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UAZ +2 -120...........3Units..............wow, is this a market overcorrection, IMO. Pretty much UAZ's Pac10 season today on the line and they are a much better team than CAL. Watched both these teams all season long. Only worry is that something isn't right with Bayliss still and Budinger has been really off lately. I think they have had a lot of adversity and are a better team than they are being given credit for. CAL i saw in person and is really a garbage team, IMO. CAL should have beaten ASU on Thursday but they bricked 2 FT's up 3 with seconds left and Arizona State hit a 3 for OT and then the rest was history. So CAL off a tough loss in a game they had in the bag for most of the game. I usually don't play low road chalk/dogs but i am making an exception here. Might be the wrong call, but rolling with it anyway.
DUKE -500/G'TOWN -400/PAC -400 (+100)..........3Units............if Duke or G'Town loses at home i will be shocked. PAC should take care of UCI, but we'll see
SYR -2 -150.................low lined home favorite vs. ranked team. SYR at home has been pretty good and VIL hasn't been on the road in conference for the most part. Buying a couple points. ML was -185 which was a bit steep but didnt' want to get boned by a close game if it so happens that way. If SYR wins by 1, what do you do.....
ILL +5 -120............ILL really isn't as bad as their record this year, especially on the road. They just can't seem to hit the key foul shot or the 3 pointer to win games. This game will be close, IMO, and PUR really isn't there yet where they could put a team like ILL away, IMO. Last possession game and i actually wouldn't be surprised to see ILL win, unless they completely so south.
VALPO +105...............classic letdown spot for a team like CLEST. Off a HUGE home win over Butler the other night and now another very good team from the the league comes calling. Just playing the spot more than anything. CLEST win here and i am a believer in them.
CSU -1..........anyone who saw TCU's win over New Mexico can thank stinky steve once again for just an awful coaching job, as new mexico had a DD lead for most of the game. Only thing worse than his butt cut is his coaching. This is a hold your nose and play it game, but TCU has been not so good on the road and if CSU is going to win a game it is this one. I think the line is low due to TCU's 2 recent home wins and i think the line is baiting you into taking TCU.
that's probably it....might add some 2H plays but really haven't had any time to watch ball this week or study the card. Been doing very well which usually means i am due for a clunker. Hate to have 2 plays out on low lined road dogs because that is statistically the worst play you can make in conference play, but we'll see.
GL to everyone!
DUKE -500/G'TOWN -400/PAC -400 (+100)..........3Units............if Duke or G'Town loses at home i will be shocked. PAC should take care of UCI, but we'll see
SYR -2 -150.................low lined home favorite vs. ranked team. SYR at home has been pretty good and VIL hasn't been on the road in conference for the most part. Buying a couple points. ML was -185 which was a bit steep but didnt' want to get boned by a close game if it so happens that way. If SYR wins by 1, what do you do.....
ILL +5 -120............ILL really isn't as bad as their record this year, especially on the road. They just can't seem to hit the key foul shot or the 3 pointer to win games. This game will be close, IMO, and PUR really isn't there yet where they could put a team like ILL away, IMO. Last possession game and i actually wouldn't be surprised to see ILL win, unless they completely so south.
VALPO +105...............classic letdown spot for a team like CLEST. Off a HUGE home win over Butler the other night and now another very good team from the the league comes calling. Just playing the spot more than anything. CLEST win here and i am a believer in them.
CSU -1..........anyone who saw TCU's win over New Mexico can thank stinky steve once again for just an awful coaching job, as new mexico had a DD lead for most of the game. Only thing worse than his butt cut is his coaching. This is a hold your nose and play it game, but TCU has been not so good on the road and if CSU is going to win a game it is this one. I think the line is low due to TCU's 2 recent home wins and i think the line is baiting you into taking TCU.
that's probably it....might add some 2H plays but really haven't had any time to watch ball this week or study the card. Been doing very well which usually means i am due for a clunker. Hate to have 2 plays out on low lined road dogs because that is statistically the worst play you can make in conference play, but we'll see.
GL to everyone!
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