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Anyone have any thoughts here?
Oregon's backfield of Dixon and Stewart is definitely one of the best in college football. Dixon has 11 passing touchdowns without a single pick, he averages over 70 rushing yards per game, and Stewart averages about 130 a game I believe. Cal has not seen a backfield like this all year. Last year, Dixon was hurt during this game I believe, and Cal won (at home). The year before, Longshore was hurt, Oregon won (at home). Oregon has looked very good so far, winning at the big house, and winning by 24 in Stanford. Cal has given up only 3.2 yards per carry so far this year, but the best back they faced all year, Arian Foster, gained over 6 yards per carry against them. Both Oregon and Cal gain exactly 6.2 yards per carry, one thing to worry about for Cal is that Oregon runs the ball almost 50 times per game, way more than any team Cal has seen yet (especially because Cal has led just about always). Cal's secondary has looked mediocre so far, but Oregon's wide receivers won't be looking for the homeruns, they'll just be looking for the occasional first down. I think it'll really be on linebackers Zack Follett (if he plays) and Worrell Williams who has broke out so far to contain the Oregon running game.
Now to the other side...Cal has way more weapons than any team Oregon has faced. Desean Jackson, Lavelle Hawkins, Justin Forsett, Jahvid Best, Cameron Morrah, Craig Steven, Robert Jordan etc. are all threats in the open field. Obviously Jackson is the difference maker. He had a return TD and receiving TD vs Oregon last year, but with his bad thumb he has not been much of a force in the passing game so far. Hawkins on the other hand, has been. The fact that Manningham and Arrington combined for 14 catches and 186 yards for Michigan when they faced Oregon bodes well for the Cal receivers. Patrick Chung is a solid corner for Oregon, but I still think Cal will fare very well through the air. Now to the running game. Forsett has been great so far, he played hurt to close out the game last week, and ran well vs a fairly tough Tennessee defense. Oregon gives up over four yards per carry too.
Bottom Line
I'm not sure Oregon can stop Cal, but I'm not positive Cal can stop Oregon either. Also, though I think Cal is the more complete team, can they overcome the home crowd in Oregon?
Spread Oregon -4.5
At the moment I think I'm leaning towards Cal and the over (whatever it ends up being), anyone else have thoughts?
Oregon's backfield of Dixon and Stewart is definitely one of the best in college football. Dixon has 11 passing touchdowns without a single pick, he averages over 70 rushing yards per game, and Stewart averages about 130 a game I believe. Cal has not seen a backfield like this all year. Last year, Dixon was hurt during this game I believe, and Cal won (at home). The year before, Longshore was hurt, Oregon won (at home). Oregon has looked very good so far, winning at the big house, and winning by 24 in Stanford. Cal has given up only 3.2 yards per carry so far this year, but the best back they faced all year, Arian Foster, gained over 6 yards per carry against them. Both Oregon and Cal gain exactly 6.2 yards per carry, one thing to worry about for Cal is that Oregon runs the ball almost 50 times per game, way more than any team Cal has seen yet (especially because Cal has led just about always). Cal's secondary has looked mediocre so far, but Oregon's wide receivers won't be looking for the homeruns, they'll just be looking for the occasional first down. I think it'll really be on linebackers Zack Follett (if he plays) and Worrell Williams who has broke out so far to contain the Oregon running game.
Now to the other side...Cal has way more weapons than any team Oregon has faced. Desean Jackson, Lavelle Hawkins, Justin Forsett, Jahvid Best, Cameron Morrah, Craig Steven, Robert Jordan etc. are all threats in the open field. Obviously Jackson is the difference maker. He had a return TD and receiving TD vs Oregon last year, but with his bad thumb he has not been much of a force in the passing game so far. Hawkins on the other hand, has been. The fact that Manningham and Arrington combined for 14 catches and 186 yards for Michigan when they faced Oregon bodes well for the Cal receivers. Patrick Chung is a solid corner for Oregon, but I still think Cal will fare very well through the air. Now to the running game. Forsett has been great so far, he played hurt to close out the game last week, and ran well vs a fairly tough Tennessee defense. Oregon gives up over four yards per carry too.
Bottom Line
I'm not sure Oregon can stop Cal, but I'm not positive Cal can stop Oregon either. Also, though I think Cal is the more complete team, can they overcome the home crowd in Oregon?
Spread Oregon -4.5
At the moment I think I'm leaning towards Cal and the over (whatever it ends up being), anyone else have thoughts?
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