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UMass +2
UMass has owned Fordham over the past six meetings with wins of 6, 19 and 8. Fordham has scored 50 points or less in two of their last three games and have shot only 35% over their past five games. UMass is averaging 70 ppg in conference play. UMass has played a MUCH tougher schedule with the average power rating of their opponents being 76.9, while Fordham has played a much weaker schedule at 73.2. This essentially makes UMass's "bad stats" not as true as they appear. I also expect UMass to have a big edge in the offensive rebounding department and I believe they'll win the turnover battle as well. These things don't get talked about enough and are variables that win games. Lastly, UMass shoots the 3-ball way better at 38% vs. 29%. The only thing I don't like about this play is that UMass's defense stinks. I don't think it's a problem today though because Fordham beats themselves with an undisciplined approach and low basketball IQ plays.
UMass has owned Fordham over the past six meetings with wins of 6, 19 and 8. Fordham has scored 50 points or less in two of their last three games and have shot only 35% over their past five games. UMass is averaging 70 ppg in conference play. UMass has played a MUCH tougher schedule with the average power rating of their opponents being 76.9, while Fordham has played a much weaker schedule at 73.2. This essentially makes UMass's "bad stats" not as true as they appear. I also expect UMass to have a big edge in the offensive rebounding department and I believe they'll win the turnover battle as well. These things don't get talked about enough and are variables that win games. Lastly, UMass shoots the 3-ball way better at 38% vs. 29%. The only thing I don't like about this play is that UMass's defense stinks. I don't think it's a problem today though because Fordham beats themselves with an undisciplined approach and low basketball IQ plays.