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I like the Argos on Thursday, mainly due to the severe lack of preparation time which Calgary has had, since the pasting they took last Sunday in Regina.
IMO 3 full days of is very insufficient to prepare for any game, let alone a road game halfway across the country. The Stamps are mentally beat up as a team, and their defense is physically drained. Time of possession in their last game was not really that unbalanced CAL 28:40 to SAS 31:20. However penalties added up on the Stamps: [evil]13 for 135 yds.[/evil] In Week 1 the Stamps TOP was 28:44 but penalties again were high at [evil]16 for 133 yds.[/evil]
Toronto only had 7 for 51 yds against HAM and TOP was 36:50 to 23:10
In their 1st GM against BC, the Argos had the ball for 28:44 and were only penalized 6 times for 70 yds.
This game will come down to discipline and defense and Toronto has the strong edge in both areas. If Bishop gets the offence rolling early, the Boatmen will stomp the right out of the Stamps.
I see a one sided victory for the Boatmen on Thursday. At only -2 to -3 from the linemakers, we should see a solid SU and ATS win by the Argos in the Rogers Centre on Thursday.
I have access to a good historical trend database which is free of charge. History in the CFL is very prevalent and usually comes true to form.
ex.:
When Calgary played as a pk to +3 underdog - coming off a 2 game losing streak : 0-3-1 ATS and 0-4-0 SU
When Calgary played as a Road team - coming of 2 ATS losses = 4-8-0 ATS but 8-4-0 O\U.
When Toronto played as a home team after allowing 7 points or less = 5-0-0 SU.
When Toronto played as a home team coming of 2 ATS wins = 9-2-0 SU.
Here's a few more tidbits...
My other system says...
Your ATS result has the home team winning by 36 points and your O/U result is 45.99
BOL on Thursday
IMO 3 full days of is very insufficient to prepare for any game, let alone a road game halfway across the country. The Stamps are mentally beat up as a team, and their defense is physically drained. Time of possession in their last game was not really that unbalanced CAL 28:40 to SAS 31:20. However penalties added up on the Stamps: [evil]13 for 135 yds.[/evil] In Week 1 the Stamps TOP was 28:44 but penalties again were high at [evil]16 for 133 yds.[/evil]
Toronto only had 7 for 51 yds against HAM and TOP was 36:50 to 23:10
In their 1st GM against BC, the Argos had the ball for 28:44 and were only penalized 6 times for 70 yds.
This game will come down to discipline and defense and Toronto has the strong edge in both areas. If Bishop gets the offence rolling early, the Boatmen will stomp the right out of the Stamps.
I see a one sided victory for the Boatmen on Thursday. At only -2 to -3 from the linemakers, we should see a solid SU and ATS win by the Argos in the Rogers Centre on Thursday.
I have access to a good historical trend database which is free of charge. History in the CFL is very prevalent and usually comes true to form.
ex.:
When Calgary played as a pk to +3 underdog - coming off a 2 game losing streak : 0-3-1 ATS and 0-4-0 SU
When Calgary played as a Road team - coming of 2 ATS losses = 4-8-0 ATS but 8-4-0 O\U.
When Toronto played as a home team after allowing 7 points or less = 5-0-0 SU.
When Toronto played as a home team coming of 2 ATS wins = 9-2-0 SU.
Here's a few more tidbits...
Code:
Team Trends - Toronto Argonauts Team Query ATS Count SU Count Over/Under Toronto Argonauts When ANY CFL team played as a Home team -After a division game - Allowed scored 7 points or less against 10-6-1 15-2-0 7-10-0 Toronto Argonauts When ANY CFL team played as Home team as a Favorite -Before a non division game - Coming off a 2 game under 19-13-1 28-5-0 17-16-0 Toronto Argonauts When ANY CFL team played as Home team as a Favorite -Vs Non Conference Opponent - Coming off a 2 ATS win 19-11-0 26-4-0 19-11-0 Toronto Argonauts When TORONTO team played as a Home team - Coming off a 2 ATS win 5-6-0 9-2-0 5-6-0
Your ATS result has the home team winning by 36 points and your O/U result is 45.99
BOL on Thursday
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