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Was trying to wait for +3 on this just for the sake of getting a better line, as it seems alot of these CBB games land near the lines....at least more so than in any other sport....but it appears it's not going there
Was trying to wait for +3 on this just for the sake of getting a better line, as it seems alot of these CBB games land near the lines....at least more so than in any other sport....but it appears it's not going there
how about UCLA landing on 31 last night.....was 30 1/2 in some places......i totally believe that handicapping is a 2 part thng....finding the right side and finding the best number...and sometimes finding the best number is the more important thing. i have never understood people who have a game like AFA +6 when it opens and then it gets hit all week down to like +3 and then people grab the +3. line value is huge. so is having multiple outs.
I agree completely, and it's worse in hoops, and even more specifically college hoops. I hate when I get a bad line, and I've been working lately to be more selective. There have been a bunch of games lately where I laid off because the line moved 1.5 points, and often more, against me, and i felt it took away from my chances of winning too much for that certain play to be a profitable one anymore.
One example was the Clippers last night. Moved from +5.5 to +3 (some +2.5's till tip), and I laid off. As the game played out, it was still the right side at +3, even though it ended up failing to cash because of Eric Gordon being a moron..
Another example was Memphis +6.5 @ G'town last Sat. That opened at Memphis +3, and hit as much as +6.5 at some books. I doubt I would have played Memphis at +3 (and looking back would have saved myself from probably the worst ass-boning in the history of sports betting), but at +6.5, it provided a whole hell of a lot of a better chance of cashing, in what I felt would be a close game, and ended up being just that.
A last example was Memphis +7.5 on Tuesday night in NBA. They ended up losing by 7, and I cashed because I got a great line, even though they were in it till the end, and it probably never should have even come to that. Probably should have been a 3 pt game either way, but they crapped on themselves in the final 2 mins or so. Most people on Memphis either lost or pushed on that one though....and vice versa, if they were on New Orleans, they cashed.
I did see though, a ton of people grabbing -6's and even -6.5's on that G'town game....even though they were getting a line of 3+ points worse than the opener.....
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