Week 11 Predictions: Washington at Penn State ATS Pick

NCAAF Week 11: Washington Huskies at Penn State Nittany Lions | November 9th
Where: Beaver Stadium, University Park, PA
When: Saturday, November 9th at 8:00 PM EST
Watch: Peacock

Betting Odds
Spread: Penn State -13.5
Total: 46.5 Over/Under

On Saturday night, Beaver Stadium will host an exciting Big Ten matchup as the #6 Penn State Nittany Lions take on the Washington Huskies. With Penn State eyeing a spot in the college football playoffs and Washington aiming to secure bowl eligibility, both teams are under pressure to perform. The Nittany Lions, coming off a tough loss to Ohio State, will be determined to get back on track, while Washington hopes to prove they can compete at this level despite a rebuilding year following key departures to the NFL. Expect a high-intensity battle under the lights, with playoff aspirations and bowl eligibility on the line.

Washington Huskies

The Huskies entered this season with hopes of building on their success from 2023, but after losing several key starters, they’ve faced challenges, reflected in their current 5-4 record. While their passing offense ranks 33rd nationally, scoring has been less consistent, with an average of just 23.6 points per game. Quarterback Will Rogers has completed over 70% of his passes, amassing nearly 2,300 yards, 13 touchdowns, and only four interceptions. He’s established connections with Giles Jackson and Denzel Boston, who combine for over 140 receiving yards per game and have 11 touchdowns between them. However, the lack of a dependable run game, with Jonah Coleman carrying the primary load, has limited the Huskies’ offensive balance. On defense, Washington ranks highly against the pass (10th nationally) but struggles against the run and ranks low in third-down stops, an area that could be costly against Penn State’s efficient offense.

Penn State Nittany Lions

Penn State’s once-perfect season took a hit with a loss to Ohio State, leaving the Nittany Lions at 7-1 and 6th in the AP rankings. Looking to stay in the playoff hunt, they’ll aim for a statement win against Washington. Offensively, Penn State is well-rounded, averaging 30.8 points per game with a balanced mix of passing and rushing plays. Quarterback Drew Allar has been effective, completing 70.1% of his passes with 12 touchdowns to five interceptions. Tight end Tyler Warren is a key target, totaling 606 yards and four touchdowns. On the ground, the Nittany Lions average 187.5 rushing yards per game behind a strong offensive line. Defensively, Penn State is one of the toughest teams in the nation, allowing just 15 points per game. They excel against both the run and pass and have a knack for pressuring quarterbacks and forcing turnovers. Expect a strong defensive showing and clock control as they aim to limit Washington’s offensive opportunities.

My Pick: Penn State -13.5 (-110)

Penn State has the edge in talent, depth, and recent form. Following a close loss to Ohio State, they’ll be motivated to bounce back and avoid another setback. Look for the Nittany Lions to dominate the time of possession, control the game with their running attack, and feed off the energy in Beaver Stadium to secure a decisive win. Take Penn State to cover the -13.5 spread.

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