Wisconsin Badgers vs. Indiana Hoosiers: Expert Analysis & Pick

Wisconsin Badgers (5-3 SU, ATS 3-3-1) vs Indiana Hoosiers (2-6 SU, ATS 3-3)

Date: Saturday, November 4th

Location: Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN), Bloomington, IN

TV: BTN

Point Spread: Wis -9.5/Ind +9.5 (Bet on games at -105 instead of -110 at BetAnySports!)

Money Line: Wiscy -386/Indy +288

Over/Under: 45

The Wisconsin Badgers and Indiana Hoosiers matchup in a Big Ten showdown at Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN) in Bloomington, IN. The over/under for this matchup is currently 45, while Wisconsin is favored by -9.5.

Head-to-Head Matchup:

Wisconsin and Indiana did not meet up last season, but over their last three head-to-head matchups, each team is 0-3. Indiana had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 28 points per game, leading to an over/under record of 3-0.

Wisconsin Badgers Recent Form:

Wisconsin’s record took a hit as it dropped to 5-3 following their recent game against Ohio State. The Badgers ended up losing the matchup with a score of 24-10.

Looking at how the teams fared against the spread, Wisconsin was 15-point underdogs. This gave them a straight-up loss but an ATS win. As they combined for 34 points, the under hit in this matchup.

In the loss against Ohio State, quarterback Braedyn Locke wrapped up the game with a QB rating of 66.72 after completing 18 of 39 passes for 165 yards. He also added one touchdown to his performance.

Against Ohio State, Braelon Allen carried the ball 10 times, leading the team with 50 yards in rushing. However, he was unable to score a touchdown on the ground. Will Pauling had a stellar performance as the team’s top receiver, scoring one touchdown and making four receptions for 51 yards.

Wisconsin’s defense gave up 410 yards of offense vs. Ohio State. In the passing game, they allowed 226 yards, while on the ground, they gave up 184 yards. Defensively, the Badgers enter the game with 22 sacks and ranked 1st in QB hurries. They’ve allowed 19 points per game thus far this season (67th). In terms of pass defense, they’re 49th in the NCAA, giving up 200 passing yards per game. Against the run, Wisconsin has allowed 144.4 rushing yards per contest thus far.

Away Injury Report

Indiana Hoosiers Recent Form:

Indiana has an overall record of 2-6 as they prepare for this game. In their most recent game, they faced Penn State and were unable to secure a win, resulting in a 33-24 loss the Nittany Lions.

The over hit in this game as the teams combined for 57 point and the over/under line was 45. Indiana did cover the spread even with a straight-up loss because they were 31-point underdogs.

Quarterback Brendan Sorsby threw for three touchdowns in Indiana’s loss over Penn State. Overall, he had a passer rating of 128.84 while completing 68.4% of his passes for 269 yards.

Josh Henderson was the primary rusher for Indiana vs. Penn State, with 57 rushing yards, carrying the ball 12 times. Unfortunately, he didn’t manage to score a rushing touchdown in the game. The team’s top receiver was Dequece Carter, who hauled in one touchdown and caught three balls for 104 yards.

Indiana’s defense gave up 349 yards of offense vs. Penn State. In the passing game, they allowed 210 yards while on the ground, they gave up 139 yards. Coming into their matchup vs. Wisconsin, the Indiana defense is 115th in points allowed, giving up 29.8 points per game. So far, opponents have averaged 194 passing yards per game against them (43rd in the country). Against the run, they’re allowing 171.4 rushing yards, which ranks them 122nd in college football.

Home Injury Report

Betting Trends

• On the road, Wisconsin has gone 3-2 vs. the spread.
• Indiana is 3-7 in their last ten home games.
• Indiana’s ATS record in their five most recent games as an underdog is 2-3.
• The previous ten times that Wisconsin was favored, they are 4-5-1 against the spread.

Free Pick

The Hoosiers put up 24 points against the Nittany Lions top-level defense. Indiana had 269 yards through the air with many big yardage plays. I think Penn State came out flat for the game on the heels of the Ohio State loss and I don’t see a repeat of those numbers this week. Wisconsin is without their starting QB Tanner Mordecai and so far it’s been a big drop down to back-up Braedyn Locke. The Badgers may also be without it’s top RB Braelon Allen and YPC leader Chimere Dike. The UW team reports that they both have leg injuries, so if they do play, they will likely not be 100%. Take the Under 45. Note: You can boost your bankroll up to 100% using one of our sportsbook promo codes!