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UFC 182, January 3rd, MGM Grand, Las Vegas, Nevada
Jon Jones vs Daniel Cormier
Donald Cerrone vs Myles Jury
Nate Marquardt vs Brad Tavares
Kyoji Horiguchi vs Louis Gaudinot
Hector Lombard vs Josh Burkman
Danny Castillo vs Paul Felder
Marcus Brimage vs Cody Garbrandt
Shawn Jordan vs Jared Cannonier
Evan Dunham vs Rodrigo Damm
Omary Akmedov vs Mats Nilsson
Alexis Dufresne (w) vs Marion Reneau (w)
Wanted to talk about the main event a little bit and give us all a long time to discuss. I have said for the last year, right when Cormier went from HW to LHW, if he got a title shot, I would put the largest MMA bet of my life on him (20 units). I was hoping at the time for +300 and in fact it's far, far less of it. I believe the line opened at +145 and think it's been as high as +175 but now sits at +150.
I feel Cormier's wrestling is absolutely no joke and that Bones won't be able to deal with it. I know that Bones wrestling and upper body strength is likely stronger than Cormier, but I believe Cormier's lower body propels him win the wrestling and clinch battle. Jones tends to do a lot of damage from the clinch when his opponents struggle to take him down, and continue to try (and fail). Jones separates and you see those elbows and knees. On the feet, Cormier has that KO power that we all look for a champion, Bones - while his striking is arguably the most diverse in the division - he does NOT have that KO power in his hands. Cormier has a pretty decent chin, and we know Jones can be hurt - Machida, Belfort I believe, and certainly Gustaffson. I believe Cormier KOs each of those guys.
Hoping you guys can help me out with reading the line as it gets closer to fight time - when do I pull the trigger? In this matchup, is the line going to go up for Jones and increase my value?
Also, like Omari Akhmedov, Evan Dunham, Hector Lombard, Kyoji Horiguchi, and cannot wait for Cerrone/Jury fight!!!
So far:
Daniel Cormier +135 over Jon Jones for ten units
Omari Akhmedov -165 over Mats Nilsson to win two units
Alexis Dufresne -200 over Marion Reneau for two units
Cody Garbrandt +150 over Marcus Brimmage for one unit
Good luck guys!
Jon Jones vs Daniel Cormier
Donald Cerrone vs Myles Jury
Nate Marquardt vs Brad Tavares
Kyoji Horiguchi vs Louis Gaudinot
Hector Lombard vs Josh Burkman
Danny Castillo vs Paul Felder
Marcus Brimage vs Cody Garbrandt
Shawn Jordan vs Jared Cannonier
Evan Dunham vs Rodrigo Damm
Omary Akmedov vs Mats Nilsson
Alexis Dufresne (w) vs Marion Reneau (w)
Wanted to talk about the main event a little bit and give us all a long time to discuss. I have said for the last year, right when Cormier went from HW to LHW, if he got a title shot, I would put the largest MMA bet of my life on him (20 units). I was hoping at the time for +300 and in fact it's far, far less of it. I believe the line opened at +145 and think it's been as high as +175 but now sits at +150.
I feel Cormier's wrestling is absolutely no joke and that Bones won't be able to deal with it. I know that Bones wrestling and upper body strength is likely stronger than Cormier, but I believe Cormier's lower body propels him win the wrestling and clinch battle. Jones tends to do a lot of damage from the clinch when his opponents struggle to take him down, and continue to try (and fail). Jones separates and you see those elbows and knees. On the feet, Cormier has that KO power that we all look for a champion, Bones - while his striking is arguably the most diverse in the division - he does NOT have that KO power in his hands. Cormier has a pretty decent chin, and we know Jones can be hurt - Machida, Belfort I believe, and certainly Gustaffson. I believe Cormier KOs each of those guys.
Hoping you guys can help me out with reading the line as it gets closer to fight time - when do I pull the trigger? In this matchup, is the line going to go up for Jones and increase my value?
Also, like Omari Akhmedov, Evan Dunham, Hector Lombard, Kyoji Horiguchi, and cannot wait for Cerrone/Jury fight!!!
So far:
Daniel Cormier +135 over Jon Jones for ten units
Omari Akhmedov -165 over Mats Nilsson to win two units
Alexis Dufresne -200 over Marion Reneau for two units
Cody Garbrandt +150 over Marcus Brimmage for one unit
Good luck guys!