Virginia Tech vs. Louisville: Week 10 Picks, Predictions, and Betting Analysis

Virginia Tech Hokies (4-4 SU, ATS 5-3) vs Louisville Cardinals (7-1 SU, ATS 3-4)

Date: Saturday, November 4th

Location: L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium, Louisville, KY

TV: ACCN

Point Spread: Va Tech +9.5/Lou -9.5 (Are you using the best betting sites?)

Money Line: VT +301/Louisville -402

Over/Under: 48.5

The Virginia Tech Hokies and Louisville Cardinals matchup in an Atlantic Coast showdown at L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium in Louisville, KY. The over/under for this matchup is currently 48.5, while Louisville is favored by -9.5.

Head-to-Head Matchup:

Virginia Tech and Louisville did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, Virginia Tech has a record of 2-1. Against the spread, Virginia Tech went 2-1 in these matchups. On the over/under, the teams went 1-2, combining for 53 points per contest.

Virginia Tech Hokies Recent Form:

Heading into this week’s matchup with Syracuse, the Hokies are looking to move to above .500 after their most recent win put them at 4-4.

Heading into the game Virginia Tech was the betting favorite at 2.5 and picked up an ATS win. Together, the teams scored 48 points, resulting in a hit for the over.

In the win vs. Syracuse, quarterback Kyron Drones concluded with a QB rating of 101.74, connecting on 15 of 24 passes for 194 yards. He also added one touchdown to his performance.

Virginia Tech’s leading rusher against Syracuse was Bhayshul Tuten, who, along with rushing for 118 yards, he found the endzone one time in his 18 attempts. The team’s leading receiver was Da’Quan Felton, who contributed two touchdowns and caught three balls for 80 yards.

Against Syracuse the Hokies’ defense was excellent against Syracuse, giving up just 10 points on 137 yards allowed. Syracuse’s passing game finished with 137 yards. Up-front, Virginia Tech gave up 0.0 yards per attempt. Coming into this week’s game, the Virginia Tech defense is 84th in points allowed at 22.9 points per game. So far, teams have averaged 165.4 passing yards per game vs. the unit (17th). On the ground, they are giving up 151.4 rushing yards, putting them 97th in college football.

Away Injury Report

Louisville Cardinals Recent Form:

Louisville’s 23-0 win against Duke has propelled their record to 7-1 as they prepare for this week’s showdown with Virginia Tech.

Looking at the point-spread for this game, Louisville covered as 5.5-point favorites. While on the over/under, the betting line was 47 at game time, resulting in a hit for the under.

Jack Plummer finished with 117 yards against Duke while going 11 for 16 for a completion percentage of 68.8%. He ended the game without a rushing or passing touchdown.

Louisville’s leading rusher against Duke was Jawhar Jordan, who, along with rushing for 163 yards, he found the endzone two times in his 21 attempts. Leading Louisville in receiving against Duke was Jamari Thrash. Although he didn’t catch a touchdown pass, he finished with 73 yards on seven receptions.

The Cardinals defense is coming off a game in which they shutout the Blue Devils and gave up a total of 202 yards. Duke ran the ball 21 times vs. Louisville for 51 yards. The Cardinals’ secondary gave up a total of 151 passing yards. Coming into their matchup vs. Virginia Tech, the Louisville defense is 63rd in points allowed, giving up 18 points per game. So far, opponents have averaged 212 passing yards per game against them (69th in the country). Against the run, they’re allowing 93.6 rushing yards, which ranks them 15th in college football.

Home Injury Report

Betting Trends

• Virginia Tech’s five most recent games vs. the spread have seen them go 2-3 against the spread.
• Louisville is 0-5 Against the spread in their last five games at home.
• Cardinals is 3-2 in their last five games as underdogs.
• Virginia Tech are 3-2 in their last five games as favorites.

Free Pick

Louisville is hosting Virginia Tech as the heavy favorite this week. However, I have this line sitting too high and see there being value on the Hokies’ side of the spread. I’m expecting a closer game than what most are anticipating. I like VA Tech at +9.5.