Tweet
do with them what you'd like........
September 16, 2007
NCAAF Week 4 trends
South Carolina coach Steve Spurrier takes his Gamecocks to Baton Rouge this Saturday to face No. 2 LSU in one of the better matches on the Week 4 menu. USC got off to a great start on the road, upsetting Georgia as 5 ½-point dogs, 16-12 two weeks ago. The Tigers blew out their first two opponents by a combined score of 93-7.
TEXAS A&M at MIAMI
Texas A&M has struggled against quality teams on the road, failing to cash at a 13-3-1 clip. The Aggies are just 10-18-1 on the road the past five years and 5-12-1 as short-enders away from home. Miami has failed to get the green in seven of its last 10 when facing quality teams at home.
OKLAHOMA at TULSA
Oklahoma bashed Tulsa at home last year, 58-0. The Sooners have cashed 10 of its last 13 as favorites and nine of 14 on the highway.
SYRACUSE at LOUISVILLE
Louisville is 15-3 ATS at home of late and it has 'covered' nine of its last 11 Big East tests at Papa John's Stadium. Syracuse has stumbled in 10 of its last 14 ATS versus conference foes and in five of its last six Big East openers. The Orange are 5-15-1 ATS on the conference road.
ILLINOIS at INDIANA
Indiana has won and 'covered' four of five versus Illinois at Bloomington. The Hoosiers are just 12-27-1 ATS in Big 10 play and they have dropped 18 of 21 ATS when playing the second of back-to-back home games. The Illini have flunked 20 of 33 tests as dogs and are just 11-21 ATS in conference action.
DUKE at NAVY
Navy has won and cashed three straight against Duke. The Midshipmen have failed in eight of their last dozen as home favorites while the Blue Devils are 7-2 ATS against non-conference foes away from home.
BAYLOR at BUFFALO
Baylor isn't favored often, but it has taken advantage in eight of 12 tries. Buffalo has flopped in five of its last six non-conference outings at home.
KENT ST at AKRON
Kent State has 'covered' three of four at Akron. The Golden Flashes are 14-9-1 ATS versus MAC foes on the road. The Zips were just 1-7 ATS against conference rivals last year and just 11-16 ATS in their last 27 at home.
ARMY at BC
Boston College is 7-1-1 ATS in its last nine chances at Chestnut Hill.
MIAMI (O) at COLORADO
Miami (O) is 1-6 as non-conference pups of less than 17 points. Colorado has come up short in eight of its last 11 ATS at home outside the Big-12.
BALL ST at NEBRASKA
Nebraska is 7-3-1 recently as favorites and had cashed six of seven in Lincoln prior to last week's battle with USC.
AIR FORCE at BYU
BYU has bounced back to win and cash three straight against Air Force after failing to get the green in five of seven meetings. The Cougars have also 'covered' seven of nine versus the high-flying Falcons at home. BYU has cashed six of seven at home and nine of 11 as favorites. However, the Cougars are 2-11 as home chalk off back-to-back road tests.
WASHINGTON at UCLA
Washington snapped a five-game series losing skid when it upset UCLA last year as three-point home dogs, 29-19. The Huskies had posted a 0-7-1 spread mark against the Bruins before getting the green in the past two clashes. The Bruins are 11-5 as home favorites and they have cashed 10 of 13 Pac-10 tests at the Rose Bowl. The favorite in this conference rivalry has come up short in five of the past six encounters.
GEORGIA at ALABAMA
Georgia is 8-4-1 ATS on the road, 5-1-1 as dogs and 6-2 as road dogs. The Bulldogs have cashed three of four versus Alabama, though this is the first meeting since 2003.
FLORIDA at OLE MISS
Florida has struggled on the road (4-8-1 ATS), especially as favorites (4-13). The defending BCS champs are also 0-6 as conference road favorites of more than 12 points. However, the Gators have 'covered' six of their last seven road openers. Mississippi has been rock solid as home short-enders (9-4).
NORTHWESTERN at OHIO ST
Northwestern has lost four straight at Columbus by an average of 30.5 points. The Wildcats are 14-0 ATS the week before facing Michigan. Ohio State has cashed 14 of its past 21 at home and is 17-5-2 ATS at The Horseshoe versus Big-10 competition.
PENN ST at MICHIGAN
Michigan has 'covered' six of eight versus Penn State and won the last eight encounters straight up. The Nittany Lions were 2-6 ATS against conference foes last year while the Wolverines cashed at a 6-1-1 clip. Penn State has dropped six straight Big 10 openers ATS.
TEXAS TECH at OKLAHOMA ST
Texas Tech has dominated this series (7-2-1 ATS, 7-3 SU), though it has lost in its last two trips to Stillwater. Oklahoma State is 18-10 ATS at home but just 5-10-1 overall against conference competition.
MICHIGAN ST at NOTRE DAME
Michigan State has 'covered' eight of 10 against Notre Dame and five straight in South Bend. The Irish have failed to get the money in six of their last eight at home and are 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 overall. The Spartans have come up short in 11 of their last 16 on the road SU.
MEMPHIS at UCF
Memphis has failed to cash six straight conference openers. The Tigers have also floundered in eight of 12 on the road ATS versus conference foes. Central Florida is 8-4 ATS at home in conference play. However, the Knights are 1-6 ATS as favorites versus an opponent with revenge. UCF won at Memphis last year as 2 ½-point favorites, 26-24.
GEORGIA TECH at VIRGINIA
Virginia has 'covered' four straight versus Georgia Tech at home. The Yellow Jackets are 2-9 as conference road favorites of three to 20 points. The Cavaliers have cashed three straight as home dogs and at a 7-4-1 pace versus conference rivals at home. The series visitor is 1-7-1 ATS in the last nine showdowns.
COLORADO ST at HOUSTON
Colorado State has dropped 19 of its last 26 spread decisions on the highway. Houston cashed six of seven at home last year and six of nine when favored.
ARIZONA at CALIFORNIA
California will be out for revenge after losing last year to Arizona as 13 ½-point road favorites, 24-20, snapping a three-game series 'cover' run. The Golden Bears are 6-1 as favorites of 17 points or less with revenge under Coach Jeff Tedford. However, they are 1-5 ATS when playing the second of back-to-back home games. The Wildcats have 'covered' 10 of their last 15 as underdogs and five of six on artificial turf.
NIU at IDAHO
Northern Illinois is 8-3 ATS against non-conference competition on the road. The Huskies have also 'covered' five of six when playing the first of back-to-back contests on the highway. Idaho has cashed four of five non-conference clashes at home.
TEMPLE at BGSU
Temple shocked Bowling Green last year as 14-point home dogs, 28-14. The Owls are 1-7-1 ATS against MAC foes on the road. They have failed in 10 of 12 as dogs versus an opponent with revenge. The Falcons have dropped five in a row ATS coming off a bye. They are just 2-11-1 as favorites and 5-13 ATS against MAC foes. Before last year's upset, BGSU had outscored Temple 140-23 in the two previous mismatches.
ECU at WEST VIRGINIA
East Carolina has 'covered' 11 of 14 on the road and four of five versus non-conference rivals. West Virginia is 5-8 ATS outside the Big East at home.
IOWA ST at TOLEDO
Iowa State is 3-13 ATS in the first of back-to-back road games. However, the Cyclones have clicked in 11 of 13 ATS the week before meeting Nebraska. Toledo has cashed 18 of its past 25 at home.
NORTH CAROLINA at USF
North Carolina has been solid as road dogs (12-4). South Florida is 10-6-1 as home chalk and 6-3 ATS when facing a non-conference opponent.
September 16, 2007
NCAAF Week 4 trends
South Carolina coach Steve Spurrier takes his Gamecocks to Baton Rouge this Saturday to face No. 2 LSU in one of the better matches on the Week 4 menu. USC got off to a great start on the road, upsetting Georgia as 5 ½-point dogs, 16-12 two weeks ago. The Tigers blew out their first two opponents by a combined score of 93-7.
TEXAS A&M at MIAMI
Texas A&M has struggled against quality teams on the road, failing to cash at a 13-3-1 clip. The Aggies are just 10-18-1 on the road the past five years and 5-12-1 as short-enders away from home. Miami has failed to get the green in seven of its last 10 when facing quality teams at home.
OKLAHOMA at TULSA
Oklahoma bashed Tulsa at home last year, 58-0. The Sooners have cashed 10 of its last 13 as favorites and nine of 14 on the highway.
SYRACUSE at LOUISVILLE
Louisville is 15-3 ATS at home of late and it has 'covered' nine of its last 11 Big East tests at Papa John's Stadium. Syracuse has stumbled in 10 of its last 14 ATS versus conference foes and in five of its last six Big East openers. The Orange are 5-15-1 ATS on the conference road.
ILLINOIS at INDIANA
Indiana has won and 'covered' four of five versus Illinois at Bloomington. The Hoosiers are just 12-27-1 ATS in Big 10 play and they have dropped 18 of 21 ATS when playing the second of back-to-back home games. The Illini have flunked 20 of 33 tests as dogs and are just 11-21 ATS in conference action.
DUKE at NAVY
Navy has won and cashed three straight against Duke. The Midshipmen have failed in eight of their last dozen as home favorites while the Blue Devils are 7-2 ATS against non-conference foes away from home.
BAYLOR at BUFFALO
Baylor isn't favored often, but it has taken advantage in eight of 12 tries. Buffalo has flopped in five of its last six non-conference outings at home.
KENT ST at AKRON
Kent State has 'covered' three of four at Akron. The Golden Flashes are 14-9-1 ATS versus MAC foes on the road. The Zips were just 1-7 ATS against conference rivals last year and just 11-16 ATS in their last 27 at home.
ARMY at BC
Boston College is 7-1-1 ATS in its last nine chances at Chestnut Hill.
MIAMI (O) at COLORADO
Miami (O) is 1-6 as non-conference pups of less than 17 points. Colorado has come up short in eight of its last 11 ATS at home outside the Big-12.
BALL ST at NEBRASKA
Nebraska is 7-3-1 recently as favorites and had cashed six of seven in Lincoln prior to last week's battle with USC.
AIR FORCE at BYU
BYU has bounced back to win and cash three straight against Air Force after failing to get the green in five of seven meetings. The Cougars have also 'covered' seven of nine versus the high-flying Falcons at home. BYU has cashed six of seven at home and nine of 11 as favorites. However, the Cougars are 2-11 as home chalk off back-to-back road tests.
WASHINGTON at UCLA
Washington snapped a five-game series losing skid when it upset UCLA last year as three-point home dogs, 29-19. The Huskies had posted a 0-7-1 spread mark against the Bruins before getting the green in the past two clashes. The Bruins are 11-5 as home favorites and they have cashed 10 of 13 Pac-10 tests at the Rose Bowl. The favorite in this conference rivalry has come up short in five of the past six encounters.
GEORGIA at ALABAMA
Georgia is 8-4-1 ATS on the road, 5-1-1 as dogs and 6-2 as road dogs. The Bulldogs have cashed three of four versus Alabama, though this is the first meeting since 2003.
FLORIDA at OLE MISS
Florida has struggled on the road (4-8-1 ATS), especially as favorites (4-13). The defending BCS champs are also 0-6 as conference road favorites of more than 12 points. However, the Gators have 'covered' six of their last seven road openers. Mississippi has been rock solid as home short-enders (9-4).
NORTHWESTERN at OHIO ST
Northwestern has lost four straight at Columbus by an average of 30.5 points. The Wildcats are 14-0 ATS the week before facing Michigan. Ohio State has cashed 14 of its past 21 at home and is 17-5-2 ATS at The Horseshoe versus Big-10 competition.
PENN ST at MICHIGAN
Michigan has 'covered' six of eight versus Penn State and won the last eight encounters straight up. The Nittany Lions were 2-6 ATS against conference foes last year while the Wolverines cashed at a 6-1-1 clip. Penn State has dropped six straight Big 10 openers ATS.
TEXAS TECH at OKLAHOMA ST
Texas Tech has dominated this series (7-2-1 ATS, 7-3 SU), though it has lost in its last two trips to Stillwater. Oklahoma State is 18-10 ATS at home but just 5-10-1 overall against conference competition.
MICHIGAN ST at NOTRE DAME
Michigan State has 'covered' eight of 10 against Notre Dame and five straight in South Bend. The Irish have failed to get the money in six of their last eight at home and are 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 overall. The Spartans have come up short in 11 of their last 16 on the road SU.
MEMPHIS at UCF
Memphis has failed to cash six straight conference openers. The Tigers have also floundered in eight of 12 on the road ATS versus conference foes. Central Florida is 8-4 ATS at home in conference play. However, the Knights are 1-6 ATS as favorites versus an opponent with revenge. UCF won at Memphis last year as 2 ½-point favorites, 26-24.
GEORGIA TECH at VIRGINIA
Virginia has 'covered' four straight versus Georgia Tech at home. The Yellow Jackets are 2-9 as conference road favorites of three to 20 points. The Cavaliers have cashed three straight as home dogs and at a 7-4-1 pace versus conference rivals at home. The series visitor is 1-7-1 ATS in the last nine showdowns.
COLORADO ST at HOUSTON
Colorado State has dropped 19 of its last 26 spread decisions on the highway. Houston cashed six of seven at home last year and six of nine when favored.
ARIZONA at CALIFORNIA
California will be out for revenge after losing last year to Arizona as 13 ½-point road favorites, 24-20, snapping a three-game series 'cover' run. The Golden Bears are 6-1 as favorites of 17 points or less with revenge under Coach Jeff Tedford. However, they are 1-5 ATS when playing the second of back-to-back home games. The Wildcats have 'covered' 10 of their last 15 as underdogs and five of six on artificial turf.
NIU at IDAHO
Northern Illinois is 8-3 ATS against non-conference competition on the road. The Huskies have also 'covered' five of six when playing the first of back-to-back contests on the highway. Idaho has cashed four of five non-conference clashes at home.
TEMPLE at BGSU
Temple shocked Bowling Green last year as 14-point home dogs, 28-14. The Owls are 1-7-1 ATS against MAC foes on the road. They have failed in 10 of 12 as dogs versus an opponent with revenge. The Falcons have dropped five in a row ATS coming off a bye. They are just 2-11-1 as favorites and 5-13 ATS against MAC foes. Before last year's upset, BGSU had outscored Temple 140-23 in the two previous mismatches.
ECU at WEST VIRGINIA
East Carolina has 'covered' 11 of 14 on the road and four of five versus non-conference rivals. West Virginia is 5-8 ATS outside the Big East at home.
IOWA ST at TOLEDO
Iowa State is 3-13 ATS in the first of back-to-back road games. However, the Cyclones have clicked in 11 of 13 ATS the week before meeting Nebraska. Toledo has cashed 18 of its past 25 at home.
NORTH CAROLINA at USF
North Carolina has been solid as road dogs (12-4). South Florida is 10-6-1 as home chalk and 6-3 ATS when facing a non-conference opponent.
Comment