Tweet
Recap after seeing some of the lines and how I think I am leaning...
MD/Duke - Flyers I'm with you and I am leaning Maryland at this number. I think it's about right based on how duke has taken apart teams by DD at home and the fact that Maryland hasn't really beaten many good teams. But I think the extra rest will help Maryland and the fact that they got destroyed here two years ago. I expect a tight defensive game and if Maryland can knock down some shots and defend the big 3 it should be close. Duke has been able to pull away late in some of their last few games while not dominating throughout. I think Maryland can hang with them based on their balanced and disciplined offense.
OK/OSU - This line seems about right to me due to OU's play on the road which has been for the most part terrible. But since OSU is so one dimensional at times I could see this game going either way. It won't be a play for me.
GMU/ODU - Too many points for me in that matchup in what should be a low scoring game. Can Mason actually score 50?? I don't think I want to try and find out.
USC/UGA - I am 90% on UGA at 2'.
Dayton/SLU - Both numbers look about right to me. I would be surprised to see SLU finish in the 50's with the pace and defense they are facing plus their travel and game planning limitations. I don't see value here.
NCSt/UNC - This might be enough points for me to pull the trigger on St. Without Davis and Zeller UNC is really thinned out inside and NC St should be able to have a field day with all their size. UNC will have to run with their lack of post players and will NC st be able to defend that? If so I think they could zone it up and force UNC to shoot from the outside, which we know is not a winning situation.
UNLV/SD St - Short enough line for me to grab the home team in a game they have to have in a place they have been very tough.
Ark/Bama - I realize Ark is on the road but how the hell is a team playing well grabbing that many points? This looks too good to be true, kind of like Zona and Siena, which way will it go? Alabama has been scuffling for a month while ark is coming into their own. I'll be honest i don't get it.
URI/Temple - I liek URI to bring their A game in a matchup they have to have. Plus no Fernandez is huge and based on Dunphy's comments it looks like he is out. I will probably go ML since I don't think they lose on the last basket.
Xavier/Florida - Yes, Florida has been playing well but Xavier is bigger, rested and the better shooting team. I think they rebound in a big way against a team that doesn't always get after it on defense. Xavier ML for me.
Memphis/Tulsa - tulsa is definitely a play for me. I can't believe the line is this short. Jordan should have a field day. I think Tulsa keeps them out of the lane.
GT/Wake - Wake is a play for me.
USF/Marquette - I like USF with the points. I think Gilchrist will help them keep it close by dominating the paint. Only concern is marquette crushing it from the 3 pt line and getting a big working margin early with hot shooting by an undersized team.
Ut/UK - If UT can slow the pace I like their chances to turn over UK enough to make it a game. UT has improved on D this year and they have the talent to and athleticism to clock the driving lanes and force UK to shoot over them. UK isn't nearly as effective when shooting from the outside. UT also is due for a bounceback after that debacle at Vandy.
MD/Duke - Flyers I'm with you and I am leaning Maryland at this number. I think it's about right based on how duke has taken apart teams by DD at home and the fact that Maryland hasn't really beaten many good teams. But I think the extra rest will help Maryland and the fact that they got destroyed here two years ago. I expect a tight defensive game and if Maryland can knock down some shots and defend the big 3 it should be close. Duke has been able to pull away late in some of their last few games while not dominating throughout. I think Maryland can hang with them based on their balanced and disciplined offense.
OK/OSU - This line seems about right to me due to OU's play on the road which has been for the most part terrible. But since OSU is so one dimensional at times I could see this game going either way. It won't be a play for me.
GMU/ODU - Too many points for me in that matchup in what should be a low scoring game. Can Mason actually score 50?? I don't think I want to try and find out.
USC/UGA - I am 90% on UGA at 2'.
Dayton/SLU - Both numbers look about right to me. I would be surprised to see SLU finish in the 50's with the pace and defense they are facing plus their travel and game planning limitations. I don't see value here.
NCSt/UNC - This might be enough points for me to pull the trigger on St. Without Davis and Zeller UNC is really thinned out inside and NC St should be able to have a field day with all their size. UNC will have to run with their lack of post players and will NC st be able to defend that? If so I think they could zone it up and force UNC to shoot from the outside, which we know is not a winning situation.
UNLV/SD St - Short enough line for me to grab the home team in a game they have to have in a place they have been very tough.
Ark/Bama - I realize Ark is on the road but how the hell is a team playing well grabbing that many points? This looks too good to be true, kind of like Zona and Siena, which way will it go? Alabama has been scuffling for a month while ark is coming into their own. I'll be honest i don't get it.
URI/Temple - I liek URI to bring their A game in a matchup they have to have. Plus no Fernandez is huge and based on Dunphy's comments it looks like he is out. I will probably go ML since I don't think they lose on the last basket.
Xavier/Florida - Yes, Florida has been playing well but Xavier is bigger, rested and the better shooting team. I think they rebound in a big way against a team that doesn't always get after it on defense. Xavier ML for me.
Memphis/Tulsa - tulsa is definitely a play for me. I can't believe the line is this short. Jordan should have a field day. I think Tulsa keeps them out of the lane.
GT/Wake - Wake is a play for me.
USF/Marquette - I like USF with the points. I think Gilchrist will help them keep it close by dominating the paint. Only concern is marquette crushing it from the 3 pt line and getting a big working margin early with hot shooting by an undersized team.
Ut/UK - If UT can slow the pace I like their chances to turn over UK enough to make it a game. UT has improved on D this year and they have the talent to and athleticism to clock the driving lanes and force UK to shoot over them. UK isn't nearly as effective when shooting from the outside. UT also is due for a bounceback after that debacle at Vandy.
Comment