On The March 2013 NCAAW Hardwood

[EveryGamblersDream]

Vanderbilt -5 -106

Idaho +51 -106

Central Michigan +7.5 -106

UCLA -19 -106

Quinnipiac +19.5 -106

Marist +8 -106

Syracuse -11

Tennessee -23 -106

Wichita State +22 -106

Tennessee Chattanooga +8.5 -106

South Dakota State +13 -106

Kansas +11 -106

Iowa State +1.5 -106

Georgia -15 -106

Fresno State +16 -106

South Florida +8.5 -106

All dogs are worth ML plays except for Idaho which has absolutely no shot at winning. I might not be around for part of the day & the ML's are not up yet but I will have wagers on all dogs except the Vandals.

[EveryGamblersDream]

Kentucky -26.5 -106

Dayton +2.5 -106 (Wrong team favored)
o124.5 Dayton-St. John's -106

Duke -29.5
u121.5 Hampton-Duke -106

Oklahoma State -3.5 -107
o137.5 Depaul-Oklahoma State -106

Liberty +15 -102

Middle Tennessee State +19 -108
o125 Middle Tennessee State-Lousiville -106

Delaware -6 -106 (My sleeper team that could possibly win it all & if not make a deep run. They have the best player in the country in terms of overall skills in Elena Delle Donne aka the next Lauren Jackson!)

North Carolina -10.5 -106 (Line is a gift as it is way too low. The Danes are a good team but are clearly outclassed at all 5 positions & in overall talent. Their schedule is padded with beating up on what was a down America East conference this year. They only played one team worth a damn all season & they lost by 32. This line should be closer to 20.

Tennessee Martin +33.5 -106 (This line is a gift as it is way too high. One could argue that their opponent in Notre Dame is only the 3rd best team they played all season as they have already seen Baylor & Stanford in games that they held their own just fine losing by 15 & 24 respectively. No intimidation in this matchup & they have a nice 1-2 punch in Heather Butler (22.0 ppg) & Jasmine Newsome (22.9 ppg). They should be able to stay within this number comfortably wire to wire.
o140.5 Tennessee Martin-Notre Dame -106

Miami Florida +3.5 -106 (Wrong team favored)

Florida State -3.5 (Line should be higher, Princeton is a nice team but they don't have the horses to hang with the Seminoles. Their record is inflated with dominating the Ivy League & their best out of conference win was against a down Rutgers team. I'm not sold on them here.)

Prairie View A&M +59.5 -104 (Out of principal I will not back a 59 point favorite in basketball. It will help that they have played in a real hostile environment earlier this season when going to College Station & facing Texas A&M's relentless defense. Baylor will get a good size lead & coast home.)

Penn State -16 -106
o131.5 Cal Poly-Penn State -106

Wisconsin Green Bay +8 -102 (I will go on the record & say once again the wrong team is favored. It basically is perception versus reality here. WGB has more depth which will help them wear out a LSU team with only 8 active players. WGB also will be bringing their stingy defense (ranked 2nd in the country) which should give offensively challened LSU fits all day. In what will be a low scoring game, I'll take these many points all day especially when my ratings have them as the favorite.)

Stanford -34 -104 (I rode Tulsa hard & heavy in their conference tournament as I knew they were prepped to run the table & win it. However their time to shine as run out as they should be rolled here. Their only shot of covering is backdooring their way in my opinion.)
o124 Tulsa-Stanford -106

Michigan +2.5 -106

Once again I might not be around during the day so note all dogs are worth ML plays (especially if you can get 1st H, 1st 10 mins MLs etc...). I will be playing them when posted online or at worst locally except Tennessee Martin & Prairie View A&M.

[EveryGamblersDream]

North Carolina -8.5 2nd H

North Carolina -425 2nd H

North Carolina -4.5 1st 10mins 2nd H

[EveryGamblersDream]

Tennessee Martin o55
Tennessee Martin +18 1st H
Tennessee Martin +10 1st 10mins 1st H

Miami Florida +150
Miami Florida +2 1st H
Miami Florida +125 1st H
Miami Florida +1 1st 10mins 1st H
Miami Florida +110 1st 10mins 1st H

Florida State -2.5 1st H -105
Florida State -1.5 1st 10mins 1st H -105

Prairie View A&M o35.5
Prairie View A&M +30.5 1st H
Prairie View A&M +16.5 1st 10mins 1st H

Cal Poly SLO o60
Penn State o75
Penn State -8.5 1st H
Penn State -4.5 1st 10mins 1st H
Penn State -275 1st 10mins 1st H

Wisconsin Green Bay +195
Wisconsin Green Bay o59
Wisconsin Green Bay +3 1st H
Wisconsin Green Bay +160
Wisconsin Green Bay +1.5 1st 10mins 1st H -105
Wisconsin Green Bay +135 1st 10mins 1st H

Stanford -20 1st H
Stanford -11 1st 10mins 1st H

I apologize for the absolutely pathetic display by North Carolina. I was able to salvage it with the 2nd H but no excuse to be fouling as much as they were to a slower Albany team. They finally started to play their game but they did not put their foot on the throats of Albany when they had the chances to do so. It did not help that they were piss pour at the free throw line as well.

[EveryGamblersDream]

Penn State -4.5 1st 10mins 2nd H

Stanford -15.5 2nd H
Stanford -8.5 1st 10mins 2nd H -125

[EveryGamblersDream]

Baylor -14 1st 10mins 2nd H (especially strong)

I know how Kim thinks & she will light this team up at HT as they went through the motions throughout the 1st H which is why they have the 20 point lead. She will send them out to pull the throats out of Prairie View. Look for them to get up by 40 at the 10 minute mark.

[EveryGamblersDream]

Connecticut -25.5 (This one has a 35+ rout written all over it in my opinion)

Oklahoma +8.5

Michigan State +10

Tennessee -17.5

Nebraska +14

South Carolina -5.5

Georgia +9 (Wrong team favored & that is saying a lot as I love this Cyclones team)

South Florida +8.5 (They are not getting respect with a line like this. Their guard play will give the Golden Bears fits & give them a strong chance at the outright win)

All dogs are worth ML plays.

[EveryGamblersDream]

o129 Vanderbilt-Connecticut -106

o134.5 Oklahoma-UCLA -106

u123.5 Kansas-South Carolina -106

o122.5 Iowa State-Georgia -106

o118.5 South Florida-California (This line should be 125 or so)

[EveryGamblersDream]

Connecticut o78.5
Connecticut -15.5 1st H
Connecticut -8.5 1st 10mins 1st H -115

Oklahoma +260
Oklahoma o64.5
UCLA o71.5
Oklahoma +4 1st H -105
Oklahoma +190
Oklahoma +2 1st 10mins -105
Oklahoma +150 1st 10mins 1st H

Michigan State +400
Michigan State +5.5 1st H
Michigan State +260 1st H
Michigan State +3 1st 10mins 1st H
Michigan State +170 1st 10mins 1st H

Tennessee -10.5 1st H
Tennessee -6.5 1st 10mins 1st H -105

Nebraska +850
Nebraska o57
Nebraska +7 1st H
Nebraska +360 1st H
Nebraska +4 1st 10mins 1st H -105
Nebraska +240 1st 10mins 1st H

Georgia +262
Georgia o58
Iowa State o66
Georgia +4.5 1st H
Georgia +220 1st H
Georgia +2.5 1st 10mins 1st H -105
Georgia +160 1st 10mins 1st H

South Florida +265
South Florida o58
South Florida +4 1st H -105
South Florida +190 1st H
South Florida +2 1st 10mins 1st H -105
South Florida +150 1st 10mins 1st H

[EveryGamblersDream]

Connecticut -13 2nd H
Connecticut -7.5 1st 10mins 2nd H

Vandy is playing hard like you would expect but they are just too undersized & lack the depth to hang around in this game. The only reason they covered the 1st H is because the Huskies were rushing & making silly self inflicted mistakes. Geno will tear them a new one & look for them to be up by 30+ by the 10 minute mark.

Tennessee -9 2nd H
Tennessee -4.5 1st 10mins 2nd H -120

Creighton is playing a smart game but I don't see them having the horses to hang around for another 20 minutes. The superior interior play should take over once they counter the wall off that the Blue Jays are doing. When they showed patience, the Vols flexed their muscles on both sides of the ball. More of the same should get the job done.

[EveryGamblersDream]

Dayton +7

Oklahoma State +16.5

Purdue +11.5 (This line is absolutely comical as this game is a PK em game at best).

Delaware -7.5 (The Tar Heels have the athletes especially at the guard position where their speed & athleticism will give the Blue Hens guards problems. The problem for the Tar Heels is who do they have that can contain the best women's player in college basketball, Elena Della Donne. The answer is nobody as she can play all 5 spots on the floor & can score from anywhere. She will give the Tar Heels problems by making their bigs defend on the perimeter. Too much Elena should help the Blue Hens pull away and win by 10-12.)

Notre Dame -15.5 (This line is too low & the only reason it is being shaded is for Iowa playing on their home court where they are a tough out. However they just do not match up well at all. This will easily be the best team they faced all year & when they did step up OOC, they were handled easily by North Carolina & Florida State, two teams well below Notre Dame.

They have absolutely no one who can stop Skylar Diggins. If they try to take her out of the game plan which is what UT Martin did, they will just get abused by the inside game of McBride & Achonwa. This does not even factor in Freshman Jewell Loyd who is arguably playing the best ball on the team right now. The only chance Iowa has in keeping it close is in the 1st H & only if Notre Dame comes out slow like they have a tendency to do sometimes. They'd also need to go off beyond the arc which won't happen. This smells like a 20+ point win)

Florida State +32.5 (They don't have enough to win the game outright but athletically they can matchup well enough with Baylor to keep it close before eventually fading to a 17-22 point loss.)

Penn State -1 (This line is way too low as my numbers have it closer to 10. All about name value & perception along with this being a home game for LSU versus the actual reality of how much better Penn State is. LSU will not come close to scoring enough to hang with the Nittany Lions.)

Stanford -23.5 (I was very disappointed by how long it took Stanford to deal with Tulsa. I love the job Kim Barnes Arico is doing with the Wolverines. The problem is they have no depth whatsoever much less the size to deal with Stanford's inside game. Don't even get me started on how they have no one on that roster remotely close to being able to guard All American Chiney Ogwumike. I can't wait for the 1st H lines to become available as I know for a fact the players were pissed at how poorly they came out and played in the 1st H against Tulsa. Look for them to go on one of their patented runs aiming to run the Wolverines out of the gym within the 1st 10 minutes of the game.)

[EveryGamblersDream]

Nebraska +4.5 1st 10mins 2nd H -105

South Carolina -2 1st 10mins 2nd H +105

[EveryGamblersDream]

o134 Dayton-Kentucky -106

o123.5 North Carolina-Delaware -106

o136 Iowa-Notre Dame -106

o118 Michigan-Stanford -106

[EveryGamblersDream]

Dayton +8.5
Dayton +320
Dayton +4.5 1st H
Dayton +220 1st H
Dayton +3 1st 10mins 1st H
Dayton +170 1st 10mins 1st H

Oklahoma State +1000
Oklahoma State +7.5 1st H -105
Oklahoma State +400 1st H
Oklahoma State +3.5 1st 10mins 1st H -105
Oklahoma State +220 1st 10mins 1st H

Purdue +255
Purdue +4.5 1st H -115
Purdue +230 1st H
Purdue +2 1st 10mins 1st H
Purdue +140 1st 10mins 1st H

Delaware -181
Delaware -2.5 1st H
Delaware -1 1st 10mins 1st H

Notre Dame o76
Iowa o61.5
Notre Dame -8.5 1st H -115
Notre Dame -4.5 1st 10mins 1st H -115

Florida State o54.5
Florida State +15 1st H
Florida State +8 1st 10mins 1st H

Penn State -1 1st 10mins 1st H

Stanford -18.5
Stanford o68
Stanford -11.5 1st H
Stanford -6.5 1st 10mins 1st H

[EveryGamblersDream]

Oklahoma State +6.5 1st 10mins 2nd H