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Normally I wait to see if I know what I'm doing before I throw out my picks, because I don't want people taking my opinion if I'm misleading them comfortable. I'm typically a Pac-10 guy, and I am straight torn on the Oregon/Cal game, probably a no play.
USC -21 Washington
USC has had trouble in the past with running QBs (VY in the rose bowl, Cowan against UCLA).....USC doesn't "spy" quarterbacks, Pete doesn't believe in it. Typically waht you see is 1 LB blitz, the othe 2 get taken deep by a TE and a RB and then there is this huge gap in the field that Locker gets to pretend like he is going to throw until the last second and has a good chunk of yardage. I've seen it happen time and time again, and I can pretty much point to a time in every single game last year USC played in that it happen. They sometimes make immobile QBs look like mobile ones due to their deficiencies. I'm just say that as a word of caution.
That said, Locker has had a halo effect on this washington team. Since he is such a phenom and a big turnaround for the huskies, people believe everything has turned around for the Huskies. I saw soem pretty pathetic tackling last week against some average UCLA running backs, something USC will definately take advantage of. Look for 2 long TD runs by the trojans, looking at the Nebraska/Wash ST. games USC had a TON of runs that got into the secondary. Thats the goal of hte RBs every time, to get into the secondary. Conveniently, thats washington's weakest tackling point, I saw them completely whiff trying to make open field tackles. UW receivers have stone hands and Locker has the typical strong freshamn problem of zipping the ball way too much, a bad combo. Add to that Locker will even zip it MORE than usual once USC pressures him.
All of this put together, Rankin will probably have less than 30 yards rushing and they ditch the rush attack quickly once it averages about 0.1 YPC against what I think for USC is hte best rush defense in the country. Locker does not have the experience to exploit the vulnerabilities in USC's soft 1st half coverage. The only offense he will garner is with his legs, and that IS something to consider. I'll take the 21 on the road with the Trojans, this team is not as good as their potential yet and they get better every single week.
Alabama +2.5 FSU
I just don't like Florida State at all, that team is a mess. I like the balanced attack of Alabama to win a close one, but with the game never really in doubt. Drew or Lee, whoever starts for FSU will be a mess. Alabama's defense while not the best in the world, is more than enough to stall the pathetic FSU offense.
Clemson -3 Georgia Tech
Tashaard 100% or not, I grew to like this play a lot. Choice did nothing against Clemson last year, and this year I see no passing threat, Bennett has not shown the ability to pass over anybody, and Clemson has a decent defense all around. Last year again Spiller/Davis ran wild and I don't see much differences.
Ole miss +15 Georgia
Georgia is definately not what you would consider an offensive juggernaut. They just aren't putting up a lot of points. Green-Ellis is enough to keep Ole Miss in this game, and I think they are coming around a bit.
Houston -10 East carolina
Not extremely versed in these two teams but I think these two teams are going in different directions. Some respected cappers are all unanimous in this play, so I plan on taking it to the bank
South Florida Moneyline
Not likely a big (or even 1 unit) play, just something that I think has a good enough chance to cash, and will definately keep me intersted in the game. I don't think the +7 will be needed enough times to forego the payout of the ML. Hopefully a home crowd can will the bulls to victory.
edit - Removed Stanf/Ariz St. and Cinci/SDSU because I lost confidence in those two games. The rest of the plays have been placed.
Edit by Queen
Your record here is 0-0 yes it is a big deal. Posted plays only count here. Sorry just the rules
USC -21 Washington
USC has had trouble in the past with running QBs (VY in the rose bowl, Cowan against UCLA).....USC doesn't "spy" quarterbacks, Pete doesn't believe in it. Typically waht you see is 1 LB blitz, the othe 2 get taken deep by a TE and a RB and then there is this huge gap in the field that Locker gets to pretend like he is going to throw until the last second and has a good chunk of yardage. I've seen it happen time and time again, and I can pretty much point to a time in every single game last year USC played in that it happen. They sometimes make immobile QBs look like mobile ones due to their deficiencies. I'm just say that as a word of caution.
That said, Locker has had a halo effect on this washington team. Since he is such a phenom and a big turnaround for the huskies, people believe everything has turned around for the Huskies. I saw soem pretty pathetic tackling last week against some average UCLA running backs, something USC will definately take advantage of. Look for 2 long TD runs by the trojans, looking at the Nebraska/Wash ST. games USC had a TON of runs that got into the secondary. Thats the goal of hte RBs every time, to get into the secondary. Conveniently, thats washington's weakest tackling point, I saw them completely whiff trying to make open field tackles. UW receivers have stone hands and Locker has the typical strong freshamn problem of zipping the ball way too much, a bad combo. Add to that Locker will even zip it MORE than usual once USC pressures him.
All of this put together, Rankin will probably have less than 30 yards rushing and they ditch the rush attack quickly once it averages about 0.1 YPC against what I think for USC is hte best rush defense in the country. Locker does not have the experience to exploit the vulnerabilities in USC's soft 1st half coverage. The only offense he will garner is with his legs, and that IS something to consider. I'll take the 21 on the road with the Trojans, this team is not as good as their potential yet and they get better every single week.
Alabama +2.5 FSU
I just don't like Florida State at all, that team is a mess. I like the balanced attack of Alabama to win a close one, but with the game never really in doubt. Drew or Lee, whoever starts for FSU will be a mess. Alabama's defense while not the best in the world, is more than enough to stall the pathetic FSU offense.
Clemson -3 Georgia Tech
Tashaard 100% or not, I grew to like this play a lot. Choice did nothing against Clemson last year, and this year I see no passing threat, Bennett has not shown the ability to pass over anybody, and Clemson has a decent defense all around. Last year again Spiller/Davis ran wild and I don't see much differences.
Ole miss +15 Georgia
Georgia is definately not what you would consider an offensive juggernaut. They just aren't putting up a lot of points. Green-Ellis is enough to keep Ole Miss in this game, and I think they are coming around a bit.
Houston -10 East carolina
Not extremely versed in these two teams but I think these two teams are going in different directions. Some respected cappers are all unanimous in this play, so I plan on taking it to the bank
South Florida Moneyline
Not likely a big (or even 1 unit) play, just something that I think has a good enough chance to cash, and will definately keep me intersted in the game. I don't think the +7 will be needed enough times to forego the payout of the ML. Hopefully a home crowd can will the bulls to victory.
edit - Removed Stanf/Ariz St. and Cinci/SDSU because I lost confidence in those two games. The rest of the plays have been placed.
Edit by Queen
Your record here is 0-0 yes it is a big deal. Posted plays only count here. Sorry just the rules
<-- look at him go!
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