JustBet March Madness contest - Round 3 picks

[Leafs3113]

Villanova +2.5
Pittsburgh -7.5
Missouri +4.5
Purdue +6.5
Arizona +9.5
Michigan st -2.5
North Carolina -8.5
Syracuse +1.5

Tiebreaker - 164

[FlyersFan]

Quick update after the first night.


LoadedS 4-0
Badger 3-1
bunkwillywonkaguy 3-1
Sakras 3-1
birds 3-1
Cardiac 3-1
bookie 2-2
flyers 2-2
NIUMurph 2-2
horfin 2-2
CoachD 2-2
Leafs 2-2
gads 1-3
brock 1-3
Fozzy 1-3
wrigley/danielsimpsonday....has no grade point average (no picks)

great work loadedS on a perfect night. looks like a battle for tomorrow and i would guess it will involve multiple people going to the tie breaker.

[Jerbeek]

Thanks for the update Flyers!

[Horfin]

I really don't want to be workingnow so I wasted my afternoon figuring out the possibilities of each person advancing. There are 16 Possibilities, I have listed the potential outcomes below (I HAVE NOT DOUBLE CHECKED THIS):

Louisville, Kansas, Gonzaga & Syracuse Cover
1 loaded 6
2 bird 6
3 sakras 5
4 badger 5
5 horfin 5
6 cardia 5
----------Tie Breaker Determines:
7 gad 4
8 kunk 4
nui 4
ditka 4
Louisville, Mich St, Gonzaga and Syracuse cover
badger 6
sak 6
gad 5
kunk 5
ditk 5
bird 5
loaded 5
----------Tie Breaker Determines:
horfin 4
cardia 4
leafs 4
Louisville, Mich, NC, Syracuse Cover
badger 7
bird 6
kunk 6
ditk 6
loaded 6
horfin 5
leaf 5
sak 5
(no tie breaker)
Louisville, Mich, Gonzaga, Oklahoma Cover
sak 7
loaded 6
badger 5
cardia 5
-------Tie Breaker Determines:
bird 4
brock 4
dag 4
kunk 4
nui 4
ditka 4

Louisville, Kansas North Carolina, Syracuse Cover
bird 5
badger 5
loaded 5
horfin 4
sakras 4
kunk 4
ditka 4
-----------Tie Breaker Determines:
gad 3
nui 3
cardia 3
leafs 3
Louisville, Kansas Gonzaga and Oklahoma cover
loaded 7
sakras 6
cardia 6
bird 5
nui 5
-----------------Tie Breaker Determines:
horfin 4
bookie 4
ff 4
fozzy 4
badger 4
Louisville, Kansas North Carolina, Oklahoma cover
loaded 8
bird 6
nui 6
-----------Tie Breaker Determines:
horfin 5
bookie 5
sakras 5
ff 5
fozzy 5
badger 5
cardia 5
Louisville, Mich St, North Carolina, Oklahoma cover
loaded 7
sakras 6
badger 6
bird 5
brock 5
kunk 5
nyi 5
ditka 5
(no tie breaker)

I'll come back with the Arizona combinations in a few.

[Horfin]

Here are the other 8 possibilities:
Arizona, Kansas Gonzaga and Syracuse Cover
cardia 6
bird 5
kunk 5
laoded 5
Tie Breaker Determines:
horfin 4
bookie 4
sakras 4
ff 4
badger 4
leafs 4
Arizona Mich, Gonzaga and Syracuse Cover
kunk 6
sakras 5
badger 5
cardai 5
leafs 5
Tie Breaker Determines:
bird 4
gad 4
ditka 4
loaded 4
Arizona, Mich, North, Syracuse Cover
kunk 7
badger 6
leafs 6
bird 5
ditka 5
loaded 5
Tie Breaker Determines:
horfin 4
booki 4
sakras 4
ff 4
cardia 4
Arizona, Mich, Gonzaga, and Oklahoma Cover
sakras 6
cardia 6
kunk 5
loaded 5
bookie 4
ff 4
badger 4
leafs 4
(no tie breakers)
Arizona Kansas North Syracuse Cover
bird 6
kunk 6
loaded 6
Tie Breaker Determines:
horfin 5
bookie 5
ff 5
badger 5
cardia 5
leafs 5
Arizona, Kansas, Gonzaga, Oklahoma cover
cardia 7
loaded 6
bookie 5
sakras 5
ff 5
bird 4
kunk 4
nui 4
(no tie breaker)
Arizona Kansas, North, Orklahoma Cover
loaded 7
bookie 6
cardia 6
ff 6
bird 5
kunk 5
nui 5
Tie Breaker determines:
horfin 4
sakras 4
fozzy 4
badger 4
leafs 4
Arizona, Mich, North, Oklahoma Cover
kunk 6
loaded 6
bookie 5
sakras 5
ff 5
badger 5
cardia 5
leafs 5
(no tie breaker)

I'll come back with odds of each person advancing in a bit.

Horfin

[JB]

Here are the other 8 possibilities:

I'll come back with odds of each person advancing in a bit.

Horfin

OMG....are you effing serious.....
wow....

[Horfin]

JB,

Its Friday...I have to be here...Don't want to be....What the hell....

Overall Likelihood of Advancing including Tiebreakers:
1. Loaded 97.3%
2. Sakras 82.8%
3. Bird 82.0%
4. Krunk 82.0%
5. Badger 80.0%
6. Cardiac 73.8%
7. Leaf 48.8%
8. Horfin 43.3%
9. Bookie 42.5%
10. FF 42.5%
11. Dika 41.8%
12. NUI 41.8%
13. Gad 20.3%
14. Fozzy 10.5%
15. Brock 9.8%

Likelihood of Advancing without having to worry about Tiebreakers
1. Loaded 93.8%
2. Bird 75.0%
3. Krunk 75.0%
4. Sakras 68.8%
5. Badger 62.5%
6. Cardiac 56.3%
7. Leaf 31.3%
8. Ditka 31.3%
9. NUI 31.3%
10. Bookiee 25%
11. FF 25%
12. Horfin 18.8%
13. Gadfly 6.3%
14. Brock6.3%
15. Fozzy 0.0%

Horfin

[birdsfan5]

Horfin you are nuts:beerbang:

[NIU Murph]

Horfin,

That's too funny. Nice job on the analysis. I loved how I was either NUI or NYI. Not sure if that means Napping under the Influence or New York Islanders.

Anyway, Looks like I advanced with LoadedS, Sakras, Badger, Birds, Bunk, Coach D, & Brock. I'm honored to be in such company.

Good luck everyone. This has been a fun competition. I still can't believe Kansas **** the bed. That loss destroyed my bracket.

Murph

[FlyersFan]

Good luck to everyone the rest of the way....:thumbs:

really fun every year to do this.....

wouldn't have wanted to have gone out any other way than to have had Kansas blow a DD lead and then a 5 point lead with 2 to go in a game the COVERED FOR 59 MINUTES......:bang: ...MSU bettors were lucky to cash that one IMO.

anyhow....good luck...my bet is on badger, guy has been hot lately......:thumbs:

see you all in the fall....

[Jerbeek]

Here are the 8 that are advancing. Please post any discrepancies!

loaded 7
sakras 6
badger 6
bird 5
brock 5
kunk 5
nyi 5
ditka 5

[Loaded Shooter]

Murph,

I couldn't agree more more about a class organization! Everybody here is a class act.

:thumbs:

I am a little drunk and a little woozy to put my full sentiments here right now.

Good luck all!

:sm:

[bookiekilla]

Good luck to everyone the rest of the way....:thumbs:

really fun every year to do this.....

wouldn't have wanted to have gone out any other way than to have had Kansas blow a DD lead and then a 5 point lead with 2 to go in a game the COVERED FOR 59 MINUTES......:bang: ...MSU bettors were lucky to cash that one IMO.

....

my thoughts exactly...this is one of the best contests here...really enjoy doing it...

AND

also agree about your thoughts on Kansas......thought I was movin on to the next round for most of that game, as I think i had the highest total in the tiebreaker....oh well...by the way, I believe both of us had the exact same plays for this entire round...lol

good luck to all the rest of the way....

:beerbang:

[BUNK MORELAND]

sparty

That's big ten toughness right there..:thumbs:

Kansas was not covering for 59 minutes either ... I totally disagree there ..
THAT WAS A GREAT SECOND HALF ...
The biggest lead Kansas had in the second half ( besides the 7 point halftime lead ) was 6 points !!-The score was 40-39 at the 16 minute mark
-It was tied at the 10 minute mark (49-49)-Michigan St was up by 2 with about 6 minutes left
THAT GAME WAS CLOSE THE WHOLE SECOND HALF ... It was anybody's ball game from the 10 minute mark in the second half on

Collins sucked in the second half and Aldrich wasn't the same player he was in the first half

Tough to swallow as a kansas backer with them up 13.. i do agree there.. they had that 5 point lead late but you got to give credit to Lucas and Mich St ... They came through in the clutch and Lucas was huge late with that "AND ONE" to put them up 3 and hitting free throws

[FlyersFan]

That's big ten toughness right there..:thumbs:

Kansas was not covering for 59 minutes either ... I totally disagree there ..
THAT WAS A GREAT SECOND HALF ...
The biggest lead Kansas had in the second half ( besides the 7 point halftime lead ) was 6 points !!-The score was 40-39 at the 16 minute mark
-It was tied at the 10 minute mark (49-49)-Michigan St was up by 2 with about 6 minutes left
THAT GAME WAS CLOSE THE WHOLE SECOND HALF ... It was anybody's ball game from the 10 minute mark in the second half on

Collins sucked in the second half and Aldrich wasn't the same player he was in the first half

Tough to swallow as a kansas backer with them up 13.. i do agree there.. they had that 5 point lead late but you got to give credit to Lucas and Mich St ... They came through in the clutch and Lucas was huge late with that "AND ONE" to put them up 3 and hitting free throws

line was 2.5. when exactly other than 65-62 was MSU up by 3 in that entire game. :dunno: