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Recap: 0-1
Record: 16-8
Review: I get the whole "As a coach I want to teach my kids to never quit" thing but when you're down by 16 pts with a minute left and you tell them to foul the other team, and do it again with 40 seconds left, all you're teaching them is you're an idiot who cannot accept finality and are willing to risk a senseless injury to them.
I had App game Un and it went Ov by 3 pts due to ridiculous fouling. It's one of the downsides of betting college ball - way too many sub-geniuses posing as head coaches.
I haven't been getting any plays worth buying so I lowered the qualifying parameters on some of my systems.
The * spot was 2-9 under previous qualifiers, but I haven't had a play since Nov 16, so I dropped the required to qualify as a WF2 spot.
The record on WF2 with the lowered requirement is just 1-1. I have one today AND the differential between it and WF1 qualifies it as an * play, too.
New parameters so new record kept for this * spot; not part of the 2-9 record so 0-0 right now.
Today's play:
W Virg - wait to buy
Update - went to buy the -8' but it looks a little high to me for 5-2 W Virg against 7-1 G'Town.
Let me clarify that - the number looks right to me but I think it may look high to the public so I may as well wait a bit to see if the hook comes off.
You don't have to dig too deep to see the disparity in the quality of opponents faced (WV's two losses came to Louisville on a neutral court and Pitt on the Rd) or that the Hoya's games have all been at home, but I don't think the average bettor looks beyond the surface, one of the many reasons 95% or > of them lose.
Update #2 - And in the five minutes it took me to check stats and write Update #1 above, the board just lit up because . . . the hook is dropping.
I doubt it gets any lower but can't hurt to wait a little more.
Update #3: Hook starting to show up again grabbed -8
Record: 16-8
Review: I get the whole "As a coach I want to teach my kids to never quit" thing but when you're down by 16 pts with a minute left and you tell them to foul the other team, and do it again with 40 seconds left, all you're teaching them is you're an idiot who cannot accept finality and are willing to risk a senseless injury to them.
I had App game Un and it went Ov by 3 pts due to ridiculous fouling. It's one of the downsides of betting college ball - way too many sub-geniuses posing as head coaches.
I haven't been getting any plays worth buying so I lowered the qualifying parameters on some of my systems.
The * spot was 2-9 under previous qualifiers, but I haven't had a play since Nov 16, so I dropped the required to qualify as a WF2 spot.
The record on WF2 with the lowered requirement is just 1-1. I have one today AND the differential between it and WF1 qualifies it as an * play, too.
New parameters so new record kept for this * spot; not part of the 2-9 record so 0-0 right now.
Today's play:
W Virg - wait to buy
Update - went to buy the -8' but it looks a little high to me for 5-2 W Virg against 7-1 G'Town.
Let me clarify that - the number looks right to me but I think it may look high to the public so I may as well wait a bit to see if the hook comes off.
You don't have to dig too deep to see the disparity in the quality of opponents faced (WV's two losses came to Louisville on a neutral court and Pitt on the Rd) or that the Hoya's games have all been at home, but I don't think the average bettor looks beyond the surface, one of the many reasons 95% or > of them lose.
Update #2 - And in the five minutes it took me to check stats and write Update #1 above, the board just lit up because . . . the hook is dropping.
I doubt it gets any lower but can't hurt to wait a little more.
Update #3: Hook starting to show up again grabbed -8
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