MM's CFL Week 4

[Meestermike]

CFL Week 4:

System Tool projections: After last week's personal dismal performance, I must revert to...

L2 Gm scores
WPG : 32 + 15 = 47... ASSIGNED 5 for lower 2 gm total
MON : 23 + 29 = 52... ASSIGNED 1 for higher 2 gm total

L GM Score
WPG : 15... ASSIGNED 25 from rating guide
MON : 29... ASSIGNED 14 from rating guide

Tabulation:
WPG : 25 + 5 = 30
MON : 14 +1 = 15

Montreal is favoured to win by 15 +\- the ATS line.
ie. The Greek ATS line is MON -3 -110, the system states MON should cover the ATS by 12.
^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^

HAM at BC
L2 Gm scores
HAM : 5 + 20 = 25... ASSIGNED 5 for lower 2 gm total
BC : 29 + 42 = 71... ASSIGNED 1 for higher 2 gm total

L GM Score
HAM : 20... ASSIGNED 21 from rating guide
BC : 42... ASSIGNED 12 from rating guide

Tabulation:
HAM : 21 + 5 = 26
BC : 12 +1 = 13

BC is favoured to win by 13 +\- the ATS line.
ie. The Greek ATS line is BC -16 -110, the system states HAM should cover the ATS by 3.
^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^

SAS at EDM
L2 Gm scores
SAS : 49 + 12 = 61... ASSIGNED 1 for higher 2 gm total
EDM : 9 + 19 = 28... ASSIGNED 5 for lower 2 gm total

L GM Score
SAS : 12... ASSIGNED 27 from rating guide
EDM : 19... ASSIGNED 17 from rating guide

Tabulation:
SAS : 27 + 1 = 28
EDM : 19 +5 = 24

EDM is favoured to win by 4 +\- the ATS line.
ie. The Greek ATS line is EDM -2 -110, the system states EDM should cover the ATS by 2.
^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^

TOR at CAL
L2 Gm scores
TOR : 30 + 48 = 78... ASSIGNED 1 for higher 2 gm total
CAL : 8 + 15 = 23... ASSIGNED 5 for lower 2 gm total

L GM Score
TOR : 48... ASSIGNED 15 from rating guide
CAL : 15... ASSIGNED 19 from rating guide

Tabulation:
TOR : 15 + 1 = 16
CAL : 19 +5 = 24

TOR is favoured to win by 8 +\- the ATS line.
ie. The Greek ATS line is CAL -2 -110, the system states TOR should cover the ATS by 10.
^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^

Onward I trudge thru the valley of the linemen

[Meestermike]

My first impressions

Personally, I'm really liking the Argos at +3,
the Alouettes for only -2½,
as well as being moderately impressed at the HAM\BC total of 48 - I like the Under here and will sit & contemplate if the line moves up at all.

As well, I can see rationale in EDM only having to give up 2 at home and their total staying nicely under 50. Last 5 straight times at Commonwealth behemoth stadium, the final totals for these 2 teams have been well under their respective numbers which includes their 2004 playoff game.

The side on BC is too rich for me for $$$ on either team.
Last year: Sep 30 BC-Won at Hamilton, 28-8
and then 3 weeks later at home they just squeaked out a win at:
Oct 21 BC -Won vs. Hamilton, 23-17...
QB Dickenson is out indefinitely as I posted in the sticky CFL tidbits thread. Just can't see BC covering 2 touchdowns + a field goal but not sure I can trust the incredibly inept Tigercat offense either.