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Clay Guida -135 (haven't put it down yet cause I'm hoping for this line to further drop)
10 units
I'm very confident in Clay Guida, this is gonna be a close fight but I don't see Guida losing. As soon as this fight was announced, I immediately was leaning towards Guida. Standing, Guida's striking has improved, and huerta's is nothing to cheer about, in fact its very sloppy. Huerta's game in general is pretty loose, but he has a goood gas tank. Guida is tough as nails and will push the pace tremendously. Huerta thinks his wrestling is just as good, I don't think so, I think Guida will be able to handle him on the ground. BJJ really won't be a factor. Huerta has not fought the same competition... this is his first fight where the UFC has not handed him an opponent. Huerta's past fights are situations where he definitely should've finished his opponent. How in the hell he didn't sotp alberto crane, is beyond me. He was also in slopfest of the year with leonard garcia, that shouldn't have gone to the judges. Guida has only lost in the ufc against people which are either better at striking than him (din thomas), or slick as hell on the ground (tyson griffin). Huerta is neither. Both fighters have trained very hard, but I feel Guida is hungrier, and more confident... and he should be.
parlay #1 - 2 units to win 8
Goulet (should ko paul, but goulet is very susceptible to subs, hoping he doesnt get caught here)
Danzig (this one I'm somewhat worried about after placing the bet because of the size advantage Tommy will have. That said, Danzig has superior technique both standing and on the ground. I think Mac will sub him).
Saunders (rematch of a fight on the show, Saunders is much taller, and trains with a great team, ATT).
George (should not lose here).
Arroyo (John is tough but Matt is much more well rounded and should be able to sub him if it goes to the ground).
Yukon is nuts parlay #2 - 1.5 units to win 31
Guida
Jon Koppenhaver (bigger and stronger than j-roc, if he fights intelligently he will win, and at EV odds, hes a very good value)
Danzig
Saunders
George
Hightower (more well rounded than Troy who didn't show me much while on the show. Richie is also a stronger puncher).
Arroyo
Best of luck to all, Saturday is gonna be awesome. Guida and Huerta should be an awesome fight! I'm looking forward to Hatton/Mayweahter most though :beerbang:
10 units
I'm very confident in Clay Guida, this is gonna be a close fight but I don't see Guida losing. As soon as this fight was announced, I immediately was leaning towards Guida. Standing, Guida's striking has improved, and huerta's is nothing to cheer about, in fact its very sloppy. Huerta's game in general is pretty loose, but he has a goood gas tank. Guida is tough as nails and will push the pace tremendously. Huerta thinks his wrestling is just as good, I don't think so, I think Guida will be able to handle him on the ground. BJJ really won't be a factor. Huerta has not fought the same competition... this is his first fight where the UFC has not handed him an opponent. Huerta's past fights are situations where he definitely should've finished his opponent. How in the hell he didn't sotp alberto crane, is beyond me. He was also in slopfest of the year with leonard garcia, that shouldn't have gone to the judges. Guida has only lost in the ufc against people which are either better at striking than him (din thomas), or slick as hell on the ground (tyson griffin). Huerta is neither. Both fighters have trained very hard, but I feel Guida is hungrier, and more confident... and he should be.
parlay #1 - 2 units to win 8
Goulet (should ko paul, but goulet is very susceptible to subs, hoping he doesnt get caught here)
Danzig (this one I'm somewhat worried about after placing the bet because of the size advantage Tommy will have. That said, Danzig has superior technique both standing and on the ground. I think Mac will sub him).
Saunders (rematch of a fight on the show, Saunders is much taller, and trains with a great team, ATT).
George (should not lose here).
Arroyo (John is tough but Matt is much more well rounded and should be able to sub him if it goes to the ground).
Yukon is nuts parlay #2 - 1.5 units to win 31
Guida
Jon Koppenhaver (bigger and stronger than j-roc, if he fights intelligently he will win, and at EV odds, hes a very good value)
Danzig
Saunders
George
Hightower (more well rounded than Troy who didn't show me much while on the show. Richie is also a stronger puncher).
Arroyo
Best of luck to all, Saturday is gonna be awesome. Guida and Huerta should be an awesome fight! I'm looking forward to Hatton/Mayweahter most though :beerbang:
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