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90-85-2: -0.13 u
ATS/Totals: 88-73-2
Dog ML: 2-12
(if i had bet the ML on every dog of 4.5 points or more...the record would be 9-33...despite that awful looking WL record it'd be in the plus by about 3 units following that tiered ML betting i talked about) 27% but in the plus, this is why i will always have money on dog money lines forever now. makes it more fun also. i also fully expect to pick more outrights next season, bunch of near misses this year)
some thoughts
BC @ clemson: at first glance i thought BC catching 9 points was absurd. Clemson is not that great, but im starting to learn my lesson with some of these public dogs. Majority of dog bets ive lost lately have been on public road dogs that seem to be catching way too many. I will not lay off dogs because they are publicly backed, but i will now start to look closer into these situations to find a good reason to stay away. looking back at a couple of the road dogs i lost recently there were ample reasons to lay off but i forced the issue (like the penn st @ illy game or seton hall @ west v game)
Clemson lost @ bc last year and beat them by double digits at home. Will likely be similar result this year. clemson's home wins have been by around this margin or more, bc hasnt been that great on the road. the # is justified
UGA vs. xavier: X has sleptwalk thru the last 2 games vs. crappy teams after an impressive run to open conference play. im sure they were looking ahead a bit to this matchup, but could also be a result of the short bench starting to catch up to them. Imo, uga is the kind of athletic team that can get x in foul trouble and make them use that bench. X came up short vs most of the good teams theyve faced this year OOC. i read that uga players had caught a flu bug in arkansas which may explain a little why they struggled vs auburn at home. UGA manages to blow leads often and this could very well end up around the spread so im gonna see if this drops to a clean -4.
Tennessee is another somewhat tempting looking dog because i think kentucky is highly overrated, but i vowed to never bet a dime on the vols after that pathetic stretch of lossess they endured earlier this season, ive faded them with success this year.
so UGA will likely be my only play for tuesday.
ATS/Totals: 88-73-2
Dog ML: 2-12
(if i had bet the ML on every dog of 4.5 points or more...the record would be 9-33...despite that awful looking WL record it'd be in the plus by about 3 units following that tiered ML betting i talked about) 27% but in the plus, this is why i will always have money on dog money lines forever now. makes it more fun also. i also fully expect to pick more outrights next season, bunch of near misses this year)
some thoughts
BC @ clemson: at first glance i thought BC catching 9 points was absurd. Clemson is not that great, but im starting to learn my lesson with some of these public dogs. Majority of dog bets ive lost lately have been on public road dogs that seem to be catching way too many. I will not lay off dogs because they are publicly backed, but i will now start to look closer into these situations to find a good reason to stay away. looking back at a couple of the road dogs i lost recently there were ample reasons to lay off but i forced the issue (like the penn st @ illy game or seton hall @ west v game)
Clemson lost @ bc last year and beat them by double digits at home. Will likely be similar result this year. clemson's home wins have been by around this margin or more, bc hasnt been that great on the road. the # is justified
UGA vs. xavier: X has sleptwalk thru the last 2 games vs. crappy teams after an impressive run to open conference play. im sure they were looking ahead a bit to this matchup, but could also be a result of the short bench starting to catch up to them. Imo, uga is the kind of athletic team that can get x in foul trouble and make them use that bench. X came up short vs most of the good teams theyve faced this year OOC. i read that uga players had caught a flu bug in arkansas which may explain a little why they struggled vs auburn at home. UGA manages to blow leads often and this could very well end up around the spread so im gonna see if this drops to a clean -4.
Tennessee is another somewhat tempting looking dog because i think kentucky is highly overrated, but i vowed to never bet a dime on the vols after that pathetic stretch of lossess they endured earlier this season, ive faded them with success this year.
so UGA will likely be my only play for tuesday.
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