Kid's Ball 2024/25 Wed 11/13

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  • RBD
    Predictem Feature Writer
    • Aug 2024
    • 122

    Kid's Ball 2024/25 Wed 11/13

    Record: 12-4

    No play last night. Had a Stupid Asterisk Play to use but didn't buy it
    Tough call: On one hand I thought, "How can you NOT play it?? It's been hot!" On the other hand, gut feel told me to lay off it.
    Clemson didn't cover.
    Chalk one up for the gut.

    Bought a few today.

    I bought two Overs from T1, 18-6 record on this play.

    Stupid Asterisk Play says Merri should be the Fav.
    This spot is 2-5 after last night's loss. Does yesterday's result mean Reversion Toward the Mean has begun? At 13-35 Fading all sports it's about due.
    We'll find out soon enough - I'm using it tonight..

    I also have a play based on the same parameters.
    I'll explain. Stick with me on in this. Here's what makes a play qualify for Stupid *:
    "When WF2 says the wrong team is favored and, WF1 says the correct team is the Fav, and WF1’s point spread differential is 5 pts or > than WF2’s, take the WF1 team."

    Got it? Well, here's a variance of it:
    When WF1 says the wrong team is favored and WF2 says the correct team is the Fav, and WF2’s point spread differential is 5 pts or > than WF1’s; take the WF2 team."
    WF1 says Fla Gulf should be the Fav.

    Basically the * plays are subsets of two of the three systems I'm using to find college b-ball totals to play.
    *Play WF1 is 2-5; *Play WF2 is 0-2. Combined, a 2-7 Fade on the Dogs mistakenly projected as Favs.

    Now I need a way to distinguish between the two when posting.
    In other words, another stupid name. In my logbook, one is designated with an orange *, the other with a sky blue*.
    I'm getting a headache from this nonsense (I can only imagine it's worse for you.)


    Today's plays:
    VCU - 15 (Stupid Asterisk Play #1; opened 17, -15 now, bought it now before late $ on Fav sends it back up?)
    St. Bonnie - 2 (Stupid Asterisk Play #2)
    St John's/Wagner Ov (wait to buy; opened 144, down to 142' now. Game starts in two hours.)
    Rich/Char Ov (also wait; opened 143', now 139')

    Good luck with your play today . . .
    Last edited by RBD; 11-13-2024, 04:38 PM.
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