Vanderbilt vs Ole Miss SEC Showdown: Betting Preview and Expert Pick

Vanderbilt Commodores (2-6 SU, ATS 1-6) vs Ole Miss Rebels (6-1 SU, ATS 4-2)
Date: Saturday, October 28th
Location: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, MS
TV: SECN
Point Spread: Vanderbilt +25.5/Ole Miss -25.5
Money Line: Vanderbilt +1387/Ole Miss -4762
Over/Under: 63.5

The Vanderbilt Commodores and Ole Miss Rebels matchup in an SEC showdown at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium in Oxford, MS. The over/under for this matchup is currently 63.5, while Ole Miss is favored by -25.5.

Head-to-Head Matchup:

Vanderbilt will be looking for revenge in this week’s game, as the most recent matchup between the teams ended in a 52-28 win for Ole Miss. In the win, the Ole Miss offense outgained Vanderbilt 591 to 403. In the passing game, Ole Miss finished with 448 yards and 143 on the ground.

Vanderbilt Commodores Recent Form:

With an overall record of 2-6, Vanderbilt is prepared for this game. Unfortunately, their most recent performance resulted in a loss to Georgia, with a score of 37-20.

Vanderbilt and Georgia combined for 57 points in the game, which was enough to surpass the over/under line of 55.5 points. Even though Vanderbilt lost straight-up, they did cover the spread as 32.5-point underdogs.

Quarterback Ken Seals threw for two touchdowns in Vanderbilt’s loss over Georgia. Overall, he had a passer rating of 94.18 while completing 65.5% of his passes for 201 yards.

Vanderbilt’s leading rusher against Georgia was Sedrick Alexander, who rushed for 16 yards and found the endzone one time on 6 carries. For the game, Jayden McGowan hauled in five receptions for a total of 58 yards, which led the team.

Defensively, Vanderbilt allowed a total of 547 yards to Georgia. This includes giving up 286 yards allowed on the ground and 261 passing yards. The Commodores defense comes into the game with 15 sacks and ranked 1st in QB hurries. In terms of points allowed, they are giving up 34.4 points per game (134th). When it comes to defending the pass, they are ranked 148th in the NCAA, allowing an average of 263.4 passing yards per game. Additionally, Vanderbilt’s run defense comes in allowing 173.5 rushing yards per contest.

Away Injury Report

Ole Miss Rebels Recent Form:

Ole Miss’ record has improved to 6-1 following their 28-21 win against Auburn as they prepare for this week’s showdown with Vanderbilt.

Ole Miss was favored by 6.5 heading into the game, giving them both a straight-up and ATS win. The under hit in the game, as the team’s combined for 49 with an over/under line of 55.5.

Quarterback Jaxson Dart finished with 202 passing yards in the team’s most recent win over Auburn. Not only did he throw for one touchdown, but he ran for two scores.

The top rusher for Ole Miss against Auburn was Quinshon Judkins. He gained 124 rushing yards and scored one time in 21 attempts. In the passing game, Tre Harris finished with a team high 102 receiving yards while averaging 25.5 yards per reception.

The Rebels’ defense finished the game by giving up 275 total yards to Auburn. The team’s run defense allowed 153 yards rushing compared to 122 in the passing game. Looking at this week’s game, the Ole Miss defense stands at 78th in points allowed, permitting 23.4 points on average per game. So far, opposing teams have managed 241.6 passing yards per game against them (116th). On the ground, they’re conceding 130.6 rushing yards, ranking them 65th in college football.

Home Injury Report

Betting Trends

• Vanderbilt’s three most recent games vs. the spread has seen them go 0-3 against the spread.
• Ole Miss’ ATS record at home (last ten) is 5-4-1.
• Rebels is 3-2 in their last five games as underdogs.
• The previous ten time that Vanderbilt was favored, they are 1-9 against the spread.

Free Pick

I’m rolling with Vanderbilt as an underdog at +25.5 in this matchup vs. Ole Miss. In their last game against Georgia, the Vanderbilt offense put up 13 points in the 4th quarter to end up covering the spread. I see this game playing out in a similar fashion, with the Commodores putting up some late points in garbage time.