesing some throwing lanes. Not sure VT can just shut them down, but I do think this will be a closer game than the other 3 BCS games. That being the case, I'll take the points and ML. GLTA! :thumbs:

[cavorca12]

And I do know that KU "hasn't played anyone", but IMO the Mizzou game could have been a good learning experience. 1st big game for this group, they get handled, and it was pretty clear they were deer in headlights the 1H. IMO they played a little better in the 2H, which is a plus going into this game. Also, VT has given up 31 to Georgia and 24 to Louisville their last 2 bowl games, and held Auburn in the teens before that. I'm thinking KU gets to the mid 20's and above, but otherwise, they won't top the low teens. I was on KU in the Mizzou game, so hopefully this isn't another stupid call. Definitely not a ton of big game info on KU, but IMO the ACC is a bit overrated this year. Maybe this is a middle ground with teams that are somewhat close..?...and we might finally have a competitive game to watch.

GLTA! :thumbs:

[cavorca12]

Noticed the line falling and bought back LSU at the only place I saw 4 -110... I'll still be on LSU for the 2.5 units I had, and possibly more depending where it settles. Who knows, probably won't make an ounce of difference and just have been a waste of time...lol...

OSU +4 ... 2.5 Units

[dananderson32]

nice bowl season and gl on the game tonight......

[BoKnows]

OSU +4 ... 2.5 Units

:ohman: What tha?

[cavorca12]

BCS Championship Game:

LSU -3.5 ... 5 Units

Ohio St. vs LSU Over 47 (-105) ... 1.5 Units



Decided to have some fun. CFB has been kind to me, and my team is in the BCS Championship game. Oh, and I like them to cover. GLTA!