West Virginia vs. Arizona Predictions: Week 9 CFB Picks

West Virginia Mountaineers (3-4 SU, ATS 2-4)  vs Arizona Wildcats (3-4 SU, ATS 1-5)

Date: 6:00 EST Saturday, October 26th

Location: Arizona Stadium, Tucson, AZ

TV: FS1

Point Spread: WVU +3/AZ -3

Money Line: West Va +124/Ari  -149

Over/Under: 54.5

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Arizona Stadium in Tucson is the site for this Week 9 matchup between the West Virginia Mountaineers and Arizona Wildcats, set for 6:00 ET on Saturday, October 26th. The game will be broadcast on FS1, with the Wildcats coming in as the -3 point favorites at home. The over/under line is currently 54.5 points. Both teams enter the game with a 3-4 record for the season.

Head-to-Head Matchup:

The West Virginia Mountaineers and Arizona Wildcats did not meet up last season, but over their last three head-to-head matchups, each team is 0-3. Against the spread, each team also went 0-3 and finished with an over/under mark of 1-2. These games averaged a combined 40 points per contest.

West Virginia Mountaineers Recent Form:

West Virginia enters Week 9 with a 3-4 record, ranked 53rd in our power rankings. Their chances of becoming bowl-eligible stand at 46.8%. They are 1-1 on the road, while their home record is 1-3 this season.

The Mountaineers have been favored in two games, going 1-1, and are 1-3 as underdogs. Their average scoring margin is -0.3 points per game, and they are 2-4 against the spread, with a 1-1 road ATS record and a 1-3 mark at home.

West Virginia’s over/under record is 3-3, with their games averaging 57.1 points. The average line is 56.8 points, and this week’s total is set at 54.5 points.

West Virginia’s offense has leaned heavily on their run game, ranking 23rd in the nation with 205.6 rushing yards per game. They are 16th in rushing attempts, averaging 40.3 per game. Jahiem White leads the team with 416 rushing yards, five touchdowns, and an average of 5 yards per carry. Heading into week 9, West Virginia is 53rd in scoring, with 28.4 points per game, but they are ranked 26th in our offensive power rankings.

Quarterback Garrett Greene has thrown for 1,352 yards, with nine touchdowns and eight interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 78. West Virginia ranks 105th in passer rating and 82nd in passing yards per game, averaging 204.6 yards. Greene’s completion rate is 55.9%. Hudson Clement leads the receivers with 363 yards and two touchdowns.

West Virginia’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 28.7 points per game. In their recent game against Kansas State, they gave up 45 points and 414 total yards, including 298 passing yards and three touchdowns through the air.

Opponents have averaged 254.3 passing yards per game against West Virginia, ranking them 136th nationally. The defense has also allowed 131.7 rushing yards per game on 33.7 attempts per game.

Away Injury Report

Arizona Wildcats Recent Form:

Arizona enters Week 9 with a 3-4 record, ranked 70th in our power rankings. They have a 34.9% chance of reaching bowl eligibility. At home, the Wildcats are 1-2, and they’ve been favored in three of their seven games this season.

Arizona’s ATS record stands at 1-5, with an average scoring margin of -4.6 points per game. They are 0-3 against the spread at home and have failed to cover in all three games as the favorite.

The over/under line for this week is set at 54.5 points. Arizona’s games have averaged 50.6 points, with an average line of 56.3 points. Their over/under record is 2-4 this season.

Arizona’s offense has been heavily reliant on their passing game, ranking 15th in passing attempts per game. They are 23rd in completions, averaging 253.4 yards per game through the air. Noah Fifita has thrown for 1,774 yards, but he has ten interceptions to just nine touchdowns, resulting in a passer rating of 75.

Overall, Arizona ranks 76th in scoring, with 23 points per game, and they are 83rd in our offensive power rankings. Their third-down conversion rate is 36.6%. On the ground, they average 137.3 rushing yards per game. Quali Conley leads the rushing attack with 500 yards and six touchdowns. Tetairoa McMillan has 780 receiving yards on 47 catches.

Arizona’s defense has allowed an average of 27.6 points per game this season, including 34 points in their recent loss to Colorado. They gave up 405 total yards, with 250 passing yards and two passing touchdowns, though they did manage to force two interceptions.

Opponents are averaging 217.1 passing yards per game against Arizona, completing 58.8% of their passes. On the ground, Arizona’s defense is allowing 148.9 rushing yards per game, ranking 91st nationally.

Home Injury Report

Betting Trends

• Although West Virginia has a straight-up record of 3-2 in their last five road games, they have not held up as well vs. the spread going 2-3. The team averaged 33 points per game in these games.
• In their last ten games at home, the Arizona Wildcats have a straight-up record of 6-4 while going 6-4 vs. the spread. The team averaged 31 points per game in this stretch.
• Looking back on the team’s last three games as the underdog, the West Virginia Mountaineers have a straight-up record of 1-2. Their record vs the spread in these games was 1-2.
• Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Arizona Wildcats have a straight-up record of 8-2. But their mark vs the spread was just 4-6.

Free Pick

I think this is a great matchup for West Virginia this week, as they have a good offense and are facing off against a mediocre Arizona defense. Even though they are on the road, I think this is an excellent spot for the Mountaineers to not only cover the spread but pick up the win. I’m taking WVU at +124.

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