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I'm going to try a new system out and was just curious to see how you guys went about capping your games. If you don't want to tell your "secrets" I understand....Anyway here are the picks I came up with using this combo of Sagarin, his SOS, and a value system for I have came up with, its based on past games, and team statistics. Blah blah blah, anyway here are the picks. I did 10 games from pick ems to to 20+spreads. Just want to post them here to keep up with and let everyone see how it does. DO NOT PLAY THESE JUST BECAUSE I POST THEM, I'M SURE AS HELL NOT. lol
Game 1- Nevada vs Fresno- -5.5. I came up with 5.25 for Fresno so there would be no value here really. The line would be true. Have to take Fresno at -5.5- Winner. Fresno won by 6
Game 2- Alabama vs Toledo- +24.5. I came up with the value of +14.72 for Toledo. So the play here would be Toledo.--Loss Toledo got spanked by 40+
Game 3- RI vs Florida- -11. Numbers came out to RI as a -9.97 dog. So play here would be RI. Loss RI got hammered here by 25
Game 4- FSU vs Auburn- +14. Numbers came out to +13.25. So really no value here. Would play FSU by the numbers though.-- Loss Auburn won by 5 but there was no value to even play this game if real money was in action.
Game 5- Iona vs Siena- +3. Numbers came out to Siena as a +.87 underdog. So value would be Siena+3--Winner Sienna actually won by 6 being a 3 pt dog.
Game 6- Northeastern vs James Madison- -7.5. Value would be James Madison as 12 pt favs- Loss JMU only won by 6
Game 7- Georgetown vs St. Johns- +3 Value would be St. Johns at +1.25 dog--Winner--St. Johns actually won by 3, and was a 3 pt dog.
Game 8- Drexel vs Hofstra- +11. Value would be Hofstra at +9.78 dog--Winner- Hofstra actually won by 6 being a 11 pt dog.
Game 9- Tenn Martin vs SEMO- -4. Value would be Tenn Martin at +3.11 dog- Loss
SEMO won by 7.
Game 10- Buffalo vs Cornell- Value would be Buffalo at -1.65---Winner Buffalo won by 8 in a pick em.
So basically all this is, is me making my own lines for games. Just curious to see how this works, going to try it out and see how it does. If it bombs quickly, I'll scrap it and stop posting results. lol
P.s- It doesn't take into account injuries. Like Siena-Iona game. One of Sienas best players is probably not going to play due to injury. So as long as you use your brain, the logical pick would be to take Iona, using this system.
Game 1- Nevada vs Fresno- -5.5. I came up with 5.25 for Fresno so there would be no value here really. The line would be true. Have to take Fresno at -5.5- Winner. Fresno won by 6
Game 2- Alabama vs Toledo- +24.5. I came up with the value of +14.72 for Toledo. So the play here would be Toledo.--Loss Toledo got spanked by 40+
Game 3- RI vs Florida- -11. Numbers came out to RI as a -9.97 dog. So play here would be RI. Loss RI got hammered here by 25
Game 4- FSU vs Auburn- +14. Numbers came out to +13.25. So really no value here. Would play FSU by the numbers though.-- Loss Auburn won by 5 but there was no value to even play this game if real money was in action.
Game 5- Iona vs Siena- +3. Numbers came out to Siena as a +.87 underdog. So value would be Siena+3--Winner Sienna actually won by 6 being a 3 pt dog.
Game 6- Northeastern vs James Madison- -7.5. Value would be James Madison as 12 pt favs- Loss JMU only won by 6
Game 7- Georgetown vs St. Johns- +3 Value would be St. Johns at +1.25 dog--Winner--St. Johns actually won by 3, and was a 3 pt dog.
Game 8- Drexel vs Hofstra- +11. Value would be Hofstra at +9.78 dog--Winner- Hofstra actually won by 6 being a 11 pt dog.
Game 9- Tenn Martin vs SEMO- -4. Value would be Tenn Martin at +3.11 dog- Loss
SEMO won by 7.
Game 10- Buffalo vs Cornell- Value would be Buffalo at -1.65---Winner Buffalo won by 8 in a pick em.
So basically all this is, is me making my own lines for games. Just curious to see how this works, going to try it out and see how it does. If it bombs quickly, I'll scrap it and stop posting results. lol
P.s- It doesn't take into account injuries. Like Siena-Iona game. One of Sienas best players is probably not going to play due to injury. So as long as you use your brain, the logical pick would be to take Iona, using this system.
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