Kid's Ball 2024/25 Tue 11/19

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  • RBD
    Predictem Feature Writer
    • Aug 2024
    • 90

    Kid's Ball 2024/25 Tue 11/19

    Record: 15-6

    From my post dated 11/13:

    "Here's what makes a play qualify for The Stupid * Play based off of my Wrong Fav systems:
    "When WF2 says the wrong team is favored and, WF1 says the correct team is the Fav, and WF1’s point spread differential is 5 pts or > than WF2’s, take the WF1 team."

    Well, here's a variance of it:
    WhenWF1 says the wrong team is favored and WF2 says the correct team is the Fav, and WF2’s point spread differential is 5 pts or > than WF1’s; take the WF2 team."

    Basically the * plays are subsets of two of the three systems I'm using to find college b-ball totals to play.
    *Play WF1 is 2-5; *Play WF2 is 0-2. Combined, a 2-7 Fade on the Dogs mistakenly projected as Favs.

    Now I need a way to distinguish between the two when posting.
    In other words, another stupid name. In my logbook, one is designated with an orange *, the other with a sky blue*.
    I'm getting a headache from this nonsense (I can only imagine it's worse for you.)"


    Now that THAT'S out of the way, here are the updated records:
    The Stupid * Play​ #1: 2-9
    The Stupid * Play​ #2: 2-5

    The last time a game qualified for S*P #1 was on Saturday, Nov 16 when there were three of them.
    I shared all three here, one as a recommended play, and all three won

    No games qualified since Saturday, but I do have three S*P #2 spots today.

    WF1 says Bing, Queen and G Webb should be the Favs; all WF #1 spreads have a diff > 5 pts than WF2.
    The play ON teams are Long, App St and Char.

    None of the six teams have been in this spot before, as the Fade or Play ON team. THIS IS IMPORTANT. Having a subcategory within the main play's record (in this case a record tracking how individual teams perform when they're in the spot) saved me a unit when I stayed off of Memphis (NBA) last week because they were 1-0 as a Fade team and they covered again.
    And in college football San Jose St is 2-0 in the Fade spot which means lay off them if they appear in the S*P spot again.
    SUBCATEGORIES improve your bottom line.

    So, what about today's three spots?
    With a sample of only 7 games I'm not going to play all three, I'll use other factors to make my choice.

    The Royals are 2-2 but only played two quality opponents, BYU (they lost by 44 pts) and Utah (they lost by 31.)
    Their two W's came against W Carolina and Div III Lynchburg.
    App St ain't exactly Top 50 material like BYU and Utah, but they ain't W Carolina or Lynchburg either.
    App St also has the highest pt differential of the three spots.

    Today's play:
    App St -8'
  • RBD
    Predictem Feature Writer
    • Aug 2024
    • 90

    #2
    Recap: 1-0
    Record: 16-6

    Review: If I was King Shark Nanaue my post today would read, "Me smart."
    Three games qualify, I choose only one to buy, two of the three lose, I chose the only winner. Me smart.
    Not really. it's sports betting, there is always a bit of luck involved. But it didn't hurt looking at other stats for the three spots and finding edges to use or reasons to lay off one of the plays.

    Dropped in to say nothing qualifies today, in case anyone was looking for a play.
    Good luck if you're on anything today.

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