Western Michigan Broncos at Iowa Hawkeyes Pick ATS

Western Michigan Broncos (1-1 SU, ATS 0-1) vs Iowa Hawkeyes (2-0 SU, ATS 2-0)

Date: Saturday, September 16th

Location: Kinnick Stadium, Iowa City, IA

TV: BTN

Point Spread: W. Mich +28.5/Iowa -28.5 (Tease it 20 points at Wagerweb Sportsbook!)

Money Line: WMU +2200/IA-10000

Over/Under: 43.5

Head-to-Head Matchup:

The previous three head-head to matchups have gone in favor of Western Michigan with a record of 3-0. Western Michigan and Iowa did not play last season. Western Michigan also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1. These games averaged a combined total of 41 points per game, leading to an over/under record of 0-3.

The Western Michigan Broncos and Iowa Hawkeyes matchup in a non-conference showdown at Kinnick Stadium in Iowa City, IA. The over/under for this matchup is currently 43.5, while Iowa is favored by -28.5.

Western Michigan Broncos Recent Form:

Following their recent defeat against Syracuse, the Broncos find themselves back at .500 as they approach this week’s matchup with a 1-1 record.

The betting lines going into the game were 57 on the over/under and Western Michigan as 24.5-point underdogs. As they combined for 55 points, this was a hit for the under and Western Michigan was handed an ATS loss.

In the loss, Jack Salopek threw for 110 yards on 15 of 22 passing. His overall passer rating was 60.8 and he did not throw or rush for a touchdown.

Jalen Buckley led the ground attack for Western Michigan against Syracuse. He accumulated 87 rushing yards and reached the endzone one time in 8 attempts. Leading Western Michigan in receiving against Syracuse was Kenneth Womack. Although he didn’t catch a touchdown pass, he finished with 67 yards on four receptions.

On defense, Western Michigan finished the game by giving up a total of 496 yards. Syracuse threw the ball 39 times for 343 vs. Western Michigan. While on the ground, the Broncos gave up 153 rushing yards.

Away Injury Report

No Injuries Reported

Iowa Hawkeyes Recent Form:

Prepping for this week’s matchup against Western Michigan, the Iowa Hawkeyes remain undefeated at 2-0. Their latest encounter saw them beat Iowa State with a 20-13 score.

Looking at the point-spread for this game, Iowa covered as 3.5-point favorites. While on the over/under, the betting line was 35.5 at game time, resulting in a hit for the under.

In the win, Cade McNamara threw for 123 yards on 12 of 22 passing. His overall passer rating was 51.89 and he did not throw or rush for a touchdown.

Iowa’s leading rusher against Iowa State was Jaziun Patterson, who rushed for 86 yards and found the endzone one time on 10 carries. Leading Iowa in receiving against Iowa State was Luke Lachey. Although he didn’t catch a touchdown pass, he finished with 58 yards on three receptions.

Defensively, Iowa allowed a total of 290 yards. This includes giving up 87 yards allowed on the ground and 203 passing yards.

Home Injury Report

Betting Trends

• When playing on the road, Western Michigan has an ATS mark of 2-1 vs. the spread.
• Looking across Iowa’s ten most recent home games, they are 7-2-1 against the spread.
• Iowa is 5-4-1 in their last ten games as underdogs.
• The previous ten time that Western Michigan was favored, they are 5-5 against the spread.

Line Movement:

As for the current moneyline odds, Western Michigan presently has 4% likelihood of victory, with a moneyline payout of +2200. Meanwhile, the Hawkeyes’ implied win percentage stands at 99% on a moneyline of -10000. Iowa started as 24.5 point favorites at home, and the lines have since moved in their favor to -28.5. On the over/under, the line of 43.5 has remained the same as when it opened.

Free Pick

The Hawkeyes’ offense didn’t look very good last week against the Cyclones, scoring just 13 points, but they face a WMU team that failed miserably against Syracuse on D. I expect Iowa to get their passing game going, especially through the air and should be able to hang in the 30’s against this defense. Can the Broncos even score? They managed just seven last week, which came on a long TD run 30 seconds into the game. Take Iowa -28.5