JoePa's CBB Picks & SCRF System Plays 2/25

**BIGBALLER** · 02-25-2015, 09:47 AM

GL today joepa

**fosterswinners** · 02-25-2015, 11:09 PM

looking for a blowout

Hey big Joe Loooking for some advice I got a free 2k bet on a straight bet this weekend it can be any sport Saturday or sunday I don't post too much but I follow a lot of u guys an your are one of the guys I follow the most I'm a newbe in the handicapping game an wondering if u could reach in your pocket for me on a nice play .if u can I undetstand thank a lot appreciate any advice u could give me

**joepa66** · 02-26-2015, 08:23 AM

Originally posted by fosterswinners

Hey big Joe Loooking for some advice I got a free 2k bet on a straight bet this weekend it can be any sport Saturday or sunday I don't post too much but I follow a lot of u guys an your are one of the guys I follow the most I'm a newbe in the handicapping game an wondering if u could reach in your pocket for me on a nice play .if u can I undetstand thank a lot appreciate any advice u could give me

Fosterswinners, I am very glad to help you out, but I don't think you want any of my pics right now! I am struggling mightily right now and the only sport I am following now is college hoops. Had a fairly good night last night, but this season has been horrible. Appreciate the follow and let me know what kind of handicapping information you are looking for. I will post some basics for you....

**joepa66** · 02-26-2015, 08:24 AM

JOEPA'S UPDATED YTD: 181 - 208 - 8
UNITS: -43.00
MAC: 37 - 35 - 1
LAST PICKS: 4 - 1

OVEN MITT YTD: 22 - 29 - 1
LAST PICK: 1 - 0

2015 SCRF SYSTEM YTD: 57 - 65 - 3
LAST PICKS: 1 - 0

http://www.predictem.com/forums/college-basketball/66442-joepas-scrf-alert.html

2013-14 SCRF SYSTEM YTD: 69 - 61 - 5
2012-13 SCRF SYSTEM YTD: 62 - 41 - 1
2011-12 SCRF SYSTEM YTD: 67 - 38 - 3

BOL to everyone! :thumbs:

**joepa66** · 02-26-2015, 08:27 AM

Common bad habits for bettors!

Even the most successful sports bettors in the world develop bad habits, and those bad habits have an impact on their bottom line. The difference between them and the large majority of bettors, though, is that they are aware of what those habits are, they are on the lookout for them, and when they start to pop up they do something about them so that they aren�t a long term problem. If you have bet for a long time then you have probably developed some bad habits yourself. Here are five of the more common bad habits that can be a problem for bettors. What they have in common is that they can be easy traps to fall into, and they can be very costly if not noticed and corrected.

Believing your own hype � In order to be a sports bettor you have to have an ego. You have to believe that you are smart enough to outsmart the sportsbooks and the betting public, and that you can get into the heads of athletes and predict what they are going to do. If you don�t have an ego then you won�t be nearly driven enough to put in the work it takes to succeed. The problem, though, is that when you have an ego it is easy for that ego to get inflated and grow too big for itself. If you have some success and make a profit then it can be easy to believe that you can�t lose. That could mean that you take risks that you don�t have the bankroll for, make bets that you shouldn�t be making, and generally don�t act like a smart, rational bettor. It is absolutely crucial for bettors to remember that they are only as good as their next winning bet, and that every winning streak they have now just brings the next losing streak that much closer. If you lack that humility and self awareness � or if you misplace it for a while � then you are going to be in trouble when it comes to sports betting.

Cutting corners � Becoming a winning sports bettor takes a whole lot of work. You have to have the determination to find an approach that works for you, and the discipline to keep doing it whether things are going well or poorly. Once people have been betting for a while, though � and especially if they start to enjoy their success � they can start to try to cut some corners to make the process a bit less onerous. They might spend a bit less time handicapping each game, or spend less time watching games. They might slack off on their record keeping. The problem is, though, that when you cut corners you are no longer doing what you were doing when you were winning, so there is no guarantee that you can keep winning. getting lazy is the single biggest enemy of long term sports betting success.

Failing to innovate � The world of sports betting is always changing and advancing. New betting options are always available, and new information can be easily found to help you understand and interpret games. The public is getting smarter as well, so what used to work very well for handicappers in the past likely won�t work as well in the future as more people figure out what you are doing and replicate it. The bettor who is standing still and relying on what they have always done is not going to continue to succeed. Even when what you are doing is working perfectly you have to have the courage and foresight to keep trying new things to see how you can improve your handicapping approach and strengthen your bottom line.

Sticking with the same books � If the sportsbook that you are using is offering you bad prices then over the course of time you are throwing a lot of money away � especially if you bet on a lot of games or bet a lot of money per game. It is very important that you regularly look around to see if there are other places where you can get better prices for the sports and types of bets you prefer. You might also find that another sportsbook can help you out by posting lines sooner, making it easier to add funds, or offering a wider range of bets. Getting complacent and sticking with one book because it is easiest is not a smart solution in the competitive, constantly evolving world of sportsbooks.

Sticking to same teams or sports � There are some people who only bet on certain teams, leagues, or sports. They do that because it is what they know, and what they are comfortable with. Unless you can be sure, though, that those teams or leagues offer the best possible betting opportunities for your skills or interests then you are missing out. It could be that another conference or league offers much better value because there is less media attention, or that as smaller league might be easier to handicap and find value in. You always need to be assessing if the sports you are betting on are the ones best suited for your goals and skills. If they aren�t then you need to make a change.

**joepa66** · 02-26-2015, 08:30 AM

Traits of Good Bettors!

Sports betting is pretty much the most fun, challenging and rewarding way there is to spend time. If you aren�t cut out to be a sports bettor, though, it can be a very frustrating and expensive way to watch sports. I truly believe that anyone can be a successful sports bettor if they really want to, but it is a long way from easy. If you aren�t willing to do what it takes to be successful then your betting bankroll is going to shrink � either quickly or slowly, but inevitably. So, how do you tell if you are cut out for sports betting success? Here are eight questions that can help give you a good idea:

Do you stick to things? � Are you the kind of person who gets interested in something and sticks with it until you have learned all there is to learn about it, or are you the type who has many interests and jumps from passion to passion as something new comes up? In order to be a successful sports bettor you need to stick with it and keep learning and growing as a bettor for a long, long time. If you aren�t willing to commit to it intensely then you are never going to learn enough to be successful, and if you always jump at the chance to try something different then you are never going to develop and refine an approach to betting that will eventually be profitable.

Can you put emotion aside? � If you are interested in betting on sports then you are probably a big sports fan. Fans have teams that they love to watch, and teams that they hate. Successful sports bettors have to put that emotion aside when they are making their picks. They simply have to make the best, most value-packed pick regardless of whether that means betting on their favorite team, betting against them, or not betting on their game at all. If you can�t separate emotion from your betting then you are going to be in trouble.

Can you manage your money? � Money management is the single biggest factor that contributes to sports betting success. If you can�t manage your bankroll effectively then it doesn�t matter if you are the best handicapper in the world. If you are the kind of person who always finds themselves with an empty wallet before the end of the month then you are going to have to work very hard on developing the money management discipline required for success. there�s another question that needs to be asked here as well � can you afford to be a sports bettor? Sports betting is a tough way to get rich, and you are likely going to lose a lot of money before you start winning. That means that you absolutely need to be betting money you can afford to lose. If you don�t have extra money on hand then you need to wait until you do before you start betting. This is not a good way to invest your rent money to watch it grow.

Will you work harder than everyone else? � The people who are the most successful at sports betting are the ones who work the hardest and the smartest. There are no shortcuts to success, and it takes a tremendous amount of work to be successful. If you are the kind of person who doesn�t like to work hard then sports betting as a serious pursuit may not be for you. It is going to take more work than you think to succeed as a handicapper, and that could include making sacrifices and doing that work when you could be out doing things that are more fun.

Are you a gracious winner? � When you win a big bet you need to treat it with class � just feel good and then get right back at it. If you believe that you are some kind of a genius then you will get cocky when you start to win, and that will lead you off the path that led you to your success in the first place. You are only as good as your last win. That�s a cliche, but it is true. The more you linger on your sports betting wins and start to believe you are invincible, the closer you are to ultimate failure.

Are you curious? � Successful sports bettors want to know why things turn out like they do. They will develop theories, test those theories, refine them, and keep working at it until they have figured it out. They will constantly be looking for ways to improve their handicapping and their bottom line. They will read everything they can and seek out the answers to questions they have. If you don�t have that natural curiosity then you are going to have to really push yourself to keep developing and improving your sports handicapping.

Are you meticulous? � A sloppy sports bettor is an unsuccessful one. You need to be able to keep good records of the bets you made and the status of your bankroll. You also need to be able to record and process information quickly so that it is easily accessible to you when you need it.

Do you want it bad enough? � This is a simple question that only you can answer. If you truly want to be a successful sports bettor then you probably can be. That�s only if you are willing to work hard, accept setbacks, make sacrifices, keep success in perspective, and always be on the hunt for ways to improve your handicapping techniques.

**joepa66** · 02-26-2015, 08:33 AM

The final score almost never matters. It really doesn�t matter what the final score in a game was. That�s in the past and it doesn�t matter. What sharp bettors are far more concerned about is why the result happened. Did the winner win because their running game was dominant? Was it the loser�s secondary that let them down, or is the defensive line inadequate? What role to turnovers have? Were the turnover issues an isolated thing, or has the team struggled with them all season? Was there a key injury that had an impact? Was the offense effective, or were the points scored by the defense and special teams? Was the kicking game good, or did it let the team down? I could go on and on, but you get the point. The score by itself tells you absolutely nothing � two teams can arrive at a 27-14 score a million different ways. What matters is the details that went into getting that result, and what those details can tell you about what might happen in the future. Sharp bettors will look at those details. Casual bettors will see that a team has won their last two games by 20 points and assume they will do it again without looking at how they did it and if they will be able to do it against their next opponent.

It�s all about value. Casual bettors are concerned about who they think is going to win the game. They make their choices based on who the better team is. Sharp bettors couldn�t care less about that. What they care about is what the line is, how that compares to their view of the game, and if there is a gap between the line and that expectation. In other words, they care about value. If you can buy a gold coin for $500 and the gold in the coin is worth $500 then there is no reason to buy the coin unless you like it. If you can buy the coin for $400, though, then you�ll do it all day, every day. That�s because there is value there � the price you are paying doesn�t accurately reflect what you reasonably expect to get out the investment, so over the long term you are confident you will make money. That�s value. Sharps love that. In sports betting terms, if they think that a team has a 45 percent chance of winning a game, but the moneyline on that team is +150 then a sharp would love that bet because over the long term they will make a lot of money. Casual bettors would tend to focus on the other team because they have a better chance of winning.

**fosterswinners** · 02-26-2015, 09:07 PM

Thanks man hope u didn't spend all that time writing for me which I really appreciate it helps a lot. I'm just a small fish looking to find a system that works which is hard thanks for the I do it goes farther than u think for me

JoePa's CBB Picks & SCRF System Plays 2/25

JoePa's CBB Picks & SCRF System Plays 2/25

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