Western Michigan Broncos vs Toledo Rockets Shocker

Western Michigan Broncos (1-2 SU, ATS 0-2) vs Toledo Rockets (2-1 SU, ATS 1-1)

Date: Saturday, September 23rd

Location: Glass Bowl, Toledo, OH

TV: ESPN+

Point Spread: WMU +20.5/Tol -20.5 (Stop wasting money betting games at -110 odds! Start laying only -105 at BetAnySports! It’s FREE and saves you TONS of cash!)

Money Line: W. Mich +807/Toledo -1604

Over/Under: 54

The Western Michigan Broncos and Toledo Rockets matchup in a Mid-American showdown at Glass Bowl in Toledo, OH. The over/under for this matchup is currently 54 while Toledo is favored by -20.5.

Head-to-Head Matchup:

Western Michigan will look to carry over the momentum from last year’s 20-14 win over Toledo. In the game, Western Michigan threw for 54 yards while averaging 7.7 yards per completion. Toledo ran for 99 compared to 134 for Western Michigan.

Western Michigan Broncos Recent Form:

Western Michigan has an overall record of 1-2 as they prepare for this game. In their most recent game, they faced Iowa and were unable to secure a win, resulting in a 41-10 loss the Hawkeyes.

Not only did Western Michigan lose straight-up in this matchup, but they also lost vs. the spread as 28.5-point underdogs. Combining for 51 points, the team’s exceeded the line of 43 points.

In the loss against Iowa, quarterback Treyson Bourguet wrapped up the game with a QB rating of 81.25 after completing 5 of 16 passes for 124 yards. He also added one touchdown to his performance.

Not only did Treyson Bourguet led the team in passing against Iowa, but he was also Western Michigan’s top rusher with 32 yards on 8 carries. On his one reception, Anthony Sambucci finished with one touchdown and 64 yards.

The Broncos’ defense finished the game by giving up 387 total yards to Iowa. The team’s run defense allowed 254 yards rushing compared to 133 in the passing game. Western Michigan comes into the game 70th in points allowed, allowing 35.3 points per game. Teams have been gaining 235.3 passing yards on average against them (109th). Against the run, they’re giving up 152.7 yards, placing them 99th in college football.

Away Injury Report

No Injuries Reported

Toledo Rockets Recent Form:

Toledo’s record has improved to 2-1 following their 21-17 win against San Jose State as they prepare for this week’s showdown with Western Michigan.

The over/under line going into this matchup was 56.5, resulting in a hit for the under. At kick-off, Toledo was favored by 9.5, resulting in an ATS loss despite a straight-up win.

In Toledo’s most recent win, DeQuan Finn not only threw for one touchdown but ran for one as well. For the game, he threw for a total of 92 yards while completing 56.5% of his passes.

Against San Jose State, Peny Boone carried the ball 13 times, leading the team with 123 yards in rushing. However, he was unable to score a touchdown on the ground. Jerjuan Newton was the go-to receiver for the team, finding the endzone one time and securing four balls for 31 yards.

The Rockets’ defense finished the game by giving up 268 total yards to San Jose State. The team’s run defense allowed 40 yards rushing compared to 228 in the passing game. In terms of passing yards allowed per game, Toledo’s defense is ranked 146th. Opponents, on average, attempt 29.7 passes against the Rockets. They are allowing 16.7 PPG, which places them 28th in college football. Their rush defense ranks 52nd in the NCAA.

Home Injury Report

Betting Trends

• Western Michigan’s ten most recent games vs. the spread has seen them go 6-4 against the spread.
• Toledo is 2-1 ATS in their last home games.
• Toledo’s ATS record in their ten most recent games as underdog is 4-6.
• Western Michigan’s record vs. the spread in their five most recent games as the favorite is 3-2.

Line Movement:

The moneyline payout for the Rockets’ is now -1604, having opened at -2000. The implied win probabilities for the respective teams are currently 94% for Toledo and 11% for Western Michigan. Since the lines were initially set, Toledo has moved from -21 point favorites to their current line of -20.5 (-110). On the other hand, Western Michigan currently finds themselves as +20.5 (-112) point underdogs on the road. The oddsmakers opened this game with an over/under line of 56 and since then it has been bet down to its current line of 54, with the over paying out at -113 and under at -109.

Free Pick

I don’t often like going after spreads this big, bu I do see Toledo running away with this one. I’m taking the Rockets to cover at home vs. Western Michigan.

Bet your Week 4 college football picks for FREE by scoring a 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit of $50 to $500 when you use bonus code PREDICTEM on the special offers page at Everygame Sportsbook!