UFC 202

[Max NU]

After water bottles,energy drink can & cups go flyin' at the press conference & double flying middle fingers...I would say fight time is close by come Saturday.

My pick for this fight is Conor McGregor -125...

will do more work on the rest of the card later...


YTD: 0-0-0

[Max NU]

Conor McGregor -125
Donald Cerrone -165
Colby Covington -325
Neil Magny -145
Cortney Casey +110
Artem Lobov -125
Elizabeth Phillips +200
Anthony Johnson -200

X1 unit flat on each

[Kevin]

What is your read on Liz Phillips?

[Max NU]

my notes & thoughts:

Training with Julianna Pena & Micheal Chiesa & coach Rick Little
Had surgery to repair torn ligament in her shoulder which kept her out of action for past 13 months or so
Was suppose to fight Pennington earlier this year & turned it down due to surgery
Actually has better record than numbers show due to flaky judging in macau...she is 1-2 in UFC & pennington is 2-2 & they peg pennington -260 with an overall record of 7-5???Really??? vs phillips 5-3 (6-2 flaky?)...hmm
@-260 one needs win rate @72% just to break even & 5-3 is NOT 72%
Seems like real value is in the +200 side
This is also Phillips biggest fight of her career
toss in here that since 95-97% of population are not winners...I saw a graphic that 95% of the money going down on pennington...tells me to go opposite & be in that 3-5% winners circle :)
Have not found anyone picking Phillips (sports writers etc.)
the line is a mistake imo...
Now I have been known to lose some & win some...I put 1 unit on phillips

[Kevin]

Thanks for the insight! I love UFC underdogs. I feel like it's the most likely sport in which an underdog can win straight up.

All it takes is one shot on the chin!

[Max NU]

Or 1 kick to the head...ala Holly Holm to Ronda Rousey cha ching! Poor thing was out cold...before she hit the floor.

[Max NU]

Unsure how edit post...just want to add/update YTD


6-2-0 (+2.1)