Kid's Ball 2024/25 Wed 11/27

[RBD]

Record: 16-6

Here's a top of page picture of what I'm working with for college basketball (you might have to be logged in to see the pic.)


IMG_20241127_092157.jpg

Three methods for finding Ov/Un's, two for sides, and as always a few subset categories, too.

O/U2 (sky blue ink in the pic) looks to be a good spot for Fades at 16-25, 60%.

Best spot is WF2 at 10-27 but not getting any games that qualify since the opening days of the season.

And of course * is solid at 2-9.

I'll start the day with N. Kent/Charles Un, Fading O/U2.

N. Kent/Charles Un 141'

[RBD]

Recap: 0-1
Record: 16-7

Review: That one was on me. I guess, technically, they're ALL on me, but this one more so than most because I bought a bad line.
This game was as high as 145 at some houses earlier this morning, 144', 144, and 143' were all available before the line dropped to the I got, and all would have been a W.

I normally don't buy a b-ball game if I lose 3 pts or > the opening number, and I saw the move before I bet, but 141' was close so I bought it despite the drop of > 3.

The difficult part of handicapping college b-ball for me is the amount of time it takes to run all the games through the various methods I use. Sometimes by the time I'm done 'capping I've missed out on the best numbers. Hopefully things will even out over the course of the season as sometimes the later number will be better for my play.