Wake Forest vs. NC State Predictions: Week 6 Total Pick

Wake Forest Demon Deacons (1-3 SU, ATS 0-2-1)  vs NC State Wolfpack (3-2 SU, ATS 0-4)

Date: 12:00 EST Saturday, October 5th

Location: Carter-Finley Stadium, Raleigh, NC

TV: CW

Point Spread: WF +5/NCST -5 (Make sure you’re wagering at the best betting sites!)

Money Line: WF +174/NCST  -211

Over/Under: 55.5

Heading into this week six matchup, the NC State Wolfpack are the -5 point favorites over the Wake Forest Demon Deacons. The game is set to kick off at 12:00 ET at Carter-Finley Stadium in Raleigh, and the over/under line is currently 55.5 points. The Wolfpack are 3-2 on the season, while the Demon Deacons are looking to improve on their 1-3 record. The CW will be handling the TV broadcast.

Head-to-Head Matchup:

The Wake Forest Demon Deacons and NC State Wolfpack did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Wake Forest Demon Deacons have a record of 2-1. Against the spread, each team went 0-3 and finished with an over/under mark of 2-1. These games averaged a combined 53 points per contest.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons Recent Form:

Wake Forest enters Week 6 with a 1-3 record, facing NC State on the road. They are ranked 88th in our power rankings, and their chance of becoming bowl-eligible is just 4.5%.

The Demon Deacons are 0-3 at home this season and have been favored in only one game. Their average scoring margin is -1.5 points per game, and they are 0-2-1 against the spread.

The over/under line for this week is 55.5 points. Wake Forest’s games have averaged 61 points, with an average over/under line of 60.3 points.

Heading into week 6, Wake Forest’s offense ranks 51st in points per game, averaging 29.8, and they are 68th in our offensive power rankings. Their passing game is the strength of the offense, ranking 30th in passing yards per game with 310.5, and they are 24th in completions, averaging 25.8 per game. They are also 31st in passing attempts per game.

Hank Bachmeier leads the passing attack with 1,159 yards and a completion rate of 66.7%. He has thrown five touchdowns and just one interception, with a passer rating of 99. Taylor Morin has 325 receiving yards on 24 catches but has yet to score a touchdown. On the ground, Wake Forest is averaging 153 rushing yards per game.

Wake Forest’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 31.2 points per game. In their recent 41-38 loss to Louisiana, they gave up 41 points, including 467 total yards. Louisiana rushed for 210 yards and threw for 257 yards, scoring three passing touchdowns.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed 70.6% of their passes against Wake Forest, averaging 285.8 passing yards per game. The Demon Deacons are also allowing 186 rushing yards per game this season.

Away Injury Report

NC State Wolfpack Recent Form:

NC State enters Week 6 with a 3-2 record, facing Wake Forest at home. They are ranked 80th in our CFB power rankings, with a 62% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. So far, they are 2-1 at home this season.

The Wolfpack have gone 0-4 against the spread, with an average scoring margin of -6.2 points per game. They are 0-3 ATS at home and 0-2 as the favorite.

This season, NC State’s over/under record is 3-1. Their games have averaged 61 points, with an average over/under line of 49.5 points. This week’s line is set at 55.5 points.

NC State’s offense has been underwhelming heading into week 6, ranking 120th in our offensive power rankings and averaging 27.4 points per game, placing them 61st nationally. Their third-down conversion rate is just 33.9%, and their rushing attack is producing 129.4 yards per game.

Grayson McCall leads the passing game with 476 yards and a 66.7% completion rate. He has thrown three touchdowns and two interceptions, with a passer rating of 86. Kevin Concepcion has caught four touchdown passes and has 243 receiving yards on 31 receptions. NC State ranks 29th in passing completions per game.

NC State’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 33.6 points per game. Opponents have averaged 229.2 passing yards per game, completing 58.9% of their passes. On the ground, NC State has given up 163.2 rushing yards per game.

In their recent game against Northern Illinois, NC State allowed 17 points and 283 total yards. The defense gave up 124 rushing yards on 44 attempts and 159 passing yards while also forcing two interceptions.

Home Injury Report

Betting Trends

• When looking at their past three road matchups, Wake Forest has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 19 per game. The team went 0-3 overall in these games.
• In their last five games at home, the NC State Wolfpack have a straight-up record of 2-3 while going 2-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 23 points per game in this stretch.
• In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Wake Forest Demon Deacons have a straight-up record of 0-3 and an ATS mark of 0-2-1.
• Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the NC State Wolfpack have a straight-up record of 8-2. But their mark vs the spread was just 2-8.

Free Pick

Look to the total in this one, as both defenses can give up a lot of points quickly. There is a lot of value in the over, with the line sitting at 55.5. For Saturday’s Wake Forest and NC State matchup, go ahead and take the over.