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Over the last four years, I have developed a computer based, statistical system designed to extrapolate value in Vegas’ lines. The system enables me to eliminate the lines that have little to any value and exploit the lines with a high probability of winning. Also, the system allows me to have an objective opinion and it mitigates the human element of handicapping. It is important for you to understand that this is a marathon not a sprint. My system gets stronger and stronger as the season wears on, because there is more and more relevant data to utilize. Also, money management is a key to long term success. My system does not produce “1000**** Triple Platinum Picks of the Century,” but it does produce consistent winners that help you add to your bankroll. Personally, I recommend a percentage based money management system where each unit equals .75% of your bankroll. Using this strategy it is important to recalculate your bankroll on a weekly basis. This means that your wagers increase or decrease relative to your bankroll, which allows you to capitalize on hot streaks and protect against cold spells. For tracking purposes, I will rate my picks on a 1 to 5 Unit basis with an assumed 10% vig added to all losses. Good luck to all and get used to winning on a consistent basis!
Stay “Sharp”
-The Knuckleballer
Stay “Sharp”
-The Knuckleballer
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