Kid's Ball 2024/25 Mon 11/11

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  • RBD
    Predictem Feature Writer
    • Aug 2024
    • 135

    Kid's Ball 2024/25 Mon 11/11

    Recap: 3-3
    Record: 11-4

    Recap: It was a good day (3-3) last time I gave college b-ball picks here (on Friday.)
    When is 3-3 a good day?
    When you're 1-3 in the early games and with two bets left you're looking at a possible 2-4 or 1-5, like I was.

    It was a good first week for college baskets, 73% on 15 bets.
    Like every sport other than college football I use a small unit size for college baskets, same size as WNBA, slightly more than my NBA unit.
    I am a HUGE proponent of betting like dollar amounts (not varying wager size.)
    It is difficult enough to stay at 54% or >.
    When you vary the size of your bets you make it even more difficult to hit that 54%.
    Even in college football where I have most of my success (15-6 in my article picks; 11-8 in the forum), I still stay with a same size bet for 99% of my play.
    Of the 40 college football picks from my articles and the forum I've only had one wager where I raised my standard unit (a W with Oklahoma in week 1.)
    While I recommend you don't vary your wager size within a sport, I do recommend varying it in different sports, based on your success or lack of success within each league.
    Sermon ended.
    And now back to kid's ball.

    After one week of play, here's what I have on the two different 'capping methods I'm using for sides and the three for totals:
    WF1 is 3-2 (all Rd spots)
    WF2 is 5-14 (all Rd spots)
    O/U1 is Ov 18-13, Ov 12-3, Un 6-10
    O/U2 is 5-6, Ov 4-2, Un 1-4
    O/U3 is 6-4, Ov 3-1, Un 3-3
    The Stupid Asterisk Play is 1-4.

    Looks like I have a few things to work with, plays ON O/U1 Overs and Fades on WF2.
    And, as it is in all sports, Fades on The Stupid Asterisk Play are $ (WNBA 2-6, NBA 2-5, NFL 2-8, college football 5-11, college basketball 1-4, combined 12-34, a 74% play across five leagues.)


    Today:
    WF2 (5-14) says Alcorn should be the Fav.
    AND . . . the point differential between WF1 and WF2 is enough to qualify for, yes - The Stupid Asterisk Play.

    Tulane -20
    Last edited by RBD; 11-11-2024, 11:44 AM.
  • RBD
    Predictem Feature Writer
    • Aug 2024
    • 135

    #2
    Recap: 1-0
    Record: 12-4

    Review: "The Stupid Asterisk Play" stays Stupid Hot as Tulane lays 20, wins by 33, covers by double digits.
    1-5 now in kid's ball, 12-35 Fade all sports. At 74% on almost 50 plays - that's just sick.

    One team qualifies today, posting for info purposes/record proof only, and in case anyone is looking for an edge on the game.
    I may buy it later, will post if I do.
    WF2 says E Kent should be the Fav, and the pt differential between WF1 and WF2 is enough to qualify for, yes - The Stupid Asterisk Play.

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