PreSeason A10 Team Capsules

[Nigel Tufnel]

I'll update the predicted Top 6 as they become available...again, I can't take credit for this...but just thought I'd share some A10 info for upcoming A10 capping purposes...

[xHeroOfTheDayx]

You getting this all from BR? Just wondering..

[coreyschucky]

X - Good stuf. My alma-mater Rhode Island is going to be nasty this year. If they can figure out how to play some defense they'll be a top25 team all year. As for my fathers alma mater Temple I just can't see them being anything but a .500 team this year. Maybe at best finishing 3-5 games over .500.

[Nigel Tufnel]

Xhero, since I don't know who or what br is, I can't answer...just getting this off an A10 site I visit from a poster who knows the A10 better than anyone I know.

Corey, I think URI will definitely be nasty. They will, however, have to learn to be the hunted instead of the hunter this year. Some teams have no problem with that...others struggle. Gotta like Daniels and the Barrons though.

No. 6 forthcoming....

[Nigel Tufnel]

No. 6 -- G Dub

GEORGE WASHINGTON
Last year: 23-9 (11-5), 3rd place, A-10 regular season; A-10 Tournament champions; NCAA, 1st Round

COACH
Karl Hobbs 7th year (7th overall)
Record at George Washington: 114-65 (114-65 overall; 63.7% winning percentage)

ROSTER
1 Travis King SO PG 6-2 215 New Haven, CT/South Kent (CT) Prep
2 Xavier Alexander FR G/F 6-6 215 Forest Park, OK
4 Miles Beatty FR PG 6-2 210 Guttenberg, NJ/St. Anthony's (NJ)
*5 Robert Diggs JR WF 6-8 202 Brandywine, MD
11 Wynton Witherspoon JR G/F 6-7 197 Duluth, GA/Virginia Tech
13 Jabari Edwards FR F 6-9 210 Brooklyn, NY/St. Benedict's (NJ)
15 Cheyenne Moore JR WF 6-5 210 Baltimore, MD/South Kent (CT) Prep/Clemson
21 Hermann Opoku SO C/F 6-8 225 Vienna, Austria/South Kent (CT) Prep
22 Damian Hollis SO G/F 6-8 205 Fort Lauderdale, FL
31 Noel Wilmore JR WG 6-3 190 Chester, PA
*33 Maureece Rice SR G 6-1 224 Philadelphia, PA
42 Joseph Katuka FR C 6-10 220 Zaria, Nigeria/Montverde Academy (FL)

*Returning starters

OVERVIEW

Karl Hobbs has rebuilt George Washington into one of the two best programs in the A-10. Over the past four years, the Colonials piled up 90 wins (22.5 average) and earned a school-record three straight appearances in the NCAA Tournament. The streak of postseason invitations stretches to four when an NIT bid in 2003-04 is included.

For all his success, the performance of Hobbs last season might have been his very best. Despite heavy graduation losses and a 5-5 start in conference play, a surprising GW won 23 games and seized the A-10 Tournament title.

Limited by a short bench, Hobbs did what most great coaches do. He adopted new tactics to fit his personnel. He toned down his trademark high-speed attack and turned the Colonials into a suffocating defensive team in the half court. GW could run teams off the court – or grind it out.

The challenge for Hobbs this season is very different. He’s restocked the roster with lots of long and athletic players, but the team is young and has about as much beef as a PETA dinner party. The team’s only good post player, Rob Diggs, barely weighs a dime over 200 pounds and just one key senior, Maureece Rice, returns.

Hobbs expects to rely on a pair of older ACC transfers, Cheyenne Moore and Wynton Witherspoon, to help Rice and Diggs on offense. Two talented sophomores, point guard Travis King and forward Damian Hollis, can also be counted on. Who else will contribute is far less certain.

“You wonder how soon can our players respond and who will step up,” Hobbs says.

If his track record is any indication, Hobbs won’t have to wait long to find out. He arguably does the best job of any coach in the A-10 at integrating newcomers into the lineup.

DEPARTED PLAYERS

Carl Elliott – Muscular 6-4 point guard, a Third Team All-League selection, helped carry GW back to the NCAA tournament. Earlier in the season, Elliott forced his offense too much (110 turnovers led the A-10) and his shooting suffered (27.4% 3PG, 40.6% overall). By refocusing on passing and defense, Elliott rediscovered his game and was terrific down the stretch. He was the second leading scorer (12.9 ppg) and tied for second in rebounds (5.0 rpg). Elliott also led the A-10 in steals (83, 2.6 spg) and finished second in assists (4.8 apg). His toughness, tenacity and leadership will be missed.

Regis Koundjia – LSU transfer never became a polished scorer (7.3 ppg, 45.7% FG) and his individual defense (105 fouls) was suspect, particularly against stronger post players. Yet Koundjia gave the Colonials solid boardwork (5 rpg) and occasional inside scoring. With long arms and great quickness, he was also a disruptive defender (44 steals) in GW’s press.

Dokun Akinbade – The Colonials’ starting center (7.3 ppg, 54.7 FG%) was one of the best walk-ons to grace an A-10 roster over the past decade even though he did not get a chance to play much until late in his career. Long and athletic, Akinbade provided solid post defense (24 blocks), interior passing and rebounding (5.6 rpg). It’s too bad he ran out of eligibility just as his game began to bloom.

RETURNING PLAYERS

Maureece Rice – One of the top talents in the league, Rice was named Most Outstanding Player after GW won the A-10 tournament championship. He was also voted Third Team All-Conference. Rice averaged almost 16 points a game and drained 43% of his 3-pointers, both career-high marks. He handed out 66 assists, made 43 steals and also rebounds well for a guard – he grabbed 10 boards in two different games.

What makes Rice so dangerous is an uncanny feel for the game and unusual poise under pressure. He enjoys the limelight and often comes through in the clutch. At well over 200 pounds, Rice also presents a physical mismatch for most defenders. He’s surprisingly quick for his size, handles the ball well and knows all the angles. His 3-point accuracy forces defenders to come up close, but the widebody guard is just as liable to step by them for a floater or layup. He can slide over to point if necessary and do a good job of both passing and scoring.

At times Rice will force shots, and that could be a problem in his senior season given the youth and inexperience of his teammates. Rice also played heavy minutes and he might have worn himself out after the three-day run in the A-10 tournament. In GW’s blowout loss to Vanderbilt in the NCAA tournament, Rice went 1-9 and only scored 3 points. His game doesn’t have many flaws, however, and Rice should be a candidate for First Team All-Conference consideration.

Robert Diggs – The springy 6-8 forward enjoyed a breakout season as a sophomore. His scoring rose to 10.5 points (from 1.7 ppg as a frosh). He averaged 5 rebounds. And he finished 4th in the A-10 in blocks (60). His performance is the biggest reason why GW was able to return to the Dance despite losing four key starters from the year before.

Although Diggs is thin, he’s extremely athletic, with long arms and nice footwork. He excels on the break and is a surprisingly good back-to-the-basket scorer, using his quickness and leaping ability to go over or around bigger defenders. He hit 54% of his shots and often finished with an emphatic dunk. If he improves as much as a junior as he did as a sophomore, Digs is sure to earn a spot on the league All-Conference teams.

What might retard his progress is the daily pounding Diggs absorbs. Playing out of position, he was forced to battle with the bruisers all game long because he was the best “bigman” on the Colonials. He often committed fouls when opponents outmuscled him for position down low, and by season’s end, Diggs seemed to tire. He was removed from the starting lineup and only scored a combined 11 points in the last three games.

Over the summer Diggs reportedly added some muscle but he still doesn’t weigh more than 210 pounds, not nearly enough to withstand the pounding inside. In his third year, Diggs might be more effective if he can extend his offense out to 15 feet, and he needs to get some help inside from Opoku or the incoming freshmen. Instead of manning the middle, Diggs is better as a help defender blocking shots from the weak side.

Damian Hollis – The 6-8 sophomore (5.2 ppg, 3 rpg, 50.4% FG) has a similar build to Diggs, but his game is more perimeter oriented. Hollis hit 22-50 treys (44%) as a freshman and gave the team a spark off the bench. Somewhat wild early on, he played sparingly in the first half of the season. His breakout came in a win over Charlotte in mid-January, when Hollis scored 13 points, grabbed 6 boards, blocked 3 shots and tallied 3 assists. He also knocked down four 3-pointers vs. St. Joseph’s and racked up 18 points and 12 boards in a win over Duquesne. Hollis became a mainstay in the rotation by early February, averaging 25 minutes in the final 10 games.

Skilled and athletic, Hollis can be expected to build upon a promising debut and he clearly has All-Conference potential. His outside shooting will prevent opponents from concentrating too much on Rice and keep defenses spread out. Not only can he shoot, Hollis is a good passer from the high post and he knows his way around the basket. Hobbs wants him to help Diggs out down low and score inside. Hollis is able and willing.

Travis King – The heir apparent at point guard fractured a knee cap and was not expected to practice until early November. Like Elliott, King (7.3 ppg) is atypically big and strong for a point guard and has good quickness for his size. A natural floor leader, he runs the fastbreak efficiently and likes to draw and dish (78 assists). If left open, King will also let it fly. He doesn’t look like a great shooter, but by being selective, he hit 41.7% of his 3-pointers (25-60). King defense isn’t shabby, either. He is a dogged on-the-ball defender and gets lots of steals (47) in the Colonials press. If healthy, the sophomore should be one of the best point guards in the A-10 by next March. King might not have a flair for the dramatic like his predecessor, but he’s a talented and dependable player.

Cheyenne Moore – Clemson transfer suffered a stress fracture in his left leg before the season and never fully recovered. Moore played sporadically in 16 games (4.3 ppg) and was only able to show glimpses of what he can do. He’s a high-riser who flies on the break, but Moore also complements his raw athleticism with nifty passing and good shooting (9-24, 37.5%). A fully healthy Moore would also appear to fit perfectly with GW’s pressing, high-pressure defense. The redshirt junior will be counted on for much larger contributions in the upcoming season, but some patience is in order. Moore has barely played in two years and likely has some rust.

More to come on G Dub...

[Nigel Tufnel]

More on No. 6 G Dub...

RETURNING PLAYERS

Noel Wilmore – Recruited as a shooter, Wilmore (2.9 ppg) has yet to find a role. He saw extended time early in the season, but his minutes (9.6 mpg) waned. Although Wilmore hit 33% of his treys (20-60), the rest of his game is suspect. He’s not as athletic as a typical Hobbs recruit, lacks versatility on offense and is a spotty defender. Wilmore reportedly worked hard over the summer and he’ll have to show improvement in all facets to earn more time. Competition for minutes on the wing will be fierce, but Hobbs could use a reliable shooter to pair up with Rice, especially when King is on the bench.

Hermann Opoku – Raw second-year forward sat out the first 10 games of his freshman year because of NCAA-related sanctions, but he might as well have missed the entire season. He only hit a single basket and played just 26 minutes. So what does Hobbs see in Opoku? He has crazy athleticism and tremendous length. Opoku might also be GW’s strongest frontcourt defender after a summer of weight-lifting. With some time he could turn out to be a useful rebounder and defender, and that’s all Hobbs needs from the center position. As for his offense, forget about it. Opoku’s post skills are as rough as cheap sandpaper. A few stickbacks is all he’s likely to get.


NEWCOMERS

Wynton Witherspoon – The 6-7 transfer from Virginia Tech is thin but wiry strong with a knack for scoring. Before he left the Hokies, Witherspoon was emerging as a serious threat despite hobbling foot injuries. Now fully healed, the junior forward is expected to supply punch and experience for a young frontline. He’s a good if streaky shooter who likes to play on the perimeter, but he also finds a way to score inside. Witherspoon uses a long wingspan, quick reaction and good hops to slip in shots before defenders respond. Two years ago, he scored a career-high 19 points in a loss to Florida State, and he tallied 17 points vs. North Carolina. Witherspoon is also a good ball-handler for his size, a useful weapon when GW is pressing opponents or getting pressed in return. He can bring the ball up the court or convert steals into fastbreaks.

Xavier Alexander – Xavier is arguably a better athlete than former Charlotte swingman D’Angelo Alexander, but he lacks his brother’s deep range. Xavier does his best work closer in. He runs the floor, finishes on the break and is a decent shooter out to 15 feet. At 6-5 and 215 pounds, Alexander also has the size to rebound and score in traffic. As a freshman, Alexander will have to compete with Hollis, Moore and Witherspoon for minutes. Since Hobbs likes to play lots of players, Alexander is sure to get an opportunity.

Miles Beatty – Highly regarded combo guard is a solid shooter and ball-handler and an above-average defender. Beatty should get spot minutes as a freshman, but Hobbs will start Travis King (if healthy) at point and Mo Rice can also chip in. Expect to see more of Beatty as the season wears on. Hobbs rides his ball-handlers hard and they have to truly earn their time.

Jabari Edwards – Forget about his listed state of birth (New York). The latest in a long line of similarly molded GW forwards comes straight out of the Hobbs Recruit Factory: skinny, all arms and legs, crazy leaping ability. Edwards is not polished offensively, but he’s a great athlete who gets up and down the floor and could eventually become a defensive anchor. At barely over 200 pounds, however, it will take some work to mold Edwards into a primetime Atlantic 10 performer.

Joseph Katuka – Hobbs evidently has a factory in Africa, too. The Nigerian native, who’s taller than Edwards, is another prototype GW recruit. He’s got great hops and long arms and could turn into a good rebounder and shotblocker. As a result he drew interest from lots of major programs (rejecting Miami in favor of GW.) Naturally his low-post game is suspect – rarely do polished bigmen find their way to the A-10 – and he does not have as much experience as U.S. players his own age. Most of his baskets come in transition or during the scruff after missed shots. Yet a near-7 footer with athleticism is impossible for any A-10 school to pass up. Unlike most GW bigmen, he’s also got some meat on his bones. His heft could earn him the nod as starting center.


SCOUTING REPORT

GW has enough long and athletic players to resume its all-out attack and full-court press. Given their lack of muscle upfront, the Colonials may have little choice. Diggs, Hollis and Witherspoon can all play inside and beat defenders with quickness, but they are not cut out to bang down low all game long.

The lack of power players will hurt on defense as well. GW could get beaten up by bigger frontlines such as Duquesne and St. Joseph’s. The Colonials have to rely on speed and athleticism to overcome that deficiency. They’ve done it before. They can do it again.

The starting backcourt is in good hands. Rice, who can play either position, is a big-game performer and one of the top 3-point shooters in the league. King is one of the best young point guards in the A-10. Both are also good rebounding guards – a bonus on a team with such slender frontcourt players. (Strangely four of GW’s five heaviest players are guards.)

The biggest unknown is the bench. Moore could be a topflight player if he finds his grove right away. Yet Wilmore and Opuko have not carved out regular roles and the four freshmen are unlikely to burst out of the gates quickly.

Hobbs has to find a few contributors among the bunch, with special emphasis on shooting and rebounding. Other players have to knock down the trey to relieve the pressure on Rice and create space inside for quick forwards Diggs and Hollis to work. Better boardwork is also a must after the graduation of GW’s top three rebounders.


PREDICTION

The Colonials certainly won’t lack for confidence. Hobbs has established a winning program in which players expect to succeed. The carryover of all GW’s success was evident in last year’s stunning A-10 championship run.

Of course, winning programs also need good players, but Hobbs has that base covered, too. He has six veterans who’ve shown they can score at the A-10 level. Two of them, Moore and Witherspoon, have had some success in the ACC. Another pair, Hollis and Diggs, could be the best bookend forwards in the league. Nor does it hurt that Hobbs can turn to one of best players in the East when GW needs a big basket. Mo Rice is synonymous with clutch.

To help his veterans out, Hobbs has padded his roster with loads of length and athleticism possibly unmatched in the A-10. Once again he has the numbers to play the style he prefers. The Colonials will press teams relentlessly and run up the score when they can.

All the athleticism will help win some games against better opponents, but the team’s inexperience could also results in losses to teams GW should beat. And the Colonials literally have a skeleton crew in the paint. Apparitions of problems past – lackluster half-court offense, inadequate rebounding and poor post defense – might haunt GW again.

While the Colonials have enough talent to spook most A-10 teams, they are not ready to rise again to the very top of the league.

Record: 16-10 (9-7), 6th place

[Nigel Tufnel]

No. 5 -- The Fordham Rams

FORDHAM
Last year: 18-12 (10-6), 5th place

COACH
Dereck Whittenburg, 5th year (9th overall)
Record at Fordham: 53-66 (120-116 overall; 50.8% winning percentage)

ROSTER
*1 Marcus Stout SR WG 6-4 195 Southfield, MI
4 Herb Tanner SO WG 6-4 165 Boston, MA/Stoneridge (MA) Prep
5 David Boykin SO G 6-3 180 White Plains, NY
10 Dan Landisch SO 6-6 215 Milwaukee, WI
*14 Kevin Anderson SR PG 6-3 185 Westerville, OH/Hargrave Military (VA)
*21 Michael Binns SR PF 6-7 225 Aurora, IL/Brewster Academy (NH)
23 Mike Moore FR G 6-5 190 New Haven, CT
24 Brenton Butler SO PG 6-2 180 Norcross, GA
*30 Sebastian Greene SR WF 6-8 188 Germany/Lafayette, IN
*42 Bryant Dunston JR C-F 6-8 233 Lefrak City, NY
44 Luke Devine JR C 6-10 239 Wakefield, RI/Hargrave Military (VA)
50 Chris Bethel JR F 6-5 210 Bronx, NY

*Returning starters

OVERVIEW

The Rams have been building toward this moment for five years. Under the guidance of Dereck Whittenburg, the program has increased its win total from 6 to 13 to 15 to 18. The next step is 20 wins and the school’s first postseason invitation since Fordham joined the A-10 in 1996.

This is the year Fordham has to take that next step.

The Rams are the most veteran bunch in the league. Fordham returns five seniors, including two preseason All-Conference players in Byrant Dunston and Marcus Stout. Dunston is one of the top four bigmen in the A-10 and Stout is one of league’s best shooting guards. The other three seniors have been starters for most of their careers on Rose Hill.

What Whittenburg needs is more help from a supporting cast that’s mostly played the role of spectator. Rising sophomore guard Brenton Butler, a good shooter, will have a big part, but the coach has to find another player or two. Fordham was short of quality depth last year, especially in the frontcourt, and sometimes the Rams struggled to score. Six players accounted for 85% of the minutes played.

All the experience of Fordham’s senior class cannot compensate for a thin bench. It’ll take more than the starting five and Butler to capture an A-10 title or even a postseason invitation.

DEPARTED PLAYERS

Dominic Osei – Whittenburg’s first recruit to Fordham, Osei (0.9 ppg, 1.3 rpg) saw little playing in his final two seasons. Though energetic and athletic, the 6-5 forward did not shoot well (career 29%) and was too small to be a factor inside.

Demetrius Phillips – Springy but raw 6-9 sophomore from Baltimore did not develop fast enough and only played in seven games. Phillips transferred after the season.

RETURNING PLAYERS

Bryant Dunston – The 6-8 senior, who seemed destined for the NBA after a brilliant freshman season, has not dominated the league like many expected. Dunston struggled early on in each of the past two seasons. Although he shot 54.5% last year, Dunston hit just 44% of his attempts in nonconference play. Teams with big frontlines gave him the most trouble, but he was also frustrated by constant double teams. It’s no coincidence. Fordham doesn’t have another decent bigman to take the pressure off Dunston, as was the case when he was a freshman. He’s a lone ranger down low and the failure of Whittenburg to land a complementary frontcourt player looms as a great “what-if.”

Even without his own Tonto, Dunston is still one of the best players in the A-10. The Second Team All-Conference forward can score in the paint or along the baseline and is a surprisingly effective 3-pointer shooter when left wide open. He’s also one of the best rebounders and shotblockers in the league. What Dunston cannot afford is another slow start, especially if the Rams want to position themselves for an at-large bid to the NCAA tournament. He has to play with great urgency and efficiency – and avoid early foul trouble. Dunston sat on the bench far too much in the first half of games. Maybe Dunston is not a superstar, but he’s certainly good enough to lead Fordham back to the postseason.

Marcus Stout – Three-year veteran, who led the team in scoring, is one of the better wing guards in the league (15.3 ppg, 3.2 rpg, 2.6 apg, 49 steals). Last year Stout grew into a more composed player. He forced fewer shots, turned the ball over less and took fewer gambles on defense. He’s a good shooter ( 37.8% 3PG) when he has time to spot up, usually after a kick-out from Kevin Anderson or Brenton Butler, but he’s also learned to employ headfakes and quick dribbles to get open. In the crunch, Stout can also get some tough buckets inside, using his strength and 6-4 frame to ward off defenders.

When Dunston was in a funk, Stout was usually the player to lead the Rams. What’s especially helped his game was the presence of Butler, the talented sophomore. Butler attracted enough attention to give Stout more space. As a senior, he’ll benefit even more from the maturation of Butler and the team’s other second-year guards. He needs to have a big year to help propel the Rams to the top of the A-10 standings.

Brenton Butler – The All-Newcomer selection was a revelation. In just his second game, the sweet-shooting Butler scored 20 points vs. Tennessee to put the rest of the A-10 on notice. He reached double figures in 13 games, topping out at 28 points vs. Duquesne and 22 in a season-ending loss to Rhode Island. In more than a few instances, Butler (9.5 ppg, 43% 3PG) was the best player on the floor.

The son of a former NFL cornerback, Butler plays with uncommon confidence and maturity. He moves well without the ball and knows where he’s supposed to be on the floor. Although he benefited from the defensive attention paid to Dunston and Stout, Butler also looked aggressively for his shot and was not afraid to drive to the basket. He’s a very crafty player.

Where Butler could use improvement is in running the team (56 assists, 56 turnovers). He’s a good ball-handler and put in some time at point, but he seemed more comfortable on the wing. At times Fordham will need to substitute Kevin Anderson out to get more scoring on the floor. Whittenburg has to have confidence that Butler can animate the sometimes-lifeless Fordham offense with skills other than his shooting.

Kevin Anderson – The 6-3 senior has hung on to the starting point position for three years even though he’s an offensive eunuch (career 17% 3PG). That’s not going to change in Anderson’s final year. He’ll just do what he does best: run the team, take care of the ball and defend. Unlike most players, Anderson knows his limits and rarely tries to exceed them. He’s a sound if not especially creative decision maker and makes crisp passes. He finished fifth in assists (4.0 apg) and second in assist-to-turnover ratio (2.37).

Anderson’s disappearance act as a shooter (3.7 ppg), however, limits Whittenburg’s options. The coach cannot put another nonscorer on the floor at the same time, particularly a bigman such as Luke Devine, to relieve Dunston of the dirty work inside. Ideally one of the three sophomore guards will step into the role as backup point, but none came close to supplanting Anderson. He still played 28 minutes a game. There are better point guards in the league, but Anderson is good enough to do the job when he’s surrounded by talented players. He won’t make many mistakes or let the man he defends score easily.

Sebastian Greene – The 6-8 senior (9.5 ppg, 49% FG) is an enigma. He doesn’t look like much of an athlete or seem particularly skilled; nor is he a player opponents fear. Yet Greene is actually a great athlete who does lots of things well (5.4 rpg, 2.2 apg) and he might hold the key to whether the Rams vie for their first A-10 championship. How so? Greene is Whittenburg’s most reliable frontcourt partner for Dunston and he’s the team’s best defender (36 steals, 19 blocks.)

On offense, Greene is in constant motion. He often swoops in for stickbacks after Dunston misses and he can post up smaller or slower defenders. Always a reluctant scorer, Greene for the first time in his career actually began to look for his shot. He even showed some aggressive moves to the hoop. Greene is not a great outside shooter (24.5% 3PG) and he doesn’t have to become a big scorer, but the Rams do need a steady supply of offense.

When the other team has the ball, Greene usually covers its most dangerous scorer. He’s even guarded effectively some of the smaller points in the league such as Drew Lavender. He’s light on his feet and has quick hands. If he wins any award, All-Defensive Team is the most likely.

Michael Binns – After three years at Fordham, the 6-8 Binns has yet to discover his on-court identity. He’s not a beast in the paint or a rebounder deluxe (3.6 rpg), and his attempt to become a perimeter threat has met with limited success (33.4% career 3PG). As a junior, he played fewer minutes (19.7 mpg vs. 23 mpg) and his production in most categories fell off.

The failure of Binns to improve is a great mystery. He’s big and strong, quick for his size, and in possession of enough skill to be a quality starter. At this late stage of his career, however, the odds of Binns delivering a breakout season are not high. It’s happened before in the A-10, but rarely. Whittenburg will take what he can get, but the Rams would be so much better if Binns was, too.

More to Come on the No. 5 Rams...

[Nigel Tufnel]

More on the Rams...

RETURNING PLAYERS

Chris Bethel – Third-year small forward (4.7 ppg, 2.2 rpg, 44% FG) is facing a make-or-break season. Bethel is a good scorer who can do damage inside or out, but he does not perform with consistency or give the kind of effort Whittenburg demands on defense. He committed countless silly fouls and at times even seemed to forget his assignments. By the end of the season, he barely got off the bench and only averaged 9 minutes a game.

A strong 6-5, Bethel has shown the ability to get some tough buckets in the paint. He’s also a decent outside shooter and can take defenders off the dribble. In 22 minutes vs. St. Louis, he scored 16 points and pulled down 6 boards. He also scored 11 points in 23 minutes in a loss at Charlotte. What Bethel has not done so far is put his total game together day in and day out. Unless he does, his playing time is not going to rise. The Rams need his offense, but not his lackluster approach to other parts of the game.

David Boykin – Thin as a sheet of paper, the 6-3 combo guard was not physically ready as a freshman to be a significant contributor. Boykin had trouble finishing plays (0.9 ppg, 26% FG) or sticking to his man on defense. With more work in the weightroom, he’s got potential to develop into a solid player. Boykin looks to have a nice shot, a decent handle and good court awareness. Whether he has the goods to become a future starter, however, is far from certain.

Herb Tanner – The 6-3 sharpshooter from Boston did not join the team until after the first semester. He was thrown right into the fire, but never really warmed up. Tanner was often out of control in limited minutes, struggled with his shot (2.5 ppg, 28% FG) and looked every bit the jittery freshman .

Tanner also showed moments of promise, though. He’s the most athletic of the three sophomore guards, with long arms and quick feet. He’s got the ability to dribble-penetrate and is an alert passer. Tanner also played with lots of energy at both ends of the floor. After a full year in the program, he should be better prepared to earn a spot in the regular rotation. The Rams need another guard and shooter to add to their mix. Whittenburg hopes Tanner or Boykin can fill that role.

Luke Devine – Little-used 6-10 center has played just 117 minutes in two seasons, but he might get on the floor more as a junior. He saw plenty of time when the Rams went on a preseason trip to Bermuda because Dunston was injured. Devine plays hard and knows his role. He’s yet to score an actual basket in two years, so don’t expect any offense. But he can rebound a bit and seems like an intelligent if limited defender in the middle.

Dan Landisch – The 6-6 sophomore played sparingly (4 games) and is still an unknown quantity. He’s a good all-round athlete with some range on his shot, but he’ll have trouble taking minutes away from Binns and Bethel.

NEWCOMERS

Mike Moore – One of the top prepsters in Connecticut, Moore is a versatile player who does a bit of everything. He’s a decent ball-handler and passer, but can also get into the lane or knock down the trey. At just 190 pounds, though, Moore needs to add muscle to his 6-5 frame. He’s unlikely to see much time on a deep and experienced squad.


SCOUTING REPORT

Fordham is already one of the best defensive teams in the league. The Rams have older, more physically mature players who’ve been through the league wars. The shotblocking Dunston is also a nice backstop on whom teammates can rely. He just has to stay out of early foul trouble.

The Rams still have several big weaknesses to address. Fordham was the gang that couldn’t shoot straight, finishing second to last in points scored (65.5 ppg) and 12th in field goal percentage (43.6 FG). Anderson’s inability to shoot is one culprit, as is the inconsistency of Binns. Points might be a little easier to come by if Butler continues to improve and Bethel or Tanner lend a hand, but the Rams are not going to turn into an offensive juggernaut.

Rebounding is another key concern. The Ram were outrebounded by 2.7 boards a game, the only team in the A-10 to post a negative margin but still achieve a winning record. Dunston is a terrific rebounder, but he doesn’t get much help. The lack of adequate frontcourt reserves is a big part of the problem. Whittenburg hopes to get a few more minutes a game from Devine. Just don’t expect Big Luke to turn into a Windex wiper.

Because the Rams are expected to be good, the league hasn’t done Fordham any favors. The school has to play Temple, Charlotte and Duquesne twice, and all three figure to be very competitive in 2007-08. Fordham played a softer lineup last season in the league’s imbalanced schedule – racking up four wins against Duquesne and St. Bonaventure – on the way to 10 victories for the first time in A-10 conference play.

PREDICTION

With Dunston manning the middle and Stout and Butler knocking down treys, the Rams have a good nucleus of scorers. Anderson is steady at point and Greene is a solid complementary player at small forward. A seasoned Fordham squad also has the toughness and defensive ability to win on the road.

Depth is a major concern, especially when Dunston gets in foul trouble. The Rams have little size or proven firepower on the bench. Poor rebounding is another problem that has to get fixed. Rarely do teams that lose the battle of the boards finish near the top of league standings. Better performances from upperclassmen Binns and Bethel would go a long way in addressing all of these problems.

It’s also important that Fordham start fast. The Rams struggled in the nonconference portion of the schedule during the past two seasons. A similarly rough start would doom any hopes of an at-large bid to the NCAA tournament.

Although Fordham is no Cinderella, getting the NCAA glass slipper to fit these days is more difficult than ever, even for a pretty good team. Fordham has enough talent and experience to get to 20 wins and obtain an NIT invitation, but it’s not quite tailor-made to go Dancing.

If Whittenburg can dress up a few shortcomings, though, the experienced Rams might end up in the Big Ball even if they don’t win the league tournament outright.

17-10 (9-7), 5th place

[Nigel Tufnel]

Preseason Predicted No. 4 -- The Dukes

A-10 PREVIEW – 4TH PLACE

DUQUESNE
Last year: 10-19 (6-10), 10th place

COACH
Ron Everhart, 2nd year (14th overall)
Record at Duquesne: 10-19 (184-191 overall; 49.1% winning percentage)

ROSTER
*1 Aaron Jackson JR G 6-4 180 Hartford, Conn./Worcester (MA) Academy
*2 Kieron Achara SR F/C 6-10 240 Scotland, Maine Central Institute
*3 Reggie Jackson SR PG 5-10 170 Hogansville, GA/Southern Union CC (AL)
4 Jimmy Sherwood SO G 6-2 190 Sharon, MA/Cushing Academy (MA)
5 David Theis FR F 6-8 215 Pittsburgh, PA/Mercersburg (PA) Prep
13 Jason Duty SO G 6-0 170 Cranberry Township, PA
20 Phillip Fayne JR G 6-3 220 Carbondale, IL/Southwestern Illinois College
21 Shawn James JR F/C 6-10 225 Brooklyn, NY/Notre Dame (MA) Prep/Northeastern
22 Gary Tucker SR G 6-1 185 Pensacola, FL/Southern Union College (AL)
30 Bill Clark FR G/F 6-5 205 Redondo Beach, CA/Oak Hill (VA)/Worcester (MA) Academy
31 Stephen Wood SO WG 6-4 185 Queens, NY
32 Damian Saunders FR 6-7 205 Waterbury, CT/Notre Dame Prep (MA)
33Kojo Mensah JR G 6-1 180 Brooklyn, NY/Notre Dame (MA) Prep/Siena
55 Lucas Newton SO G 5-9 165 Weston, FL/Westminster Academy (FL)

*Returning starters

OVERVIEW

The Dukes were the feel-good story of the year in college basketball. Short of size and depth after several players were nearly killed in an on-campus shooting, the young squad rallied under new coach Ron Everhart. The school shocked Boston College on the road and in one amazing midseason stretch, the Dukes defeated traditional A-10 powers Dayton, Temple and Xavier in consecutive games. Duquesne won six conference games, up from just one the year before.

The euphoria partly wore off after a tired Dukes squad lost its final eight contests. The afterglow further dimmed with the sudden transfer of leading scorer Robert Mitchell and the arrest on drug charges of Stuard Baldonado, one of the players wounded in the shooting. He was removed from the team in September.

The good feelings haven’t entirely gone away, however. For the first time in years, fans began to return in droves to witness what they hope is the long-anticipated rebound in the program’s fortunes. Despite a patchy off-season, the Dukes return a solid core of veterans and add a pair of highly acclaimed transfers, one of whom is a near-certain NBA draft pick.

“We've gone from having one of the most inexperienced teams in the country to having, legitimately, an experienced team,” the coach told AP.

Everhart, the master rebuilder, looks like he’s making quick work of his third restoration project. And Dukes fans hope they can party like it’s 1994 – the last time the team achieved a winning record and went to a postseason.

“I hate to put expectations on anybody, but Duquesne definitely is a team that can win our league tournament,” Massachusetts coach Travis Ford said.

DEPARTED PLAYERS

Robert Mitchell – Reigning A-10 Rookie of the Year pulled a shocker by transferring to Seton Hall a few days before school started. A gifted 6-6 athlete, Mitchell also surprised the league last year with his scoring prowess. He led the team with 16.4 points a game – 8th in the A-10 – and averaged 5.4 boards. Mitchell scored every which way: slithery post moves, short pull-ups, long jumpers (40% 3PG). Behind the scenes, however, Mitchell caused more than a few problems for teammates and coaches. He was not a disciplined player in practice or games and his concentration on defense was lacking. It’s also unlikely he would been such a focal point on offense again. The Dukes have more talent and depth than last year and plan to spread the ball around. Still, his departure hurts, questionable attitude notwithstanding.

Scott Grote – Another talented 6-6 swingman, Grote (9.9 ppg, 4.1 rpg, 63 assists) transferred after his freshman year. Citing personal issues, he moved closer to his home in Ohio to play for Wright State, where his father was an All-American. In one season at Duquesne, the gritty Grote hit some big shots, including several late baskets to lead the Dukes to a huge upset win at BC. He was a good if streaky shooter (32% 3PG) and never backed down even when physically overmatched. Had he stayed, his role would have diminished, but he still would have been a valuable reserve.

Almamy Thiero – The 6-9 transfer from Memphis ended his career the way it began: hobbled by injuries. Once a top-rated recruit, Thiero was a bit player in his only season at Duquesne. He played in just the first 15 games, averaging 2.4 points (36.2% FG) and 3.3 boards.

RETURNING PLAYERS

Kieron Achara – Talk about perseverance. The gangly 6-10 bigman started the year on the bench with a foot broken in multiple places. He finished the season on the A-10’s All-Defensive team. Now Achara – who’s endured 82 losses in four years – hopes to end his fifth and final year at Duquesne on a winning note. He’ll get lots of help from transfers Shawn James and Kojo Mensah. Always a team player, the Scottish-born Achara might even take a backseat to the program’s celebrated arrivals.

Whatever the case, opponents surely won’t forget Achara’s presence in the paint. He’s improved his quickness and footwork after losing weight and compensates for lack of explosiveness with good positioning and timing He scored 15.8 points a game on 51.8% shooting, finishing second in the A-10 in blocked shots (2.57 bpg) and fifth in rebounding (7.3 rpg). With James aboard, Achara might even venture more outside. He hit 17 three-pointers last season and showed good form in the process.

A healthy Achara and James are the keys to Duquesne’s success. The two bigmen form the most potent frontcourt duo in the A-10, much like last year’s UMass tandem of Stephane Lasme and Rashaun Freeman. Both players can block shots – and shoot treys. As long as they don’t fall in love with their jumpers, the Dukes will be tough to handle in the paint.

Aaron Jackson – Underappreciated junior guard (11.0 ppg) is also a team player who will do whatever it takes to win. Tough and physical, he’s a leader on the court, plays with great heart and determination and is not afraid to challenge teammates. Neither a pure point nor an outstanding shooter (31% 3PG), Jackson can play both backcourt positions and contribute in a number of ways. With the ball in his hands, Jackson likes to push it hard (3.8 apg), but he’ll reset the offense if he can’t find a crevice in the defense. If the offense sputters, he is willing to take and make big shots. When the Dukes need a board, Jackson (5 rpg) is sneaky quick, especially on the offensive glass (66 rebounds, best among A-10 guards). He’s also a good defender, with quick hands (40 steals). Jackson might not be the most talented guard in the A-10, but he’s hard to keep off the floor. Last year he played a team-leading 31 minutes a game.

Phillip Fayne – Strong 6-3 swingman (5.6 ppg) is a decent shooter (38.2% FG, 37% 3PG) and above-average passer (37 assists). Even at 220 pounds, Fayne has ample quickness and athleticism to defend his position against most opponents. In the off-season, he reportedly improved his handle and shooting in hopes of an expanded role. Fayne should be a key contributor off the bench and he might even find himself starting a small forward.

Stephen Wood – New York native started off well as a freshman, got sick and then was lost in the ever-shuffling Duquesne lineup. A big scorer in high school, Wood misfired badly (4 ppg, 25.8% 3PG) on most long-range attempts, struggled to finish plays and turned the ball over too much. Yet the long-limbed Wood showed plenty of athleticism and potential at both ends of the court. His defense was probably the best part of his game. He’s long and rangy and has a quick first step. As he matures, Wood might rediscover his scoring ability, but the Dukes don’t need much offense from him now.

Gary Tucker – The most freakishly athletic guard in the A-10 was a human highlight reel. The 6-1 Tucker skied for thunderous ally-oop dunks and was a menace in the open floor, particularly when the Dukes pressed. After a slow start, he scored in double figures in 11 of the final 15 games, including a season high 17 in an upset win over Xavier. Tucker (7.3 ppg) shot more than 55% from the field during that stretch, compared to 31.5% in the first half of the season.

Unless he improves his jumper (27% 3PG), however, Tucker cannot be counted on to score in double digits every game. He relies on an attacking, slashing style to produce points, but defenders will start to lay off him until he shoots consistently. Nor will he get as many touches with Mensah handling the ball and Achara and James getting fed in the post. Although Tucker still has an important role to play, it will continue to evolve.

Reggie Jackson – Small but quick point guard (7.4 ppg, 85% FT) took care of primary ball-handling duties, allowing Aaron Jackson to roam at both ends of the court. Reggie Jackson is more of a caretaker than a creative lead guard. He doesn’t attack the rim much in half-court sets and is not an adept finisher. Instead he gets the ball to the shooters (3.4 apg), sometimes drawing away defenders with a few hard dribbles toward the rim.

Although Jackson was a good shooter in the juco ranks (53% 3PG), he did not come close to replicating that success at Duquesne (32.5% 3PG). Now that he’s more comfortable in Division 1 ball and has Achara and James to pull away defenders, Jackson might be able to knock down treys more regularly. If he can do that, Everhart might be able to play the two Jacksons and Mensah as part of a quick three-guard backcourt. Even if he doesn’t, though, Reggie Jackson will still play a valuable role in a deep Dukes backcourt. He doesn’t turn the ball over much, controls the pace and is a disruptive defender, especially when the speed of the game accelerates.

More on Duquesne to follow....

[Nigel Tufnel]

Continued on No. 4 Duquesne...

RETURNING PLAYERS

Jason Duty –A recruited walk-on, the Pittsburgh-area native gave the Dukes a lift in a handful of games and received valuable court time. He played 15 minutes a game and averaged 3.4 points, including 13 points in a win over Dayton. He shot just 30% from behind the arc, but Duty is a good shooter and cannot be left open. In a more crowded backcourt, though, he probably won’t receive many minutes.

Jimmy Sherwood – The Massachusetts native, another recruited walk-on, has greater potential to become a rotation regular. Sherwood is bigger and more athletic than Duty and he also shot better (11-19, 57.9% 3PG). He scored 15 vs. LaSalle (5 treys) and 13 against Charlotte. At the very least, he provides good insurance in case of injury.


NEWCOMERS

Shawn James – The 6-10 transfer from Northeastern is a terrific talent – think a taller Stephane Lasme. A late bloomer, James followed coach Ron Everhart to Duquesne for a chance to shine at a higher level. He is a potential NBA prospect, with a rapidly improving offense and superior defensive skills. Two years ago, James swatted 196 shots, the second highest single-season total in college history. He also set an NCAA record by averaging 6.53 blocks a game. He's long and quick, with great anticipation, and the leading contender for A-10 Defensive Player of the Year. “James is the best shot-blocker in college basketball,” said Fordham coach Dereck Whitteburg.

Blocking shots is not all he does. James scored 12.4 points a game, averaged 8 boards, dished out 44 assists, hit 77% of his free throws -- and knocked down 24 treys to boot (37%). In his first two years, he recorded four triple-doubles to tie Jason Kidd for the NCAA record. James is not superman, of course. He gets in foul trouble regularly. He's not especially physical. And his low-post game is still developing. But he's got Player-of-the-Year talent when he puts his whole game together.

Kojo Mensah -- Siena transfer is a versatile talent and impact player. Two years ago, he scored 23 points with 7 assists in a close loss at Massachusetts and is well known among A-10 coaches. “He’s a secret because he doesn't have the name Shawn does, but Mensah will be a difference-maker in this league," Ford of UMass said.

Though not a great outside shooter, Mensah can score (16.3 ppg) in a variety of ways and set up teammates too (3.8 apg). Mensah is also an excellent rebounder (6.3 rpg) for a guard and a harassing defender. “He can play both guard positions, and he's really a lockdown defender in addition to a playmaker,” Everhart told the Pittsburgh Tribune.

The biggest flaw in Mensah’s game is lack of range and occasional recklessness. He attacks the rims with abandon but sometimes makes poor decisions. If Mensah quickly rounds into form, he’ll become part of a potent wing attack along with the two Jacksons. Mensah led the team in scoring (19.3 ppg) during Duquesne’s four-game preseason trip to Canada and supposedly has improved his jumper.

Bill Clark – Tough 6-5 swingman is supposed to be an excellent shooter and good rebounder. Clark got looks from several Big East schools before signing with Duquesne. “When he gets it going, he can hit seven or eight 3-pointers in a game. He stretches defenses,” Clark’s prep coach, Ed Reilly of Worcester Academy, told the Post-Gazette. “Bill is a terrific package of skill and athleticism. He's a tremendous, tremendous rebounder. When he goes up and gets it with two hands, nobody takes it from him."

David Theis – The 6-7, 220-pound native of western Pennsylvania attended prep school for a year to recover after sustaining a severe knee injury. Theis is supposed to be a good shooter and rebounder, hitting seven 3-pointers in one game last year and six in another. He also gives the Dukes more size inside. Temple and Richmond apparently took a close look, as did a handful of midmajor schools.

Damian Saunders – Highly recruited 6-8 forward, who originally signed with Marquette, enrolled at Duquesne after the Big East school denied admittance. Saunders joins his former prep coach, Bill Barton, now an assistant at Duquesne. “He is an explosive run and jump athlete,” Barton said. “He is effortless in transition and a very good rebounder. I think his freshman-year impact will be on the defensive end and in transition.”

Lucas Newton – Smallish guard from Florida, who originally committed to the school two years ago, is a waterbug-type of player. He’s quick and aggressive and likes to hound opposing ball carriers up and down the court. He adds to Duquesne’s depth at point.


SCOUTING REPORT

Throw away last season’s tapes because the Dukes will sport a very different look. In Everhart’s first year, he was forced to adopt a helter-skelter attack to overcome the team’s lack of size. Everhart now has the best pair of frontcourt players in the league. It would be a crime to stick with the same approach.

To be sure, the Dukes will play fast and score plenty of points, both hallmarks of Everhart’s teams. They’ve got great athletes who excel in transition and a new point guard, transfer Kojo Mensah, who likes to push the pace and attack the basket.

The presence of Sean James and Kieron Achara, however, also gives the Dukes a potent inside attack in a half-court game. Neither player is a classic low-post threat, but both can score down low. Opponents will find Duquesne’s “twin towers” difficult to defend.

What’s more, James is the best shotblocker in the country, and Achara is not too shabby, either. It would play to Duquesne’s advantage to slow the game down just enough to funnel opposing players into its shotblocking tandem. Between those two alone, they could swat 250 shots and Duquesne could even surpass the league record of 273 blocks set by Massachusetts in 1995. The presence of James and Achara will also allow the Dukes’ fleet of quick guards to pressure the ball far from the basket.

As a result, don’t expect Duquesne to allow opponents to shoot 50.7%, like they did one year ago. The school easily finished last in the league in field-goal percentage defense. Nor will the Dukes get outrebounded again by 5.7 boards a game, the second worst margin in the A-10. A healthy James will make sure of that.

“I expect [us] to be better because we're deeper and we shouldn't face some of the limitations we had last year, like rebounding the ball and stopping people,’ Everhart told the Post-Gazette.

So what could go wrong? Well, outside shooting is suspect. The Dukes hit just 33.1% of their 3-pointers – last in the A-10 – but the two top outside shooters have since left the program. No one on the roster shot better than 37% from the arc. Unless the Dukes do better, the bigmen won’t find much breathing room inside.

The departures of Mitchell and Grote, meanwhile, left a hole at small forward. Clark and Saunders could fill the bill, but they are still freshmen. Fayne has the muscle, but he’s better suited to come off the bench. The best bet might be a three-guard lineup. Aaron Jackson rebounds like a small forward and his quickness would pose matchup problems for other teams

The Dukes also have to jell quickly as a team – no easy feat. There’s lot of new players and some returnees may have to accept lesser roles. The camaraderie spawned by last year’s shooting should smooth over some of those potential conflicts, but players still want to play. Unless they check their egos at the door, Everhart may find it hard to mold a winner.


PREDICTION

The Dukes have three of the best players in the league in James, Achara and Mensah and they are backed by a solid supporting cast, led by the tough-minded Aaron Jackson. All the ingredients appear to be here for a run at the A-10 title and a postseason bid – ideas wildly inconceivable just one year ago.

“I think people don't understand how good they are,” Whittenburg said. “You have to bring your ‘A’ game to compete against those guys.”

What will also help is the league’s most favorable conference schedule. The Dukes play St. Bonaventure. LaSalle and Fordham twice, with single games at home vs. George Washington, Massachusetts, St. Joseph’s and St. Louis.

If Everhart finds a few shooters and gets his team to mesh before league play, the Dukes stand a legitimate chance in the race for the A-10 crown.

The suddenly heightened expectations, however, also means heightened pressure. The program can expect more scrutiny than its faced in years. How the players and coaches handle that pressure will determine whether the Dukes live up to the expectations.

Even if they handle pressure well, though, the Dukes won’t necessarily handle the very best the A-10 has to offer. It’s hard to see the Dukes finishing at the top of the heap over teams whose players have been together longer. Great chemistry is rarely an overnight concoction.

Record: 18-10 (10-6), 4th Place

[joepa66]

Nice stuff Nigel.....I will be posting a MAC preview as well!:thumbs:

[Nigel Tufnel]

Thanks, JoePa. Like I said, not my preview...but for anyone who wants some detailed info on all the A10 teams, this is some solid info.

On to the preseason predicted No. 3 A10 team...

SAINT JOSEPH’S
Last year: 18-14 (9-7), 6th Place

COACH
Phil Martelli, 13th year (13th overall)
Record at St. Joseph’s: 240-139 (240-139 overall; 63.3% winning percentage)

ROSTER
0 Tasheed Carr JR G/F 6-4 209 Philadelphia, PA/Mt. Zion (NC)/Iowa State
2 D.J. Rivera SO G 6-2 182 Philadelphia, PA
11 Charoy Bentley FR G 6-0 170 West Haven, CT
*12 Pat Calathes SR G/F 6-10 210 Casselberry, FL
*13 Darrin Govens SO G 6-1 175 Chester, PA
*15 Garrett Williamson SO G/F 6-5 176 Merion, PA
22 Edwin Lashley JR WG 6-4 197 Salisbury, MD/St. Thomas More (CT)
32 Idris Hilliard FR F 6-7 205 Roselle, NJ/The Hun School (NJ)
*34 Ahmad Nivins JR F/C 6-9 235 Jersey City, NJ
40 Rockwell Moody SO PF 6-9 228 Washington, DC
41 Arvydas Lidzius SR F 6-9 205 Lithuania/Montrose Christian (MD)
*52 Rob Ferguson SR F 6-8 230 Ft. Myers, FL

*Returning starters

OVERVIEW

Until a late-season swoon, the Hawks hovered near the top of the league standings even though coach Phil Martelli had to rely on a quartet of freshmen to man the backcourt. All the time invested in the young guards, however, should pay off this season as St. Joseph’s aims to reclaim its spot among the A-10 elite.

Leading the way is the best and biggest – though not the deepest - frontline in the league. High-scoring center Ahmad Nivins is an NBA prospect who can dominate a game, while versatile senior forwards Rob Ferguson and Pat Calathes can do a bit of everything.

The young guards are also ready to take the next step – and they’ll get a key assist from a Big 12 transfer.

With better balance between the frontcourt and backcourt, Martelli appears to have a team designed to challenge for another A-10 title. Give the best coach in the A-10 enough cloth and he’ll fashion a winner.

“We know Saint Joe's hasn't won the Atlantic 10 for a long time and we want to change that,” star bigman Nivins says.

For that to happen, Martelli still has a few wrinkles to iron out. The latest edition of the Hawks doesn’t defend or shoot outside as well as the coach would like. And depth in the backcourt is especially thin after the transfer of one sophomore guard and the academic difficulties of another.

DEPARTED PLAYERS

Jawan Carter – Point guard left after one season to join former St. Joe’s assistant coach Monte Ross at Delaware. Regarded as the top recruit in last year’s vaunted class, Carter (7.4 ppg, 2.4 apg) had an up-and-down freshman campaign. A big scorer in the prep ranks, he struggled for consistency (36.8% FG, 35.5% FG), and turned the ball over too much for Martelli’s taste (78 assists to 70 giveways). Nor was Carter, a good but not great athlete, as defensively inclined as his classmates. While Carter’s loss is a blow, St. Joe’s still has talent in the backcourt.

Alvin Mofunanya – Sophomore forward (0.6 ppg, 0.7 rpg) transferred in search of more time. Though big and strong, Mofunanya struggled in Martelli’s system. His offense acquired very little polish and he did not have great hands (14 turnovers, zero assists, in just 79 minutes all season).

Artur Surov – Huge 7-foot center from Finland was a deep reserve all four years.

RETURNING PLAYERS

Rob Ferguson – The fifth-year senior seemed to hit a plateau last season and it’s hard to imagine he’ll get much better. That would be okay with Martelli. Ferguson still averaged 11.2 points and 5.2 rebounds while knocking down 43.5% of his 3-point shots (40-92). Maybe he doesn’t scare opponents or take over games, but he’s as steady as the turtle who beat the hare.

Ferguson’s game is about deliberation. He doesn’t force his shots or rush his decisions any more. He can post up a bit, shoot the trey and make the obvious pass. He even tries hard to guard his man (29 steals, 30 blocks), though Ferguson has never been viewed as a defensive stalwart. He’s not quick enough or strong enough to lock opponents down. “There comes a point when you are what you are,” Martelli says. “He’s a solid all-around player.

Pat Calathes – The 6-10 swingman delivered in a big way as a junior after two seasons of erratic play. Calathes scored almost 14 points a game, averaged 7.1 rebounds, finished seventh in the A-10 in assists (3.6 apg) and blocked 28 shots. He also raised his 3-point percentage to 41.7% from 34% the year before and hit 85% of his free throws. Little wonder Calathes was voted Second Team All Conference. He would be a great choice on a Fantasy team chosen from A-10 players.

The true value of Calathes lies in his ability to create mismatches. He’s got the size to clear the defensive boards, the ball-handling ability to dribble from end to end and the skill to finish the break with a pass or shot. Nobody else his size in the A-10 can do all of those things.

If there’s one major knock on Calathes, he still makes some dumb decisions. He was one of only two players in the A-10 to commit more than 100 turnovers (the other was GW’s Carl Elliott). Unlike Ferguson, Calathes is anything but calm. He’s aggressive and headstrong and constantly testing the patience of his coach. Martelli shakes his head so much that it sometimes seems ready to twist off like a bottle cap. With a little more deliberation and a lot fewer turnovers, Calathes could be a First Teamer. He won’t be expected to handle the ball quite as much now that the Hawks have a more experienced backcourt. But look out when he gets a rebound. There’s no telling what he might do.

Ahmad Nivins – The 6-9 center, selected to the A-10 First Team as a sophomore, is the best bigman in the A-10. Taller and more athletic than Fordham’s Bryant Dunston, Nivins shoots easily over most opponents when he gets the ball on the low blocks and he has a pillow-soft touch (league-leading 63% FG). Nivins (16.2 ppg) can beat defenders with short face-up jumpers, back them down or take a two-step dribble and flush. He scored 20 or more points in eight games, highlighted by a 28-point eruption vs. Rhode Island. Nivins also snatched 7.4 boards a game and was one of the best offensive rebounders in the A-10.
Now that the league has woken up to this monster in its midst, Nivins can expect to see double teams almost every game. If that’s the case, he has to improve his passing. He recorded a measly 11 assists compared to 81 turnovers, barely better than the 8 assists he handed out as a freshman. Nivins can also play much better defense. A player of his outstanding talent and athleticism should pose a constant obstacle down low and block more than one shot a game. He swatted just 32 shots, down from 39 the year before, when he played 425 fewer minutes. Nivins is trying to avoid fouls, but opponents should not be allowed to waltz down the lane.

Darrin Govens – The 6-1 point guard was slowed by several injuries, but he emerged as the best of St. Joe’s four freshman guards by season end. Govens turned the ball over less, shot more accurately (40% 3PG) and played better defense than Jawan Carter. He’s also a better scorer (7.3 ppg) than the defensive-minded D.J Rivera and Garrett Williamson.

Just don’t expect fireworks from Govens. He is a very good athlete, but not a wizard with the ball who cracks defenses like an expert hacker. He makes sound decisions and gets the ball to the shooters (67 assists), looking to penetrate if he sees an obvious gap. He’s not a great shooter on the move, but Govens is accurate when he gets his feet set. Martelli wants more good decision making and timely shooting from his starting pointman. The Hawks have a terrific frontline and simply need the guards to manage the game, hit open shots and buckle down on defense. If Martelli wants more scoring from his backcourt players, Iowa State transfer Tasheed Carr is the most likely one to provide it.

D.J. Rivera – The 6-2 combo guard has to sit out the first semester to concentrate on academics and is hoping to return before the start of A-10 play. The Hawks sure could use Rivera. He is a fierce defender (team-leading 41 steals) who contributes in ways that stat sheets cannot measure. Rivera (5.9 ppg) plays with great energy and aggressiveness and never backs down. Though not a natural shooter (29.7% 3PG), he’s extremely athletic and uses his quickness and leaping ability to score in transition or off missed shots. A decent ball-handler, he’s also not afraid to attack the rim and challenge bigger defenders. If he hones his jumper, Rivera could be a terrific player, but even if he doesn’t, he brings a set of skills and toughness that any team would welcome.

Rockwell Moody – The 6-9 power forward playing sparingly and did not hit a single basket all year. Moody certainly has enough size and athleticism to contribute in the A-10, but given how little he played, it’s fair to assume that he’s not destined for, well, big things. A little rebounding, shotblocking and post defense – it’s about all that should be expected. The only question is whether Moody does those things in practices or in games.

More to come on the Hawks...

[Nigel Tufnel]

More on St. Joe's...

RETURNING PLAYERS

Garrett Williamson – A late signee, the 6-4 Williamson (5.1 ppg, 3.6 rpg, 45% FG) impressed with his savvy, defense and all-round game. He’s not a great shooter (4-23 3PG), but Williamson has a knack for the ball and is a decent finisher around the rim. He’s also a surprisingly good ball-handler and passer (62 assists) who can bring the ball up against a press and even play point in a pinch.

Like Rivera, Williamson’s forte is defense (31 steals, 16 blocks). He has quick feet, long arms and good anticipation. He can defend forwards and guards and is fast enough to stay with almost anyone. What he lacked as a freshman was enough muscle to handle stronger players. A spindly 176 pounds last year, Williamson was often overpowered and committed a team-high 95 fouls. A summer in the weightroom appears to have addressed that problem. Whether Williamson also improved his jumper remains to be seen. By Martelli’s own admission, the Hawks need more outside shooting. Extra minutes are there for whoever can provide it, though Williamson is going to play no matter what.

Edwin Lashley – Junior guard was considered a great shooter in high school, but Hawks fans would never know it. Lashley has only played 104 minutes in two years. He’s not a great athlete and struggles with defense. Even when he gets into the game, Lashley has done little to earn more time. He’s only hit 8 of 27 shots (29.6%) and doesn’t excel in any other area. The Hawks still need outside shooters, so Lashley will get another chance. Yet it’s rare for a little-used junior in the A-10 to suddenly emerge as a frontline player.

Arvydas Lidzius – Senior forward gets a few minutes here and but has limited skills. He plays hard and gives the Hawks toughness upfront.

NEWCOMERS

Tasheed Carr – Transfer from Iowa State, a Philadelphia native, is a rugged athlete who plays with aggression. Carr is expected to bring experience, leadership and toughness to a team that sometimes was deficient in all three areas. As a freshman, Carr once scored 22 points -- including 13 in overtime -- and grabbed 13 boards in a win over Texas. The biggest knock on Carr is inconsistent shooting. He spent the past season working on his jumper and could give the Hawks a huge lift if he adds an improved shot. He’s also expected to play some point even though he’s not a natural floor leader. Carr has to play well for the Hawks to vie for the league championship.

Idris Hilliard – Highly rated tweener got close looks from the Big East and some ACC schools. The 6-6 Hilliard is not big enough to play inside consistently and doesn’t shoot well enough from the wing, but he’s a live body with a nose for rebounds and can shoot accurately out to 12 feet. Hilliard is expected to contribute immediately with his energetic play around the rim.

Charoy Bentley – Named Mr. Basketball in Connecticut in 2007, the 6-0 combo guard with deep range was a big scorer in the prep ranks (25 ppg ). He’s also a solid ball-handler and passer and can run the point. Bentley was not recruited heavily, but he has A-10 level athleticism and skills. The Hawks signed him late to improve their depth and add more shooting.

SCOUTING REPORT

The offense rightly revolves around Nivins, the best low-post scorer in the league. He’s the big reason why St. Joe’s shot 46% from the floor (3rd in the A-10). The Hawks might do even better if Nivins learns how to find open teammates when the double teams come.

Ferguson and Calathes are tough to guard, too. Ferguson quietly scores in double digits every game and Calathes is a one-man fastbreak who causes mismatches for every defense. He just needs to get a grip. The Hawks finished with a -1.81 turnover margin (11th in the A-10) in large part because of Calathes’ 96 turnovers.

The young guards also accounted for plenty of turnovers as freshmen, but the experience they gained should lead to better decision making.

Like last year, defense and outside shooting are areas in which the Hawks can improve. Ferguson and Calathes have never been great defenders and Nivins sometimes shrinks from contact to avoid foul trouble. There’s no reason they can’t do a better job. The Hawks allowed opponents to shoot 44%, far too high for a half-court team aspiring to win the A-10.

On the wing, it’s a different story. Rivera and Williamson both have lockdown potential and Carr is a tough defender as well. They just have to supply some offense. St. Joe’s hit the third fewest number of 3-pointers in the A-10, allowing defenders to collapse on Nivins down low. The sophomore Govens is the best shooter, but he has to concentrate on running the offense first.

PREDICTION

St. Joe’s has a championship-caliber frontcourt. The same cannot be said of the backcourt. The guards still have a lot to prove. The Hawks only have one legitimate point guard on the roster, but Govens still has to learn the finer points of running a team. And perimeter shooting remains a source of concern while the possibility of Rivera being lost for the season is another worry.

The older and more experienced Carr is the X-factor. He’s had some big games against topflight competition. He can defend forwards and guards and he loves to attack the basket. The Hawks have lacked a player with his toughness and aggressiveness since Delonte West left for the NBA.

St. Joe’s should be one of the favorites in the A-10, especially with Martelli at the wheel. Yet the frontcourt doesn’t have any proven reserves to spare and the Hawks could get in big trouble when Nivins gets in foul trouble.

It may also be too much to expect the young guards to negotiate every hairpin curve. They’ll go off course just enough to deny the Hawks a league title, but probably not enough to prevent St. Joe’s from reaching postseason play for the seventh time in eight years.

Record: 20-9 (11-5), 3rd place

URI and X team capsules to follow....

[Nigel Tufnel]

Preseason A10 2nd Place...

RHODE ISLAND
Last year: 19-14 (10-6), 4th Place

COACH
Jim Baron, 7th year (21th overall)
Record at Rhode Island: 87-95 (293-297 overall; 49.7% winning percentage)


ROSTER
1 Joe Mbang SR PF 6-7 235 Cameroon/Monroe CC (NY)
5 Marquis Jones FR PG 6-1 200Guard S. Plainfield, NJ/St. Thomas More (CT)
*14 Parfait Bitee SR WG 6-2 190 Cameroon/Louisville, KY
15 Lamonte Ulmer SO F 6-6 205 Hamden, CT/Notre Dame (MA)
*20 Jimmy Baron JR WG 6-2 195 East Greenwich, RI/Worcester (MA) Academy
21 Delroy James FR F 6-7 200 Brooklyn, NY/Laurinburg (NC) Prep
22 Keith Cothran SO WG 6-4 190 Winchendon, MA/Winchendon Academy (MA)
23 Hakim McCullar FR 6-7 220 F Cincinnati, OH/Maine Central Institute
*25 Will Daniels SR WF 6-8 225 Hyde Park, NY
32 Will Martell FR C 6-11 230 Rumson, NJ/The Hun School (NJ)
*33 Kahiem Seawright JR PF 6-8 235 Uniondale, NY
54 Jason Francis JR C/F 6-9 280 Old Harbor, Jamaica/Southeastern Illinois JC

*Returning starters

OVERVIEW

Jim Baron has gone from the hot seat to the driver’s seat.

That’s Jim Baron, the coach. And his son, Jim Baron Jr., is a big reason why dad can keep his eyes on the road and his hands upon the wheel of the URI program.

Picked in preseason to finish near the bottom of the league, URI was the big surprise last year in the A-10. Led by the sharpshooting of Baron Jr. and scintillating all-round play of forward Will Daniels, the Rams rebounded from two straight disappointing seasons to reach the A-10 Tournament final. This season URI is expected to contend for the league title.

For now, all those fans who were calling for Baron Sr.’s scalp have quieted down – much like hostile crowds when Jr. drops another trey. Baron Sr. has certainly earned the reprieve. He took a group of young players without much size and turned them into contenders almost overnight. Baron Sr. junked a physical, grind-it-out style and adapted a full-court attack to suit his roster of athletes and slashers.

Rarely has an A-10 team undergone such a quick and successful makeover.

Hold the applause, though. Greater success results in higher expectations and more pressure, but some of Baron’s URI teams have stumbled out of the gate. If that happens again, the boobirds will be back, and rightly so. This URI team is too good for that to happen.

DEPARTED PLAYERS

Darrell Harris – Thin 6-10 forward recovered from a disastrous junior season to become a solid reserve (6.6 ppg, 48.7% FG). Even though Harris preferred to play on the perimeter, he gave it the old college try down low. He swatted 23 shots – second on the team – and averaged 3.7 boards. For all his gamesmanship, though, Harris was not strong enough to defend bigger opponents and he committed lots of cheap fouls.

Jon Lucky – Once the point guard of the future, Lucky was the subject of repeated misfortune, some of his own doing. The big 6-5 point guard missed most of last season after yet another injury that evidently has sidelined him for good. Last year, the resurgent Rams did not miss a beat in his absence.

Terrance Grier – Aggressive 6-0 wing guard was a harassing defender in URI’s uptempo attack, but he was a poor shooter and shaky decision maker with the ball in his hands. He transferred in search of more playing time.

Jonathan Cruz – Hustling 6-7 power forward (1.5 ppg, 1. rpg, 50% FG) actually started seven games and showed skills complementary to his more gifted teammates before an injury knocked him out of the lineup. What Cruz failed to show was the sort of talent to separate himself from similarly sized players on the roster (Mbang, Seawwright, Ulmer). He also transferred.

RETURNING PLAYERS

Will Daniels – Athletic 6-8 small forward delivered a virtuoso performance as a junior to earn a place on the Atlantic 10 First Team. Suddenly the most experienced player on URI, Daniels stepped up to shoulder the load of the team’s No. 1 option (17.4 ppg, up from 11 ppg). He scored 20 points or more in 11 games and failed to reach double figures only three times. A triple threat on offense, Daniels can score inside, outside (41.8% 3PG) or off the dribble. Bigger defenders cannot guard him on the perimeter and he’ll take advantage of smaller foes inside. He also improved as a passer and did a better job finding teammates when he was double teamed (51 assists).

In his final year, Daniels still has considerable room for improvement. He turned the ball over 79 times – easily a career high – and sometimes rushed his shots on the road or in late-game situations. At times he also appeared to fall in love with the trey. What’s more, his rebounding and defense, while solid enough (5.6 rpg, 27 steals, 19 blocks) barely improved. For a player with his length and quickness, Daniels should be just as good on defense as he is on offense.

Assuming he makes the normal progression as a senior, Daniels should end up back on the Atlantic 10 First team – after he leads the Rams to the postseason for the first time since four years.

Jimmy Baron – The coach’s son, arguably one of the best pure shooters in America, expanded his game as a sophomore and was voted honorable mention All Conference. Baron is a deadly accurate from deep (47.8% 3PG, tops in the league) and almost automatic from the free-throw line (89%). He hit eight 3-pointers in one game, five treys each in five games and four longballs in six other games. Only once did Baron fail to hit a 3-pointer, a late February loss to Fordham.

In his second season, Baron (14.6 ppg) attacked the basket more often to get to the line and created more scoring opportunities for teammates (2 apg). He’ll never be a breakdown artist, but his shooting wizardry forces defenders to overcommit and gives Baron room to operate. The Rams particularly like to get him the ball in late-game situations when they have the lead. Rarely does he miss freebies when the game is on the line. On the flip side, Baron will never be a great defender, but he is smart and energetic, sharing the qualities that made his father a good college player.

With Baron keeping defenses honest, URI’s array of slashers and undersized postmen will have more space and time to attack the basket. Much of the Rams’ surprising success last year can be attributed to the ability of Baron and Daniels to draw double-teams and create opportunities for teammates. They are one of the best one-two scoring tandems in the league.

Parfait Bitee – The Rams’ starting point guard by default, Bitee (7.2 ppg, 3.2 apg, 3.2 rpg) has worked hard to turn himself into a solid ball-handler and distributor. Although blessed with great quickness, Bitee is not very creative and doesn’t finish well. He doesn’t look to penetrate much unless he finds himself in a mismatch. Generally he makes solid decisions and gets the ball to the right spots. He’s also one of the best on-the-ball defenders in the league, more than making up for his mediocre offensive output. Bitee is not a gambler and stays in front of his man, relying on quick feet and hands to cut off avenues to the basket. Rarely does he give up an uncontested shot.

The Rams can expect more of the same from Bitee as a senior. He’s very mature and is not going to cost URI any games with his decision making. What would help is if Bitee improved his shot. He only hit 37% of his shots and just 30% of his treys, down from 46% and 36.8% as a sophomore. Yet Bitee did improve his free-throw shooting to 83% from 68%, another reason why URI could be tough to beat in close games.

Kahiem Seawright – The 6-8 power forward made a huge leap in his second season, raising his scoring to 11.3 points (from 4.4 ppg) and his rebounding to 7.5 boards (from 3.5 rpg). He also shot much better from the free-throw line (70%) and is a good interior passer (59 assists).

While a very good athlete, Seawright is not as explosive as Daniels. He fights hard for position, never lets up and has a nose for the ball. In a loss to Houston he grabbed 19 boards, the highest individual total in the A-10 last year. Seawright is especially ferocious on the offensive glass (105, most among returning A-10 players) and scores many of his baskets off missed shots. He’s not a bad face-up shooter out to 15 feet, either.

On defense, Seawright is often matched against bigger opponents, but he usually does a good job to keep them away from the basket. The best inside players are going to score on Seawright, but he doesn’t make it easy. And because of players like him, Baron’s A-10 programs at St. Bonaventure and Rhode Island have often been near the top of the league in team rebounding. The hard-working Seawright is good enough to vie for a spot on the league’s All-Conference teams if the Rams finish near the top of the A-10. He’s every bit as important to URI’s success as Daniels and Baron.

Keith Cothran – Rising sophomore (6.3 ppg, 2.5 rpg, 2.4 apg) has a chance to be a lockdown defender. He’s ultra-quick, has long arms and great anticipation. When he makes a steal (team-leading 37), the result is usually a transition basket. He goes from one end to the other in a nanosecond.

Cothran’s offense is not as polished, though. He’s not a good outside shooter (4-23, 17.4% 3PG) and doesn’t have a staple move. Since few defenders can match him athletically, Cothran mostly tries to take them off the dribble. Smarter foes learned to lay off him and funnel Cothran into the help defense in hopes of causing a turnover, but he actually has good vision and can hurt opponents with his passing (55 assists).

More on the Rams to follow...

[Nigel Tufnel]

Rhode Island continued...

RETURNING PLAYERS

The next step is for Cothran to improve his decision making and 3-point shot. He’s still a largely unharnessed talent, but he can have such an influence on the game that Baron rushed him into the rotation even though Cothran did not practice with the team in the first semester. Had Cothran played right from the get-go, he would have been a virtual shoo-in for All-Newcomer Team. He’s got star potential if he dedicates himself to self-improvement. His progress could determine if URI unseats preseason favorite Xavier for the league title.

Joe Mbang – The 235-pound senior forward is muscular and athletic but not big enough to be a mainstay in the paint. Probably shorter than his listed 6-6, Mbang prefers to start his offense (8.4 ppg) outside. He’s a surprising good if streaky 3-pointer shooter (39.3% 3PG) and can take defenders off the dribble. Mbang also scores lots of baskets after missed field goals. He’s quick off his feet and gets up high (4.3 rpg). It’s his combination of strength and quickness that makes him a difficult matchup for most teams in the A-10. In a reserve role, he’s scored as many as 22 points and hauled in up to 10 boards in a game.

The juco transfer, however, was limited to 20 minutes a game because of a penchant for fouling and sometimes-wild play. Mbang gets whistled a lot defending the post and constantly tries to draw charges. When he fails, it’s an easy basket for the other team. When he has the ball, Mbang often takes hasty and ill-advised shots. If he wants more time, Mbang will have to settle down and work within the flow of the offense. He’s a like a stick of dynamite off the bench, but sometimes it’s his own team that he blows up.

Lamonte Ulmer – The long and wiry-strong 6-6 forward (4.3 ppg, 44% FG) is like a smaller but more athletic version of Seawright. He’s fast off his feet (team-leading 24 blocks), has a natural feel for rebounding (3.4 rpg) and is a disruptive defender when the Rams jump into a press. His offense is still a work in progress, though he did shot 54% in league games, scoring mostly on close-in shots. Ulmer is most comfortable attacking the basket with his dribble. He has a decent handle for his size and a quick first step, and is most effective from 15 feet in (just 2-13 on treys). During the off-season, he apparently added 25 pounds to push his weight up to 205.

As a sophomore, Ulmer will take a backseat to Daniels, Mbang and Seawright, but he’s a valuable frontcourt reserve. He’ll still get regular minutes in URI’s uptempo attack, but barring injury, his real chance to shine won’t come until next year.


NEWCOMERS

Delroy James -- Redshirt forward was suspended for the first semester due to an unspecified violation. The left-hander from Brooklyn comes from a family of talented basketball players – his brother Shawn is suiting up at Duquesne. Delroy likes to play on the wing. He shoots well from outside and can take the ball to the basket. He was considered the team's best recruit (No. 123 Rivals 2006) in last year's class and played well in practice before the NCAA froze his admission pending investigation of a prep school he attended. His playing time will depend on how fast he shakes off the rust and learns to play Division 1 defense.

Marquis Jones – Quick point guard is a solid passer with a good handle and 3-point range. He’s also considered a pesky defender. A onetime Rutgers commitment, Jones actually signed with URI two years ago but did not qualify. He’s older than most freshmen and could get significant minutes in his first year with the departure of Jon Lucky. Jones is the only true point guard on the roster.

Jason Francis – Powerful 280-pound Jamaican is a space eater who gives URI some badly needed bulk. The team often got pushed around in the paint and Francis could help the Rams hold their ground in physical wars of attrition. He’s not a big offensive threat, but finishes well when he gets the chance (68.2% FG). “Jason gives us a physical presence in the paint, but don't let his size fool you,” Baron says. “He is very athletic, moves well, has good hands, and is very efficient on the offensive end.” The hard part for Francis will be to stay out of foul trouble. He’s still learning the game and got whistled frequently in junior college.

Will Martell – Developing bigman has decent hands and some skills but needs to work on footwork and conditioning. He could be a contributor in a year or two if he continues to progress at the same rate as he did in prep school. Martell generated more offers after one year at The Hun School, where he played with top St. Joseph’s recruit Idris Hilliard.

Hakim McCullar – The 6-7 forward from Cincinnati was rated among the top 300 players in the nation two years ago by HoopScoop. He’s not a great offensive player, but he’s an accurate shooter close to the basket and has above-average defensive skills. With long arms and springy legs, McCullar is a good shotblocker for his size.


SCOUTING REPORT

The Rams have two of the league’s most dangerous scorers in Baron Jr. and Daniels. They are each 40%-plus 3-pointer shooters while Daniels can also score in the paint. All the defensive attention centered on those two means teammates will get plenty of good looks. They just have to knock down open shots.

The post game is not a strength of the Rams, however. Undersized forwards Seawright and Mbang do a good job on the boards and can score down low, but neither is likely to become a monster in the paint. They beat opponents mostly with quickness and hustle, a hallmark of Baron’s teams. URI hopes widebody juco transfer Jason Francis can help solidify the Rams in the middle, but he might not be ready for prime time.

To compensate for a smallish frontcourt, the Rams will turn up the tempo and get after opponents again on defense. Yet URI has to do a better job in transition and not give up so many easy baskets. Rhode Island let opponents shoot 45.4%. That’s too high even for a transition team, particularly one that barely shoots any better (45.8%).

The Rams also have to show more patience in half-court sets. Baron and Daniels are both prone to quick shots when URI struggles to score, especially on the road. They have to show more poise and leadership.

It would help if senior Parfait Bitee, a terrific defender, could generate more offense for teammates, but he’s not a natural floor leader. Rising sophomore Keith Cothran, a highly athletic slasher, has good passing skills, but he doesn’t protect the ball well enough to man the point for long. That’s why URI finished with a -2.0 turnover margin, 12th in the league.

A repeat performance cannot happen again for the Rams to win the A-10. URI lost several close games because of poor ball-handling and Rhode Island coughed up the ball 21 times in the loss to George Washington in the A-10 tournament championship game.


PREDICTION

Fresh off a 19-14 record and an appearance in the A-10 Tournament final, Rhode Island is well positioned to compete for the league title. The Rams return all five key veterans as well as several promising underclassmen. “Having a good core of guys back makes things a lot easier and is really to our advantage,” Baron Jr. told the Providence Journal.

What’s more, the offense is built around two great scorers and Baron can use his fleet of athletes to harass other teams. URI also led the A-10 in 3-point shooting and, like most of Baron’s teams, was near the top of the league in rebounding (+2.4 margin).

The defense could use some work, however, and the Rams are not especially strong in the paint or at the point as some other top A-10 teams. It’s not hard to see URI winning 20 games and getting into a postseason tournament. Yet obtaining an automation invitation is harder to envision unless the Rams buckle down on defense, reduce turnovers and generate more points in the paint.

Everyone in the A-10 will be gunning for one of the league favorites. The Rams cannot afford to make as many mistakes.

Predicted record: 23-8 (11-5)

That leaves only one preview left....